BMIE Market 32092

St. Johns County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	53,071 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,224 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	18,425 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±891 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	28,242 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	11,055 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$131,020 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,212 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,424 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±191 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$489,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,931 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	124.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	55 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 32092
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+77.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+587.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+1,733.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	62 (range 52–72) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +2.0 per year, r² 0.67) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	90 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	96 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	87 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	87 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 32092. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +2.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.67, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 90 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	95.6	96	40%	+38.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	86.9	87	35%	+30.4
Market Momentum Score	86.8	87	25%	+21.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 96 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	53,071	97	40%	+39.0
Median household income (ACS)	131,020	93	40%	+37.3
Households (ACS)	18,425	97	20%	+19.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 87 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	77.4	89	35%	+31.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.4	71	25%	+17.7
Population (ACS)	53,071	97	20%	+19.5
Median household income (ACS)	131,020	93	20%	+18.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 87 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	25	81	50%	+40.4
10-year restaurant growth	77.4	89	30%	+26.6
20-year restaurant growth	587.5	99	20%	+19.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (124)

By cuisine

American 23 · Asian 12 · Coffee 12 · Italian 12 · Pizza 12 · Sandwiches 12 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 9 · Japanese 9 · Bakery 8 · Dessert 8 · Juice / smoothies 8 · Sushi 8 · Burgers 6 · Breakfast 5 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 5 · Mexican 5 · BBQ 4 · Healthy / salads / bowls 4 · Indian 3 · Chinese 2 · Spanish / tapas 2 · Chicken / wings 1 · European 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Seafood 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 71 · Quick service 18 · Bar 17 · Dessert 14 · Bakery 10 · Café 10 · Casual dining 9 · Coffee shop 8 · Juice, smoothie, tea 8 · Food truck 5 · Specialty food shop 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Delivery-focused 2 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
2 Creeks Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	74 Capulet Dr Ste 201	open
AJ's Kitchen & Cocktails	Bar	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1 King and Bear Dr	open
Ancient City Brewing	Brewery / taproom		3420 Agricultural Center Dr Ste 8	open
Antonio's Pizza and Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	9155 County Road 13 N	open
Auntie Anne's Auntie Anne's	Juice, smoothie, tea · Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Juice / smoothies · Bakery · Healthy / salads / bowls	2700 FL-16 Space	open
Bacon and Bubbles Food Truck	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast		open
Bellini's Cucina Italiana	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	105 Nature Walk Pkwy Unit 101	open
Benito's Italian Cafe & Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	155 Hampton Point Dr	open
Bite a Bagel	Bakery	Bakery · Sandwiches · Breakfast	105 Nature Walk Pkwy #108	open
Blue Wave Nutrition, LLC	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	2730 FL-16	open
Burger King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	2700 State Road 16 Ste 205	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	3025 International Golf Parkway	open
Cafe Cairano	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Breakfast	425 W Town Pl UNIT 108	open
China Sun	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	52 Tuscan Way #206	open
Cinco De Mayo Cinco de Mayo Atlantic Blvd	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	124 Capulet Dr	open
Clean Juice	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies	104 Ashourian Ave Ste 103	open
Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	52 Tuscan Way, Ste 207	open
Columbia Restaurant in St Augustine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Spanish / tapas		open
Cracker Barrel Cracker Barrel Old Country Store	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	2441 State Rd. 16 I-95 & SR 16	open
Cracker Barrel Old Country Store	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2441 State Road 16	open
Cucina Giovanni	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	2730 FL-16	open
Cutie Pies Bake Shop - St. Augustine	Bakery	Bakery	2753 Spinnerbait Ct	open
Daruma Asian Cuisine Japanese steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Sushi · Japanese	107 Nature Walk Pkwy Ste 109	open
Deja Brew Coffee	Coffee shop · Food truck · Café	Coffee	6205 FL-16	open
Della Torre's Italian Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches · Italian	180 Registry Blvd	open
DeRita Italian Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Italian	155 Hampton Point Dr Ste 4	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	185 Murabella Parkway Unit 3	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	107 Nature Walk Parkway	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	180 Capulet Dr	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	150 Hampton Point Dr	open
El Agave Azul Jacksonville	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2700 State Road 16	open
Five Drinks Minimum Social Club	Bar		473 Palisade Dr	open
Foxtail Coffee Co. & Kelly's Ice Cream Silver Leaf Foxtail Coffee	Coffee shop · Dessert · Café	Coffee · Ice cream / frozen desserts	50 Silver Frst Dr	open
Frankie’s Franks Hot Dogs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs		open
Freddy Fingers Food Truck	Food truck	American	Jacksonville	open
Gator's Dockside Gator's Dockside Jonesville	Casual dining · Bar	American	105 Murabella Pkwy	open
George's Orangedale Package	Bar		6270 FL-13	open
Golden Eye Ranch	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ		open
Happy Endings Cheesecakes	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery		open
IHOP IHOP	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	2560 SR-16	open
Indian Fusion Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	67 Varner Way	open
International Golf Pkwy Whataburger	Quick service		179 Village Commons Dr	open
It's A Shore Thang	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3420 Agricultural Center Dr	open
Jeremiah's Italian Ice Jeremiah's Italian Ice	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	124 Capulet Dr	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	70 Silver Forest Drive Suite 105	open
Jin Sushi Hibachi Thai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Sushi · Japanese	2730 FL-16	open
King Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	425 W Town Pl	open
Kolapasi Indian Canteen - St. Augustine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Asian	170 Registry Blvd Ste 103	open
La Catrina Tacos & Tequila Bar	Bar	Mexican	155 Hampton Point Dr	open
La Nopalera	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	155 Hampton Point Dr	open
Larry's Giant Subs	Quick service		2700 State Road 16 Ste 206	open
Lemongrass Asian Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2730 State Road 16 Ste 118	open
Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	74 Capulet Dr	open
Matsukawa Sushi and Ramen Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	74 Capulet Dr Unit 205	open
Matsukawa松川	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese		open
Mbc St Augustine Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		455 S Legacy Trl	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	103 Tuscan Way	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	101 Nature Walk Pkwy	open
Mellow Mushroom St. Augustine - Murabella Mellow Mushroom	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	5330 FL-16	open
Mile Marker Brewing	Brewery / taproom		3420 Agricultural Center Dr Ste 8	open
MIO Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		425 W Town Pl Ste 108	open
Mr Farmer	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific · Healthy / salads / bowls · Asian	180 Registry Blvd Ste 101	open
MrBeast Burger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Sandwiches	2443 STATE ROAD 16	open
Murray Bros. Caddyshack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	455 S Legacy Trl	open
New York Subs	Other	Sandwiches	425 W Town Pl	open
Nori Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	304 Ashourian Ave	open
OJ Snowcones	Dessert · Quick service	Dessert		open
Outback Crab Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	8155 County Rd 13 N	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee	235 Village Commons Drive	open
Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	105 murabella pkwy	open
Pirate Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	425 W Town Pl	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	52 Tuscan Way #208 Suite 208	open
Planet Smoothie	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	2700 FL-16 Ste 106C	open
Poppys Italiano	Restaurant (service type not stated)		104 Ashourian Way Ste 101	open
RH Rooftop Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	70 Silver Forest Dr	open
Rita’s of Silverleaf FL Rita's Italian Ice	Dessert · Bar	Dessert		open
Ruby Tuesday	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Sandwiches	2443 State Road 16	open
Rufino's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2700 FL-16	open
Rustica Earth Sea and Fire	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	European · American	70 Silver Frst Dr	open
Sal’s Cucina Food Truck	Food truck	Italian	254 Buck Run Way	open
SARAP STOP	Food truck		Saint Johns County	open
Shoney's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2443 State Road 16	open
Simone's Wood Fired Craft Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	185 Murabella Pkwy #8	open
Smilee's Pub	Bar	American	none	open
Smileyberrycafe	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	2700 State Road 16	open
SoFresh - SilverLeaf SoFresh	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	1985 Silverleaf Parkway Suite 107	open
Sonny's BBQ Sonny's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	2720 FL-16	open
Southern Vibes - Upscale Tapas And Wine Bar	Bar	Spanish / tapas	105 Murabella Pkwy Ste 5	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	145 Village Commons Dr	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	2510 County Road 208	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	105 Fireworks Alley	open
Stoner's Pizza Joint Stoner's Pizza Joint	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	196 Capulet Dr	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	124 Capulet Drive Unit #108	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	120 Center Pl Way	open
Sugar Art by Amaani	Bakery	Bakery		open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	2453 State Road 16	open
Tank's Sushi Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	46 Tuscan Way	open
Taste Of India	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	155 Hampton Point Dr	open
Tellys Beach Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar			open
The Bridge At St. Johns	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	205 St Johns Golf Dr	open
The Draft Room	Bar		2730 St Rd 16 Ste 116	open
The Frozen Flamingo Ice Cream Truck	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea · Food truck	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	1304 Wekiva Way	open
The Greene Pig Sweets	Bakery	Bakery	Splendid Ravine St	open
The Legends Grille	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	2 World Golf Pl	open
The Light Of Christmas - Turning Point At Calvary	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3500 State Road 16	open
Tim's Wine Market and Wine Bar Tim's Wine Market Windermere	Bar		206 Ashourian Ave	open
Tony's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2843 County Road 210 W	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Sandwiches · Coffee	124 Tuscan Way	open
Twisted Turtle Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	425 W Town Pl Ste 116	open
Uncle Rico’s Bar & Grille	Bar		190 S Hampton Club Way	open
Villagio Grille	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	500 S Legacy Trail	open
Volcano Japanese Cuisine - Registry Blvd	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	180 Registry Blvd	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	2729 SR-16	open
Whit's Frozen Custard of World Golf Village Whit's Frozen Custard of Daphne	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	185 Murabella Pkwy	open
Willie Jewell's Bar-B-Q Willie Jewell's Old School BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	105 Murabella Pkwy	open
Woodpeckers Backyard BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	4930 State Rd 13 N	open
Yofrodipity	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	105 Nature Walk Pkwy #104	open
Zaxby's Zaxby's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Chicken / wings	5350 State Road 16	open
Zen & Ginger, Café and Boba	Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	305 Ashourian Avenue, Unit 108	open
Zen and Ginger	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	304 Ashourian Ave Unit 3	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	84 Tuscan Way	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	170 Vlg Cmns Dr	open
Dairy Dugout, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		425 W Town Pl	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	9	9	5	4	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	8	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	9	9	4	5	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	7	6	2	4	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	9	8	3	5	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	10	8	1	7	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	10	9	4	5	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	13	12	6	6	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	18	17	11	5	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	20	20	13	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	23	22	14	7	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	25	23	16	6	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	25	22	14	7	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	27	25	16	8	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	27	25	15	9	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	33	31	16	12	3	1	NAICS2012
2014	36	33	18	13	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	43	40	18	18	4	2	NAICS2012
2016	44	38	19	17	2	3	NAICS2012
2017	47	43	19	21	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	50	44	16	24	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	47	40	18	19	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	44	36	20	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	55	44	22	16	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	65	57	23	23	10	—	NAICS2022
2023	63	55	20	26	8	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 32092. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.