BMIE Market 32091

Bradford County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	14,719 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±868 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,517 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±454 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	15,472 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,015 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$62,852 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,324 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$830 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±55 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$206,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,959 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	152.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	32 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 32091
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	16.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+23.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+52.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+52.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+45.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	35 (range 32–38) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.0 per year, r² 0.90) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	60 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	79 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 32091. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.90, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	59.7	60	40%	+23.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60.2	60	35%	+21.1
Market Momentum Score	78.7	79	25%	+19.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	14,719	76	40%	+30.5
Median household income (ACS)	62,852	35	40%	+14.0
Households (ACS)	5,517	76	20%	+15.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	52.4	85	35%	+29.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	21.7	33	25%	+8.3
Population (ACS)	14,719	76	20%	+15.3
Median household income (ACS)	62,852	35	20%	+7.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	23.1	79	50%	+39.7
10-year restaurant growth	52.4	85	30%	+25.4
20-year restaurant growth	52.4	68	20%	+13.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (81)

By cuisine

American 24 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 9 · BBQ 7 · Coffee 7 · Bakery 5 · Burgers 5 · Chicken / wings 5 · Breakfast 4 · Pizza 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Seafood 4 · Asian 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Mexican 2 · Chinese 1 · Italian 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 45 · Quick service 20 · Bar 13 · Bakery 6 · Casual dining 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Café 4 · Dessert 4 · Buffet 2 · Food truck 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Delivery-focused 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
ANB crab shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	14699 US Highway 301 S	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	433 S Temple Ave	open
Beef 'O' Brady's Beef 'O' Brady's Fern Creek	Bar · Casual dining	American	502 N Temple Ave	open
Bentley's Meat's Inc In Daytona Beach Florida	Bar	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern		open
Bigun'S Place	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated)		S Orange St	open
Blueline Q	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	15070 US-301	open
Burger King	Quick service		433 S Temple Ave	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	813 S Walnut St	open
Call Street Cafe	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	111 W Call St	open
Camp Blanding Conference Center and Restaurant	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American		open
Captain D's Captain D's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	804 S Walnut St	open
Cedar River Seafood Cedar River Seafood of Lake City, Florida	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	900 S Walnut St	open
Delicious Country Cooking	Food truck	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	106 W Brownlee St	open
Dick's Wings and Grill Dick’s Wings and Grill US-1 South St Augustine	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1371 S Walnut St	open
Dickey's Barbecue Pit	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	2540 Commercial Dr	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	605 West Madison St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	631 S Walnut St	open
Ellianos Coffee Ellianos Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	603 S Walnut St	open
Farmhouse Crumbs	Bakery	Bakery	1435 NE State Road 16	open
Fast & Tasty FOOD TRUCK	Restaurant (service type not stated)		800 S Walnut St	open
Fat Jack's Smokestack BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	659 US Hwy 301 S	open
George's	Bar		22808 NW State Road 16	open
Grannies Country Cookin	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	367 N Temple Ave	open
Grill Depot	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	312 W Brownlee St	open
Grouper Gregg's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	6023 Kingsley Lake Dr # B	open
Gs Slow Smoked BBQ of FL	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	915 N Temple Ave	open
G’s BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	915 N Temple Ave	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	435 S Temple Ave	open
Henry and Ernie Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1371 S Walnut St	open
Hometown Grounds Coffee Co.	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	138 E Call St	open
Huddle House Huddle House	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	650 N Temple Ave	open
Ihop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	1350 S Walnut St	open
Inferno	Bar		10204 SE State Road 100	open
Internet Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	1642 S Walnut St	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	640 South Walnut	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	115 S Temple Ave	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1100 E Brownlee St	open
Krystal Krystal	Quick service	Burgers · American	582 N Temple Ave	open
Laredo Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	800 N Temple Ave	open
Limp Brizkit	Food truck	BBQ · American	528 S Walnut St	open
Lin Gui No. 1 Chinese Restaurant Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1371 S Walnut St Ste 1300	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	207 S Orange St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	802 S Walnut Street	open
Nutrition Escape	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	263 N Temple Ave	open
Our House - A Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	221 S Orange St	open
Papa John's Papa John's	Quick service		2520 COMMERCIAL DR	open
Pardon My Cheesesteak	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1350 S Walnut St	open
Patriot Saloon	Bar		17420 US-301	open
peace plants & pastries	Bakery	Bakery	5571 NW County Rd 233	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	915 N Temple Ave	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1371 S. Walnut Street Bradford	open
Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	1050 S Walnut St	open
Powell's Dairy Freeze	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1212 N Temple Ave	open
Red Dog Saloon Inc	Bar		12542 US-301	open
Sapp Station Coffee Shop	Coffee shop	Coffee	138 E Call St	open
Shoney's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1350 S Walnut St	open
Soda Crush Club	Coffee shop	Coffee	417 Edwards Rd	open
Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	825 N Temple Ave	open
Sonny's BBQ Sonny's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	230 S Temple Ave	open
Southern Delights Starke, Fl	Bakery	Bakery	1200 Westward Ave	open
Starke Beef's, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		502 N Temple Ave	open
Starke, FL Krystal	Quick service		582 N. Temple Ave.	open
Stickland's Scoop	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	212 N Bay St	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	14500 US Hwy 301 South	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	236 S Temple Ave US 301	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	23039 NW State Road 16	open
Sweet Honeybees Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	902 Butler Rd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	808 S Walnut St	open
The Cabana	Bar · Casual dining		12957 SW CR-227	open
The Corner Kitchen- The Eatery	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	7318 NW CR-225	open
The Downtown Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	301 E Call St	open
The Sheik	Quick service		2540 Commercial Dr	open
The Stack House Bar & Grill	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1019 Eastwood Dr	open
Timbuktu Lounge & Package	Bar		17420 US-301	open
Tip Thai Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	127 E Call St	open
Tony’s Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	117 S Thompson St	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	14500 US Highway 301 S	open
Western Steer Family Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1100 S Walnut St	open
Whiskey River Saloon	Bar		801 US-301	open
Zaxby's Zaxby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	14065 SE 48th Ave	open
Dink's Place	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	117 S Thompson St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	23	22	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	18	17	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	19	18	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	19	18	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	22	20	10	9	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	20	19	9	9	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	20	19	10	8	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	23	22	10	10	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	24	21	9	11	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	24	21	9	11	1	2	NAICS2002
2004	24	19	7	12	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	27	23	8	12	2	1	NAICS2002
2006	28	24	10	12	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	28	24	9	14	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	27	25	9	14	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	27	26	9	15	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	29	26	10	13	2	2	NAICS2007
2011	24	23	9	12	2	1	NAICS2007
2012	25	22	7	14	1	3	NAICS2012
2013	24	21	8	13	—	2	NAICS2012
2014	24	22	8	14	—	2	NAICS2012
2015	23	21	7	14	—	2	NAICS2012
2016	25	23	8	13	1	2	NAICS2012
2017	28	25	7	14	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	29	26	9	13	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	30	27	10	14	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	28	25	8	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	31	28	9	15	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	31	30	9	16	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	34	32	9	17	6	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 32091. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.