BMIE Market 32003

Clay County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	29,766 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,796 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	11,470 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±634 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	27,126 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	10,440 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$116,611 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,888 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	47.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,935 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±122 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$422,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,368 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	15.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	55 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 32003
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	14.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+5.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+31.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+223.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+2,650.0% DERIVED: 2000 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	65 (range 59–71) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.6 per year, r² 0.78) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	89 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	71 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	72 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 32003. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.78, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	88.8	89	40%	+35.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	71.0	71	35%	+24.8
Market Momentum Score	71.6	72	25%	+17.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 89 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	29,766	89	40%	+35.5
Median household income (ACS)	116,611	89	40%	+35.7
Households (ACS)	11,470	88	20%	+17.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	31.0	72	35%	+25.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	18.5	41	25%	+10.3
Population (ACS)	29,766	89	20%	+17.7
Median household income (ACS)	116,611	89	20%	+17.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	5.8	62	50%	+31.1
10-year restaurant growth	31.0	72	30%	+21.5
20-year restaurant growth	223.5	95	20%	+19.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (119)

By cuisine

American 22 · Pizza 12 · Sandwiches 11 · Dessert 9 · Asian 8 · Bakery 7 · Burgers 7 · Mexican 7 · Seafood 7 · Coffee 6 · Chicken / wings 5 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 5 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 4 · Healthy / salads / bowls 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Italian 4 · Japanese 4 · Sushi 4 · BBQ 3 · Breakfast 3 · Chinese 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Steakhouse 3 · Caribbean 2 · Cuban 2 · British / Irish pub food 1 · European 1 · Greek 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 78 · Quick service 23 · Bar 16 · Dessert 10 · Bakery 8 · Casual dining 8 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Specialty food shop 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Catering 2 · Fast casual 2 · Other 2 · Buffet 1 · Delivery-focused 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
1928 Cuban Bistro - Fleming Island 1928 Cuban Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cuban · Latin American (other) · Caribbean	1831 Golden Eagle Way Unit 29	open
Asian House Asian House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Asian · American	2349 Village Square Pkwy	open
Ben's Soft Pretzels	Quick service · Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Dessert	1505 County Road 220	open
Black Rifle Coffee Company Black Rifle Coffee Company	Coffee shop	Coffee	1619 County Rd 220	open
Blimpie	Other	Sandwiches		open
Blu Grotto Trattoria & Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1811 Town Center Blvd	open
Bono's Pit Bar-B-Q	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1765 Town Center Blvd	open
Brew-Bakers Cafe & Co.	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	1811 Golden Eagle Way #23	open
Brick Oven Pizzeria & Gastropub	Casual dining · Bar	Pizza · Italian	1811 Town Center Blvd	open
Bubba Burger Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1811 Town Center Blvd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	4319 US-17	open
Camcor Restaurant Group	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1810 Town Center Blvd Ste 1	open
Captain's Lounge	Bar		1873 Osprey Bluff Blvd	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	1541 County Rd 220	open
Chili's Grill & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2005 East West Parkway	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1607 County Road 220	open
Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1810 Town Center Blvd, Ste 10	open
Corks and Barrels	Bar		1824 Town Center Blvd Ste 101	open
Corky Bells Seafood & Steaks Corky Bell's Seafood & Steaks at Gator Landing	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Seafood · American	1049 Floyd St	open
Crazy Bean Coffee Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1545 County Road 220	open
Dicks Wings and Grill Fleming Island, FL	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Fast casual	BBQ · Healthy / salads / bowls · Chicken / wings	1803 Eastwest Pkwy	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	1560 2 Business Center Dr	open
Domo Japanese Steakhouse and Sushi Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Steakhouse	2009 East-West Pkwy	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	4685 US-17	open
Eagle Harbor Lick Skillet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	4523 Lakeshore Dr	open
Einstein Bros. Bagels Einstein Bros. Bagels	Bakery	Bakery · Sandwiches	1581 County Road 220 Unit 100	open
Firehouse Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1581 CR 220 Ste. 115	open
Firehouse Subs Firehouse Subs	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	1581 CR 220 Ste. 115	open
Five Guys Five Guys	Quick service	Burgers · American	1571 County Rd. 220 #130	open
Flava Moose	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1545 County Road 220 #111	open
Fleming 15154, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5000 Us Highway 17 Ste 85	open
Fresh From Yianni's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek	1831 Golden Eagle Way Ste 29	open
GhostKitchens Fleming Island Ghost Kitchens US	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	1505 County Road 220	open
Great American Cookies	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	Island Walk North Shopping Center, 1960 East-West Pkwy, Ste 109	open
Hibernia Pub	Bar · Casual dining	British / Irish pub food	2260 Town Center Blvd	open
Hop Shing	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Chinese	5000 US-17	open
Hot Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1615 County Rd 220 #155	open
Hurricane Grill & Wings Hurricane Grill & Wings	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1810-1 Town Center Blvd	open
Ichiban Buffet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	1545 County Road 220 #113	open
IHOP IHOP	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	1825 East-West Pkwy	open
Island Life Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	2245-3 Plantation Center Dr,	open
It's Just Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2005 East West Parkway	open
Java's Brewin'	Bar		3555 US Highway 17	open
Jeremiah's Italian Ice Jeremiah's Italian Ice	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	1811 Golden Eagle Way Ste 20	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service · Other	Sandwiches · American	1560 Business Center Dr Suite 1B	open
Jimmy John's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1960 E West Pkwy Ste 108	open
Johnson’s Fleming Island Lounge	Bar		1560 Business Center Dr	open
Just A Pinch Cafe & Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific	1811 Golden Eagle Way Ste 23	open
La Nopalera La Nopalera	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1571 CR-220	open
Lanna Thai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	1605 County Rd 220	open
Larry's Giant Subs Larry's Giant Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	1545 County Rd 220	open
Living Waters Co.	Bakery	Bakery	2028 Hawkeye Pl	open
Lltmc, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1545 County Road 220	open
LongHorn Steakhouse LongHorn Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	1605 County Road 220	open
Maple Street Biscuit Company Maple Street Biscuit Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1960 Eastwest Pkwy	open
Margaritas Restaurant Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3535 Us Highway 17 Ste B	open
McAlister's Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	1615 County Road 220 Ste 180	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	5000 Us Highway 17	open
Mellow Mushroom Mellow Mushroom	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	1800 Town Center Blvd	open
Mercury Moon Bar and Grille	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		2015 County Rd 220	open
Mindy's Cuban Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cuban · Latin American (other) · Caribbean	1810 Town Center Blvd Ste 13	open
Moe's Southwest Grill Moe's Southwest Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	1544 County Road 220	open
Mojo Smokehouse MOJO Old City BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1810 Town Center Blvd	open
Moonlit Munchies	Bakery	Bakery	Roseberry Ct	open
Mr. Chubby's Wings MrChubby's Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	2349 Village Square Pkwy	open
Mr. Gordo's Tacos and Cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	3535 US-17 #8	open
MrBeast Burger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Sandwiches	1521 COUNTY ROAD 220	open
New York Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1811 Golden Eagle Way #25	open
Nothing Bundt Cakes	Dessert	Dessert	1560 Business Center Dr Ste 6	open
O'charley's Restaurant & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1609 County Road 220	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Bakery · Fast casual	Bakery · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	1510 County Road 220	open
Papa John's Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4315 US-17	open
Papa Murphy's Take 'N' Bake Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1581 County Road 220 Ste 110	open
Parlor Doughnuts Parlor Doughnuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	1524 County Road 220	open
Pepper's Cocina Mexicana	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1560 Business Center Dr	open
Peterbrooke Chocolatier Fleming Island Peterbrooke Chocolatier	Dessert	Dessert	1560 Business Center Dr	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5000 US Hwy 17 South	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5000 US Hwy 17 South	open
Planet Smoothie Planet Smoothie	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	2245 Plantation Center Dr	open
Planet Smoothie Planet Smoothie	Quick service		2245 Plantation Center Dr.	open
Randy & Sandy’s Patio Bar & Grill on #10	Casual dining · Bar		1634 Pinecrest Dr	open
Red Parrot Tiki Bar	Bar		1734 Chalet St	open
Saigon Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1810 Town Center Blvd	open
Saloon 17	Bar		3297 US-17	open
Santioni's Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	3535 US-17	open
Shoreline Sea Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1615 County Road 220	open
Smoothie King	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	1581 County Road 220, Ste 130	open
Sonic Drive-In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1801 Town Center Boulevard	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	2000 East-West Pkwy	open
Steak 'n Shake	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1607 County Road 220	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1809-1 Town Center Blvd	open
Sun and Steam Seafood Pots	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1811 Golden Eagle Way #28	open
Sushi Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	5000 US-17	open
Sushiya	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	1615 County Rd 220	open
sweetFrog sweetFrog	Dessert · Bar	Dessert	1581-1 Country Road 220, Ste 100	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1635 CR 220	open
Take-Away Buffet	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering		1805 East-West Pkwy	open
Taps Bar and Grill Fleming Island	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1605 County Road 220	open
The Captain's Boil	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1521 County Road 220	open
The Loop Restaurant	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers · Pizza	1960 E W Pkwy Ste 110	open
The Mini Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1524 County Road 220 Ste 4	open
The Sunset Tiki Bar	Bar		3108 US-17	open
The Toasted Yolk Cafe The Toasted Yolk Cafe	Café	Breakfast · Coffee · American	1615 County Rd 220 Unit 180	open
Tijuana Flats Tijuana Flats	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1647 County Rd 220 #103	open
Timeout Deli and Grill	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Middle Eastern · Mediterranean	4311 US-17	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	5000 US HWY 17	open
V Pizza Fleming Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1605 County Road 220 Ste 145	open
V Pizza \u0026 Tap Garden V Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1605 County Road 220 Ste 145	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	1505 County Road 220	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1575 Island Ln	open
Whataburger	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1517 County Road 220	open
Whitey's Fish Camp	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	2032 County Road 220	open
Whitey's Fish Camp	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	Fleming Island, , FL 32003-7953	open
Your Pie Your Pie	Catering · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1545 County Road 220	open
Zandra Breuer	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3275 Arrowood Drive	open
Zaxby's Zaxby's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	1525 County Road 220	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	865 Hibernia Rd #200	open
Zhi's Hop Shing Restaurant Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5000 Us Highway 17 Ste 21	open
Osaka Grill & Sushi Buffet	Buffet		1545 County Road 220 Ste 113	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
2000	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	8	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	15	14	8	5	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	18	17	9	5	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	19	19	9	6	3	—	NAICS2002
2005	23	23	10	8	4	—	NAICS2002
2006	28	28	16	8	4	—	NAICS2002
2007	30	29	15	9	5	1	NAICS2002
2008	38	38	18	15	5	—	NAICS2007
2009	39	38	19	14	5	1	NAICS2007
2010	39	39	23	12	4	—	NAICS2007
2011	42	42	22	15	5	—	NAICS2007
2012	46	45	25	16	4	1	NAICS2012
2013	44	42	24	13	4	1	NAICS2012
2014	44	40	22	14	3	1	NAICS2012
2015	46	41	23	13	4	2	NAICS2012
2016	48	43	22	16	4	2	NAICS2012
2017	53	51	24	20	7	—	NAICS2017
2018	56	52	27	20	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	57	54	26	23	5	—	NAICS2017
2020	57	54	24	24	6	—	NAICS2017
2021	56	53	26	23	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	57	52	24	23	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	61	55	24	26	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 32003. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.