BMIE Market 30148

Dawson County, Georgia · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	973 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±428 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	366 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±146 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	453 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	215 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$90,357 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±89,337 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	57.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	Data source not yet connected
Median home value	$342,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±304,183 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	9.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	5 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 30148
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	132.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-16.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+66.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+400.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	4 (range 2–7) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.05) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	40 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	48 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	36 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	32 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 30148. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.05, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Georgia and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 574, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 40 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	48.2	48	40%	+19.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	35.6	36	35%	+12.5
Market Momentum Score	32.5	32	25%	+8.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	973	32	40%	+12.6
Median household income (ACS)	90,357	73	40%	+29.4
Households (ACS)	366	31	20%	+6.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 36 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	51.4	9	25%	+2.3
Population (ACS)	973	32	20%	+6.3
Median household income (ACS)	90,357	73	20%	+14.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 32 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-16.7	15	50%	+7.3
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	66.7	73	20%	+14.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (14)

By cuisine

American 4 · Pizza 3 · Mexican 2 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Dessert 1 · Latin American (other) 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 7 · Casual dining 4 · Bar 3 · Bakery 1 · Café 1 · Dessert 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Forno Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	218 Foothills Pkwy Ste 104	open
Fuego Mexican Grill and Tequila Bar	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Latin American (other)	260 Foothills Pkwy	open
Fuego Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	260 Foothills Pkwy	open
Home Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	3909 Steve Tate Hwy	open
Huddle House Huddle House	Casual dining	American	35 Foothills Pkwy	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	12910 Highway 53 E	open
Lucky Hare	Casual dining · Bar	American	60 N Gate Station Dr	open
Marble Hill Tavern	Bar · Casual dining	American	218 Foothills Pkwy	open
Mary's Bread Basket	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	171 Foothills Pkwy	open
Nortonz Nutz famous boiled peanuts	Food truck		13073 GA-53 E	open
Paws Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Pizza	32 Yellow Creek Rd	open
Reverend Billy's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	66 N Gate Station Dr	open
Sourwood	Restaurant (service type not stated)		60 N Gate Station Dr	open
T3 Cafe	Café		11213 Highway 53	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	3	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	3	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	5	5	5	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	6	6	6	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	6	6	6	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	6	6	5	—	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	6	6	5	—	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	6	6	5	—	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	5	5	5	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	4	4	4	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	5	5	4	—	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	5	5	4	—	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	6	6	5	—	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	7	7	6	—	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	6	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	6	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	6	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	7	7	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	5	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	4	4	3	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	5	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 30148. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.