BMIE Market 31407

Chatham County, Georgia · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	24,893 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,554 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	10,081 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±881 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,244 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,116 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$81,124 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,661 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	33.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,830 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±119 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$256,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,190 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	33.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	26 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 31407
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	16.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+62.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+116.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+550.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+550.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	33 (range 30–36) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.5 per year, r² 0.94) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	82 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	81 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	94 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 31407. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.94, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Georgia and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 574, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	76.7	77	40%	+30.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	80.5	81	35%	+28.2
Market Momentum Score	94.4	94	25%	+23.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	24,893	85	40%	+34.1
Median household income (ACS)	81,124	64	40%	+25.4
Households (ACS)	10,081	86	20%	+17.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	116.7	95	35%	+33.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.4	71	25%	+17.6
Population (ACS)	24,893	85	20%	+17.0
Median household income (ACS)	81,124	64	20%	+12.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 94 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	62.5	93	50%	+46.3
10-year restaurant growth	116.7	95	30%	+28.4
20-year restaurant growth	550	99	20%	+19.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (53)

By cuisine

American 10 · Pizza 10 · Mexican 6 · Asian 5 · Italian 5 · Burgers 4 · Dessert 4 · Japanese 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Breakfast 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Chinese 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Sushi 3 · BBQ 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Coffee 2 · Bakery 1 · Caribbean 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Seafood 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 37 · Quick service 15 · Bar 6 · Dessert 5 · Casual dining 4 · Bakery 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Café 1 · Catering 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Agave Bar and Grill Carreta de Oro Tequila	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Mexican	7222 GA-21	open
Avalira	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	7306 GA-21	open
Ay's sweet potato pies and more	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Cajun, Creole, Southern · Bakery	12 St Augustine Way	open
Bennigan's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	109 Travelers Way	open
Bojangles	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	310 Magellan Blvd	open
Boomers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	7202 GA Highway 21	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	496 Jimmy Deloach Pkwy	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	7306 GA-21	open
Caribbean Fireside Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	7962 GA-21	open
Chazito's Latin Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Catering		11 Twin Oaks Pl	open
China House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	205 S Coastal Hwy	open
Come and Take It Texas BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	1515 Benton Blvd	open
Delimart North Pizza & Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7306 GA Highway 21	open
Delimart Pizza and Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Pizza · Sandwiches	122 S Coastal Hwy	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	190 Magellan Blvd	open
El Ranchito Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	7306 GA-21	open
FedEx Office Print & Ship Center	Restaurant (service type not stated)		595 Northport Pkwy	open
Fox's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	485 Jimmy Deloach Pkwy	open
Fox's Pizza Savannah Fox's Pizza Den	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	485 Jimmy Deloach Pkwy	open
Fuzzy's Taco Shop	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Breakfast	7002 GA Highway 21	open
Georgia Comfort Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	109 Traveler's Way	open
Hanami	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	7934 Ga Highway 21 Ste 300	open
Hangar 54 Pizza Hangar 54 Pizza	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	5712 GA-21	open
Happy Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	7306 GA-21	open
Holy Pie Pizzeria Holy Pie Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	7306 GA-21	open
Honey's Homestyle Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	7306 GA-21	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	101 Hodgville Rd	open
Island Time Bar and Grill	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	7222 GA Highway 21 N	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Chicken / wings	1900 Benton Blvd	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	7936 Georgia 21	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	7001 Hwy 21	open
Milan Grill and Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		7202 Augusta Rd	open
Moes Southwest Grill Moe's Southwest Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	4 Magnolia Blvd	open
Ni Hao Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1900 Benton Blvd	open
Oh Mexico	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	492 Jimmy Deloach Pkwy	open
Parker's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6000 GA Highway 21	open
Savannah Pizza Company	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Italian · Dessert · Pizza	1252 GA Highway 30	open
Savannah Sugar Ref	Dessert · Quick service · Bar		2 Grange Rd	open
Silverrados	Bar		7202 GA Highway 21	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1900 Benton Blvd Ste 104	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	7001 Hwy 21	open
Sumo Japanese Teriyaki & Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	7306 GA-21	open
Sweet Tea Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	109 Travelers Way	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	7205 Highway 21	open
The Souse House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	213 Commonwealth Ave	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	6941 GA-21	open
Waffle House Georgia Waffle House Amman	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	Georgia 21	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	7106 Highway 21	open
Yum Poke	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific · Japanese · Healthy / salads / bowls	7306 GA-21 #208	open
Zaxby's Zaxby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	100 Old Richmond Rd	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	7936 GA-21	open
Ziggi's Coffee Ziggi's Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	102 Jim Benton Ct	open
21 Shortstop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	7962 GA Highway 21	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	4	4	1	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	4	4	1	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	4	4	1	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	6	5	2	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	5	4	1	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	8	7	2	5	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	8	7	2	5	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	7	7	2	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	13	12	3	8	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	12	11	4	7	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	17	13	5	7	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	16	12	5	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	18	13	6	7	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	19	13	5	7	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	20	15	4	10	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	22	17	4	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	21	16	4	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	24	19	5	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	26	20	6	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	27	23	7	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	31	27	8	17	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	30	26	8	15	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 31407. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.