BMIE Market 30815

Richmond County, Georgia · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	44,109 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,462 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	14,284 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±687 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	39,640 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	15,269 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$70,202 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,647 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	36.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,179 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±65 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$188,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,596 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	126.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	23 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 30815
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	4.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-4.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+27.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+91.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+130.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	28 (range 23–32) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.34) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	69 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	76 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	48 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 30815. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.34, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Georgia and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 574, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	75.6	76	40%	+30.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	75.6	76	35%	+26.5
Market Momentum Score	48.4	48	25%	+12.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	44,109	95	40%	+38.2
Median household income (ACS)	70,202	47	40%	+18.9
Households (ACS)	14,284	93	20%	+18.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	27.8	69	35%	+24.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	5.2	91	25%	+22.7
Population (ACS)	44,109	95	20%	+19.1
Median household income (ACS)	70,202	47	20%	+9.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-4.2	23	50%	+11.7
10-year restaurant growth	27.8	69	30%	+20.8
20-year restaurant growth	91.7	79	20%	+15.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (49)

By cuisine

American 14 · BBQ 5 · Chicken / wings 5 · Pizza 5 · Asian 4 · Burgers 4 · Chinese 4 · Dessert 4 · Seafood 4 · Bakery 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Caribbean 3 · Mexican 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Breakfast 2 · Japanese 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Coffee 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Italian 1 · Korean 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 32 · Quick service 15 · Dessert 4 · Bakery 3 · Bar 3 · Casual dining 3 · Delivery-focused 2 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Fast casual 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
413 Cakery By Nette	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	2720 Barclay Rd	open
Abundance Of Flavor/ DaMad Baker Treats	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	2583 Tobacco Rd	open
Asian Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Japanese · Chinese	3697 Windsor Spring Rd B104	open
Baldinos Giant Jersey Subs baldinos Giant Jersey Subs	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	2760 Tobacco Rd	open
Bounce Back Salads	Fast casual · Delivery-focused	Healthy / salads / bowls	Tobacco Rd	open
Bravo Burger + Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · American	2242 Hephzibah - McBean Rd	open
BTJ Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · BBQ · American	3697 Windsor Spring Rd	open
Cafe De Prestigio LLC	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1419 Hephzibah - McBean Rd	open
Checkers Checkers and Rally's	Quick service	Burgers · Hot dogs	3554 Windsor Spring Rd	open
China 8 Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	2500 Tobacco Rd	open
China Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	2514 Tobacco Rd D	open
Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery	Dessert	Dessert	3683 Windsor Spring Rd, # 103	open
Crab King II	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	2857 Tobacco Rd #3	open
Darkchain Ultralounge	Bar · Quick service	Seafood	4125 Peach Orchard Rd	open
Dennis' Barbeque	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	3639 San Sebastian Dr	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	2514 Tobacco Rd	open
Eat-M-Up - Cuisine, BBQ and Fried Chicken	Quick service	BBQ · American	4002 Deans Bridge Rd	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	3696 Windsor Spring Rd	open
Huddle House	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	2626 Tobacco Rd	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4505 Windsor Spring Rd	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3780 Farmer Bridge Road	open
Impact Hospitality Hephzibah Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2626 Tobacco Rd	open
J's Sports Bar & Lounge	Bar		3663 Deans Bridge Rd	open
Jamaica Nice	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	1524 Pine Ridge Dr E	open
Jamaica Way	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	2650 Tobacco Rd	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	4106 Windsor Spring Rd	open
Korean Food Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean · Asian · American	2857 Tobacco Rd	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2504 Ga Hwy 88	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	3697 Windsor Spring Rd	open
Maria's Island Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	2579 Tobacco Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2508 Tobacco Rd	open
Osaka sushi &steak house	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Steakhouse	2626 Tobacco Rd	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	2519 Tobacco Rd	open
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Sandwiches · Cajun, Creole, Southern	2491 Tobacco Road	open
Red Shark Fish and Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Chicken / wings · American	2574 Tobacco Rd	open
Rita Michelle's Restaurant & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3780 Farmers Bridge Rd	open
Seleste's Authentic Kitchen and Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	2763 Tobacco Rd	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2505 Tobacco Rd	open
Soul out BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	TEXACO, 4150 Windsor Spring Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	4104 Windsor Spring Rd. Suite 14	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	2517 Tobacco Rd	open
The Experience Cigar Lounge	Bar		2476 GA-88 Bldg 1	open
The Havard's Bbq & Sun Deck	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	123 Eagle Pass Ln	open
Them Folks Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert		open
Tlaxcalita la bella	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2925 Old Tobacco Rd	open
Toritos Fresh Mex	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2503 GA-88	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	103 Talbot Dr	open
Wings 2 Go	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining	Chinese · American	Tobacco Rd	open
Zack's Wings & Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	4104 Windsor Spring Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	12	10	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	11	8	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	10	7	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	12	10	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	17	14	5	9	—	3	NAICS1997
1999	17	14	4	9	1	3	NAICS1997
2000	16	15	4	10	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	13	12	3	8	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	13	12	2	10	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	13	12	3	9	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	14	13	3	10	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	13	12	2	10	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	13	12	2	10	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	19	18	5	13	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	19	19	7	12	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	17	16	4	12	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	19	18	5	13	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	15	15	3	12	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	20	20	5	15	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	18	18	4	14	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	18	18	2	16	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	21	21	2	18	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	22	22	4	17	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	27	27	5	21	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	25	24	6	17	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	26	25	6	18	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	25	22	6	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	24	23	6	16	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	25	24	8	16	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	24	23	6	17	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 30815. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.