BMIE Market 31216

Bibb County, Georgia · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	16,328 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,296 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,966 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±441 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	16,109 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,245 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$72,452 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,541 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,041 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±87 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$212,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,827 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	57.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	16 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 31216
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	5.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+23.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+45.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+300.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+700.0% DERIVED: 1997 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	16 (range 13–19) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.53) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	73 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	67 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	72 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	83 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 31216. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.53, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Georgia and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 574, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	66.9	67	40%	+26.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	71.7	72	35%	+25.1
Market Momentum Score	82.7	83	25%	+20.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	16,328	78	40%	+31.2
Median household income (ACS)	72,452	51	40%	+20.3
Households (ACS)	5,966	77	20%	+15.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	45.5	79	35%	+27.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	9.8	73	25%	+18.2
Population (ACS)	16,328	78	20%	+15.6
Median household income (ACS)	72,452	51	20%	+10.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 83 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	23.1	79	50%	+39.7
10-year restaurant growth	45.5	79	30%	+23.7
20-year restaurant growth	300	97	20%	+19.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (51)

By cuisine

Pizza 13 · American 9 · Chicken / wings 6 · Dessert 4 · Mexican 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Bakery 3 · BBQ 3 · Burgers 3 · Coffee 3 · Asian 2 · Breakfast 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Chinese 2 · Italian 2 · Seafood 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 34 · Quick service 15 · Dessert 4 · Bakery 3 · Bar 3 · Café 3 · Casual dining 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Other 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bimbo Bakeries USA Bimbo Bakeries USA	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1075 Frank C Amerson Jr Pkwy	open
Dab's Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1000 Terminal Dr	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	4700 Hartley Bridge Rd 4700 Hartley Bridge Rd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	4319 Hartley Bridge Rd. Suite 120	open
Domino's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3045 Hartley Bridge Rd Ste A	open
Felicia's Cake Factory, LLC	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	5759 Houston Rd	open
Fincher's Barbecue Fincher's Barbecue	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	5627 Houston Rd	open
Fish & More	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	3047 Hartley Bridge Rd	open
Fuel Café	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	3944 Sardis Church Rd	open
Godfather's Pizza Express Godfathers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · American	1190 Frank Amerson Parkway	open
Greek’s Gyro	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		6717 Hawkinsville Rd	open
Holy Pie Pizzeria Holy Pie Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	5797 Houston Rd Ste K	open
Hong Kong Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	3045 Hartley Bridge Rd	open
Hong Kong Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	4349 Hartley Bridge Rd	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7285 Hawkinsville Rd	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4933 Sardis Church Rd	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5642 Houston Rd	open
It A Bit A Magick Shop	Café	Coffee	6717 Hawkinsville Rd	open
K Wingman	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Asian	5615 Houston Rd	open
KFC	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	4328 Hartley Bridge Rd	open
Kingz of the South Clubhouse Macon Ga	Bar		5184 Houston Ave	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Chicken / wings	4977 Mount Pleasant Church Road	open
La Mexicana	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · American	5407 Houston Rd	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	5615 Houston Rd	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4535 Hartley Bridge Rd	open
Macon The Arc Of Macon	Bar	Seafood	421 Bellerive Trce	open
Marisqueria y Taqueria El Torito De Chapala	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	6717 Hawkinsville Rd	open
Maryland Fried Chicken- Byron/Macon GA	Quick service	Chicken / wings	7050 Houston Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	4630 Hartley Bridge Road	open
Mi Margarita's Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4328 Hartley Bridge Rd	open
Mk Teriyaki Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	6717 Hawkinsville Rd Ste 6717	open
Mr. E's Sports Bar & Grill	Bar		3045 Hartley Bridge Rd	open
Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4126 Hartley Bridge Rd	open
Pig On A Pie	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	BBQ · Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls	5797 Houston Rd Ste K	open
Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut	Quick service		5455 Hawkinsville Road	open
PJ'S Goodtime Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		128 Oakview Club Dr	open
Postres Dennis	Dessert	Dessert	5424 Houston Rd	open
Rivera’s Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	4328 Hartley Bridge Rd	open
Rubix Cube	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6717 Hawkinsville Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	4321 Hartley Bridge Rd	open
Subway Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other · Quick service	Sandwiches	3004 Debra Ann Dr	open
Subway Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches · Chicken / wings	1190 Frank Amerson Parkway	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	4530 Hartley Bridge Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	4319 Hartley Bridge Rd.	open
Texas Border Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	5797 Houston Rd	open
The Lion's Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	BBQ	6717 Hawkinsville Rd	open
Tzango Cocina Del Mundo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3045 Hartley Bridge Rd	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	4320 Hartley Bridge Rd	open
Waffle House Hartley Bridge Rd Waffle House Amman	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · American		open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	4397 Hartley Bridge Road	open
Zaxby's Zaxby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	4622 Hartley Bridge Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1997	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	4	2	2	—	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	2	—	—	—	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	6	3	1	1	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	4	2	1	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	6	4	2	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	5	4	1	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	7	5	3	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	5	2	—	2	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	6	4	1	2	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	11	8	4	4	—	2	NAICS2002
2008	9	7	4	3	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	8	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	11	9	5	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	14	12	4	8	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	14	12	5	7	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	11	11	6	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	12	12	7	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	15	14	7	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	15	13	7	5	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	15	13	6	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	16	13	5	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	15	14	5	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	16	14	5	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	14	12	6	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	18	16	7	9	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	18	16	6	10	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 31216. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
31206	4.3 mi	72	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.