BMIE Market 31410

Chatham County, Georgia · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	22,214 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,243 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	9,367 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±425 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	23,654 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	10,852 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$97,807 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,666 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,765 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±90 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$407,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,277 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	22.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	42 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 31410
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	17.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+7.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+7.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+31.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+55.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	45 (range 39–50) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.04) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	69 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	82 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	59 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 31410. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.04, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Georgia and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 574, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	81.9	82	40%	+32.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60.7	61	35%	+21.3
Market Momentum Score	58.5	59	25%	+14.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	22,214	83	40%	+33.3
Median household income (ACS)	97,807	79	40%	+31.8
Households (ACS)	9,367	84	20%	+16.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	7.7	52	35%	+18.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	18.9	40	25%	+10.0
Population (ACS)	22,214	83	20%	+16.6
Median household income (ACS)	97,807	79	20%	+15.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	7.7	65	50%	+32.4
10-year restaurant growth	7.7	52	30%	+15.6
20-year restaurant growth	31.3	53	20%	+10.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (85)

By cuisine

American 15 · Pizza 10 · Asian 9 · Coffee 8 · Dessert 8 · Seafood 8 · Burgers 7 · Japanese 7 · Sushi 7 · Bakery 6 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 5 · Sandwiches 4 · BBQ 3 · Breakfast 3 · Chinese 3 · Italian 3 · Mexican 3 · British / Irish pub food 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 52 · Bar 17 · Quick service 14 · Casual dining 9 · Dessert 9 · Bakery 8 · Café 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Food truck 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 2 · Delivery-focused 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A&Ts Breakfast Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	4700 US Highway 80 E	open
Applebee's	Bar		4705 Us Highway 80 E	open
Basils Pizza and Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian	216 Johnny Mercer Blvd	open
Beachin Vitamin Teas	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	4700 US Highway 80 E	open
Beef 'O' Brady's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American		open
Bistro 346 Kitchen & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	346 B Johnny Mercer Blvd	open
Blimpie	Quick service		4700 US Highway 80 E	open
Bogeys Sports Bar & Mini Golf	Bar · Casual dining		7890 US Highway 80 E	open
Bread and Butter at Auspicious Baking Co	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Bakery · Coffee	104 Bryan Woods Rd	open
Britannia Pub	Bar	British / Irish pub food	140 Johnny Mercer Blvd	open
Burger Boat Savannah	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Cajun, Creole, Southern	8005 US-80	open
Cancun Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	216 Johnny Mercer Blvd	open
Cheers To You Cheers to You	Bar · Casual dining		135 Johnny Mercer Blvd	open
Chef Charlotte's Confections	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	140 Johnny Mercer Blvd	open
Chef Wan Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	342 Johnny Mercer Blvd	open
Cilantros Grill & Cantina	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Mexican	461 Johnny Mercer Blvd	open
Cocoa's Dessert Bar	Dessert	Dessert	4 Wilmington Island Dr.	open
Cup to Cup Coffee Roasters (Wholesale Location)	Coffee shop	Coffee	140 Johnny Mercer Blvd	open
Current Kitchen & Cocktails	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian · Sushi · Seafood	7815 US-80	open
Dark Shark Taco Attack	Food truck		6705 Johnny Mercer Blvd # 2336	open
Desposito's Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	3501 Macceo Dr	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	495 Johnny Mercer Blvd	open
Donatos Pizza Donatos Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	111 Jazie Dr	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert · Breakfast	4691 US Highway 80 E	open
Either Way Youre Right Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7890 US Highway 80 E	open
Ellie's Crow Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	205 Johnny Mercer Blvd	open
Five Guys Five Guys	Quick service	Burgers · American	4690 US Highway 80 E	open
Flirt with Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	205 Johnny Mercer Blvd	open
Flying Fish Bar and Grill Flying Fish	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Seafood	7906 US Highway 80 E	open
Friendship Coffee Company	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	205 Johnny Mercer Blvd	open
Good Greens	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls · American	140 Johnny Mercer Blvd	open
Groucho's Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4 Wilmington Island Rd	open
Hodges Management Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1004 Memorial Ln	open
Island Daiquiri	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		313 Johnny Mercer Blvd	open
Island Sports Bar & Grill	Bar · Casual dining		348 Johnny Mercer Blvd	open
Island's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	140 Johnny Mercer Blvd	open
Jalapenos Mexican Grill Jalapenos Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	107 Charlotte Rd A	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	4679 US Highway 80 East Suite A	open
Kakki Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	4700 US Highway 80 E	open
Kanpai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Sushi · Japanese	140 Johnny Mercer Blvd #1	open
Kobe Sushi & Hibachi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	461 Johnny Mercer Blvd c9	open
Lighthouse Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	346 Johnny Mercer Blvd	open
Lili's Restaurant and Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	326 Johnny Mercer Blvd	open
Local. coffee & bagels	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	216 Johnny Mercer Blvd # C5	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	4735 US-80 E	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	475 Johnny Mercer Blvd	open
Molly McGuire's Live Oak Restaurant Group	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · American	216 Johnny Mercer Blvd #1	open
Ms Polly's Cake Giants	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	140 Johnny Mercer Blvd	open
Nelson's Quality Shrimp Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	3516 Old Tybee Rd	open
Panda Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	463 Johnny Mercer Blvd	open
Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	444 johnny mercer blvd	open
Papa Murphy's Papa Murphy's - Jefferson City	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	201 Johnny Mercer Blvd	open
Papa's Bar-B-Que & Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	119 Charlotte Dr Ste A	open
Paula Deen’s Creek House Seafood & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	104 Bryan Wood Rd	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4717 Us Highway 80 E	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	205 Johnny Mercer Blvd Unit H Unit H	open
Psycho Circus	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		700 Wilmington Island Rd	open
Rebekah's Sweetart Cakes	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	216 Port Royal Dr	open
Rita's Italian Ice Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard	Dessert · Bar · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Juice / smoothies	7878 US Highway 80 E	open
Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	419 US-80	open
Siciliano's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4700 US Highway 80 E Ste M	open
Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	4691 Us Highway 80 E	open
Southern Cotton Bbq & Catering, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4700 US Highway 80 E	open
Southern Kicks Bbq	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	221 Johnny Mercer Blvd	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	495 Johnny Mercer Blvd	open
Stump Bar	Bar			open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	4725 US Highway 80 E	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	318 Johnny Mercer Blvd Unit E	open
Sundown Lodge	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	138 Johnny Mercer Blvd	open
Sunrise Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · American	346 Johnny Mercer Blvd	open
Super Tastes	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	119 Charlotte Rd Ste h	open
The Bar Bar on Wilmington	Bar		138 Johnny Mercer Blvd	open
The Corner Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	111 Jazie Dr A	open
The Gaming Lounge	Bar		140 Johnny Mercer Blvd	open
The Islander	Bar		301 Johnny Mercer Blvd	open
The Snug Irish Pub	Bar	British / Irish pub food	216 Johnny Mercer Blvd Ste 2	open
The Steakhouse on Whitemarsh Island	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	4700 US-80	open
The Sweet Shoppe	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	6707 Johnny Mercer Blvd	open
Uncle Bubba's Oyster House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	104 Bryan Wood Rd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	7835 US Highway 80 E	open
Wiley's Championship BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	4700 US Highway 80 E	open
Williams Seafood Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8010 Highway 80 E	open
Yummy House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	111 Jazie Dr	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	4717 US-80	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	155 Johnny Mercer Blvd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	29	27	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	28	27	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	28	26	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	36	34	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	32	28	16	12	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	33	29	20	9	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	30	27	18	9	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	34	29	20	9	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	36	31	19	12	—	3	NAICS1997
2003	37	32	19	12	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	47	40	25	13	2	2	NAICS2002
2005	46	40	23	15	2	3	NAICS2002
2006	40	35	21	14	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	42	36	19	16	1	2	NAICS2002
2008	46	37	23	11	3	3	NAICS2007
2009	47	40	25	13	2	2	NAICS2007
2010	48	41	24	14	3	2	NAICS2007
2011	45	39	22	15	2	2	NAICS2007
2012	46	42	23	18	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	42	39	21	18	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	42	40	24	16	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	48	46	30	16	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	48	46	28	17	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	45	43	26	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	41	39	22	14	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	42	41	24	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	44	43	22	17	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	45	44	23	17	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	45	44	26	16	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	45	42	24	16	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 31410. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
31404	4.5 mi	51	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.