BMIE Market 30436

Toombs County, Georgia · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	11,704 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±847 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,519 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±362 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	11,961 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,348 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$55,827 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,339 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	36.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$707 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±134 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$107,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,394 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	282.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 30436
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+37.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+22.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+120.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	11 (range 9–13) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.38) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	57 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	53 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	64 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	53 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 30436. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.38, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Georgia and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 574, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	52.9	53	40%	+21.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	64.4	64	35%	+22.5
Market Momentum Score	53.1	53	25%	+13.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	11,704	73	40%	+29.2
Median household income (ACS)	55,827	23	40%	+9.1
Households (ACS)	4,519	73	20%	+14.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	37.5	76	35%	+26.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	9.4	74	25%	+18.6
Population (ACS)	11,704	73	20%	+14.6
Median household income (ACS)	55,827	23	20%	+4.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	37.5	76	30%	+22.8
20-year restaurant growth	22.2	47	20%	+9.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (33)

By cuisine

American 8 · Mexican 6 · Pizza 4 · BBQ 3 · Seafood 3 · Coffee 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 24 · Dessert 4 · Quick service 3 · Casual dining 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Bakery 1 · Bar 1 · Buffet 1 · Café 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Amin's. Fish & Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Seafood	202 N Victory Dr	open
BangkokTokyo Thai-Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Sushi · Japanese	117 S Gwinnett St	open
Bulldawg Grill & Pub	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	202 S Victory Dr	open
Chatters Restaurant	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	600 NW Broad St	open
Cookie Boss Bakery & Sandwich Shop	Bakery	Bakery	108 SE Broad St	open
Cooler Nutrition	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	123 SW Broad St	open
Country Crossroads Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	1739 US-1 N	open
Eatz on the Corner	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Caribbean · Burgers	100 N Commerce Dr	open
El Mexicano	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	623 S State St	open
EL RANCHITO	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	273 N State St	open
El Silverado	Bar	Mexican	2351 US Highway 1 S	open
Guacamole Mexican restaurant 2	Restaurant (service type not stated)		316 SE Broad St	open
Guacamole \| Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	664 NW Broad St	open
Hardware Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	131 SW Broad St	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3877 Harrington St	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6375 Us 1 S	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	612 S State St	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	120-1 North State St	open
La Michoacana	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Seafood	108 NW Broad St	open
Lottie's Pocket	Dessert	BBQ · Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	3269 Johnson Corner Rd	open
PaulasKitchen.OnWheels	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1739 US-1 N	open
Ponderosa	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	Ga-292	open
Prime Cut Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		113 NE Broad St	open
Prime Cut Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	113 NE Broad St	open
Rio Grande Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	185 S State St	open
Roxy's Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American · Breakfast	448 S State St	open
S'Moore Coffee Shop & Creations	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	569 W Liberty Ave	open
ScoopS Scoops Covington	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	109 SW Broad St	open
Silverwares BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	726 S State St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	166 S Victory Dr	open
Sweet Onion Auction	Dessert		4580 US-1 S	open
The County Seat	Dessert	Dessert	202 S Victory Dr	open
Bulldog Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		553 S State St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	5	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	6	4	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	7	4	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	11	7	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	9	5	3	2	—	3	NAICS1997
1999	11	7	2	3	2	3	NAICS1997
2000	13	9	3	4	2	3	NAICS1997
2001	12	9	4	3	2	2	NAICS1997
2002	10	8	5	2	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	12	9	6	3	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	13	10	7	3	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	10	8	5	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	10	8	5	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	10	8	5	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	11	9	6	2	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	13	10	8	2	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	12	10	6	4	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	10	8	5	3	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	12	9	5	4	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	11	8	5	3	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	11	8	5	3	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	11	8	6	2	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	13	10	7	3	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	13	10	8	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	14	11	7	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	13	10	7	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	9	8	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	12	10	8	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	11	9	8	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	13	11	10	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 30436. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.