BMIE Market 30474

Toombs County, Georgia · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	17,315 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±782 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,554 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±416 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	16,594 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,312 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$55,295 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,005 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$820 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±64 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$154,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,396 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	128.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	47 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 30474
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	23.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+14.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+23.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+113.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	50 (range 45–56) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.8 per year, r² 0.52) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	51 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	56 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	46 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	48 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 30474. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.52, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Georgia and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 574, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	56.1	56	40%	+22.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	46.5	46	35%	+16.3
Market Momentum Score	48.0	48	25%	+12.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	17,315	79	40%	+31.6
Median household income (ACS)	55,295	22	40%	+8.8
Households (ACS)	6,554	78	20%	+15.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	14.6	58	35%	+20.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	27.1	23	25%	+5.9
Population (ACS)	17,315	79	20%	+15.8
Median household income (ACS)	55,295	22	20%	+4.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	14.6	58	30%	+17.5
20-year restaurant growth	23.7	48	20%	+9.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (85)

By cuisine

American 22 · Pizza 12 · Coffee 8 · Burgers 7 · Sandwiches 7 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 6 · Mexican 5 · BBQ 4 · Chicken / wings 4 · Bakery 3 · Italian 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Steakhouse 3 · Asian 2 · Chinese 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Japanese 2 · Seafood 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Hot dogs 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 53 · Quick service 28 · Casual dining 13 · Bar 11 · Coffee shop 7 · Bakery 4 · Café 4 · Dessert 4 · Specialty food shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Buffet 1 · Delivery-focused 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
19th Hole	Bar		1801 Loop Rd	open
912 Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	906 E 1st St	open
Aqua Lounge	Bar		505 1st St W	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3195 E 1st St	open
Bamboo Express	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	612 E 1st St	open
Barberitos \| Southwest Grill & Cantina • Vidalia, GA Barberitos	Quick service	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	2105 E 1st St B	open
Bill's Donut Shop	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	302 W 1st St	open
Birdie's Coffee Until Cocktails	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	101 SE Main St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	2303 E 1st St	open
Captain D's Captain D's	Quick service	Seafood · American	701 E 1st St	open
Captain's Corner	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	201 Stockyard Rd	open
Checkers Checkers and Rally's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	907 E 1st St	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	2349 E 1st St	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Burgers · Ice cream / frozen desserts	504 E 1st St	open
Deep Services	Restaurant (service type not stated)		600 W 1st St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	401a E 1st St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	706 E 1st St	open
Earnie's Lounge	Bar		706 North St W	open
El Centenario \| Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Mexican	201 Michael Collins Dr	open
Elkhatib Mediterranean Sizzle	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mediterranean · American	901 Mt Vernon Rd	open
Ellianos Coffee Ellianos Coffee	Coffee shop · Casual dining · Café	Coffee · American	3105 E 1st St	open
Equipped	Coffee shop	Coffee	119 SE Main St	open
Findlay Management, Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		208 Durden St	open
Firehouse Subs Brice Square Vidalia Firehouse Subs	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	2351 E 1st St	open
Fuji Japanese Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)		700 E 1st St	open
Hardee's	Quick service		706 E 1st St	open
Huddle House Huddle House	Casual dining	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	2613 E 1st St	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4384 Ga-15	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1709 East 1St Street	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2432 Ga-297	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	701 Thompson Pond Road	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	201 N St E	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1674 New Normantown Road	open
J & B's Rare2Welldone	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining	Steakhouse · American	302 E 1st St Ste A	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2601 1st St E	open
Koiya Japanese Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	1603 1st St E	open
Kootsies Kitchen	Casual dining	American	600 North St W	open
Kountry Kafe	Café · Casual dining	Coffee · American	115 SE Main St	open
Larry's Giant Subs Larry's Giant Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	804 E 1st St	open
Little Caesars Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	915A E 1st St	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2335 E 1st St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	806 E 1st St	open
McDonald's	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Coffee · Burgers	3109 E 31st St	open
New Super Buffet	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated)		3141 E 1st St	open
OD seafood of vidalia	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1303 E 1st St	open
Ohoopee River Brewing Co	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		200 E 1st St	open
Osaka Hibachi and Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	302 E 1st St	open
Owens & Owens Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		306 E 2nd St	open
P R dise 100x35	Restaurant (service type not stated)		114 SW Main St	open
Papa Buck's BBQ Vidalia	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1500 1st St E	open
Papa John's Papa John's	Quick service		619B E 1ST ST	open
Papa John's Vidalia Papa John's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	302 1st St E	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1601 E 1st St	open
Pizza Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1801 E 1st St	open
Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	3101 E 1st St	open
Pure Restaurant and Lounge	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1801 Loop Rd	open
Rialto \| Italian Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	120 Jackson St	open
Rio Grande Mexican Restaurant Rio Grande Rellingen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	1501 E 1st St	open
Ruby Tuesday	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	2711 E 1st St	open
S'moore Coffee Shop	Coffee shop	Coffee	207 E 1st St	open
Sandwiche Shoppe	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	213 Green St	open
Sell Em All Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1403 E 1st St	open
Sherry's Bar-B-Que	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	700 McIntosh St	open
Shoney's Shoney's Restaurants	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	2505 Lyons Center Rd	open
Smoke Cave	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern	106 McIntosh St	open
Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1803 E Lyons Hwy	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	2109 E 1st St	open
Steeplechase Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	306 E 2nd St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	623 E 1st St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	616 McIntosh St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1707 E 1st Street	open
Tappas	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Italian · American · Spanish / tapas	201 NW Main St	open
Taste of Phillie	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · American	114 McIntosh St	open
The Bread Box of Vidalia	Bakery	Bakery	2132 GA Highway 130 W	open
The Red Stag Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		149 Mose Coleman Dr	open
Top's China	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	611 E 1st St	open
TreeHouse Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse · American	723 North St W	open
Vallarta's Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	104 Jackson St	open
Vidalia Grills	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	308 Miracle Ln	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	901 E 1st St	open
Western Sizzlin	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	208 Pine St W	open
Yo So Sweet	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	3309 E 1st St	open
Zach’s Durty Dogz	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs · American	901 Mt Vernon Rd	open
Zaxby's Zaxby's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Chicken / wings	2705 E 1st St	open
The Perfect Scoop	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	107 NW Main St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	24	22	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	24	22	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	25	22	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	31	29	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	39	34	14	17	1	2	NAICS1997
1999	38	33	15	16	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	37	33	16	15	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	38	34	13	20	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	42	39	12	24	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	40	38	12	23	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	40	39	15	21	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	41	39	13	23	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	40	40	12	25	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	42	42	14	25	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	39	38	13	22	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	41	39	11	25	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	41	39	12	25	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	39	35	10	23	1	3	NAICS2007
2012	38	36	10	23	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	44	41	13	24	3	2	NAICS2012
2014	43	39	12	23	3	2	NAICS2012
2015	39	36	11	22	2	2	NAICS2012
2016	42	40	10	25	3	1	NAICS2012
2017	43	41	9	27	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	49	47	13	27	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	43	40	8	26	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	45	43	9	29	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	47	46	11	30	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	46	44	11	27	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	49	47	12	25	8	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 30474. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.