BMIE Market 31220

Bibb County, Georgia · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	16,494 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,613 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,065 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±445 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	13,839 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,846 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$88,434 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,722 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,372 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±96 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$192,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20,600 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	48.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	16 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 31220
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	5.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+60.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+220.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+77.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+1,500.0% DERIVED: 1996 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	18 (range 14–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.9 per year, r² 0.74) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	82 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	83 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	91 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 31220. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.74, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Georgia and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 574, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	75.4	75	40%	+30.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	82.9	83	35%	+29.0
Market Momentum Score	91.1	91	25%	+22.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	16,494	78	40%	+31.3
Median household income (ACS)	88,434	72	40%	+28.7
Households (ACS)	6,065	77	20%	+15.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 83 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	220	99	35%	+34.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	9.7	73	25%	+18.3
Population (ACS)	16,494	78	20%	+15.6
Median household income (ACS)	88,434	72	20%	+14.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 91 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	60	92	50%	+46.2
10-year restaurant growth	220	99	30%	+29.6
20-year restaurant growth	77.8	77	20%	+15.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (27)

By cuisine

American 5 · Chicken / wings 5 · Pizza 4 · Seafood 3 · Asian 2 · Coffee 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Japanese 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chinese 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Mexican 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 20 · Quick service 6 · Café 2 · Bakery 1 · Bar 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Dessert 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Cake ‘n Shake	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	5577 Thomaston Rd Ste 100	open
Captain D's Captain D's	Quick service	Seafood · American	5390 Thomaston Rd	open
Chick-in-Box	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	5540 Thomaston Rd G	open
Church's Texas Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	5394 Thomaston Rd	open
Cluckin Great Deli & More	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Chicken / wings · Sandwiches · Cajun, Creole, Southern	6369 Thomaston Rd	open
Essential Bowls	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	5577 Thomaston Rd Ste 100B	open
Fish N' Pig	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Seafood · American	6420 Moseley Dixon Rd	open
G Money Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6375 Zebulon Rd	open
Graffiti’s Pizza - A Greek Taverna	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5577 Thomaston Rd	open
Guitarras Mexican Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	5577 Thomaston Rd #500	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	9005 Thomaston Road	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service	Pizza	5581 Thomaston Rd	open
Lucky Stroll Farm	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	Bolingbroke, Georgia	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	6394 Zebulon Rd, Ste 107	open
Polly's Corner Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	6351 Zebulon Rd	open
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5590 Thomaston Rd Macon	open
Red Owl Coffee Company Red Owl Coffee Company	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	5586 Thomaston Rd	open
Sakura Poke & Hibachi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Healthy / salads / bowls · Hawaiian / Pacific · Asian	5585 Thomaston Rd Ste A300	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	5602 Thomaston Road	open
T Sadler, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5580 Thomaston Rd	open
T&Jay's Bar	Bar		6351 Zebulon Rd	open
Taco Bell	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		5571 Thomaston Rd	open
Tommy's Bakery & Cafe	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee · Breakfast	5580 Thomaston Rd Ste 10	open
Touchdown Wings Now Open	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	5577 Thomaston Rd Ste 100B	open
Wok N Roll	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5540 Thomaston Rd	open
Zaxby's Zaxby's	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	6375 Zebulon Rd	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	5581 Thomaston Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1996	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	8	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	8	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	9	9	4	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	10	9	6	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	11	10	7	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	7	6	4	1	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	9	7	5	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	7	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	7	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	9	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	6	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	5	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	7	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	5	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	6	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	9	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	10	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	10	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	12	12	7	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	8	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	9	9	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	13	5	8	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	17	16	4	11	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 31220. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
31004	4.7 mi	2	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.