BMIE Market 32110

Flagler County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,018 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±767 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,654 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±316 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,600 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,602 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$57,485 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,114 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,270 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±231 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$246,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±33,147 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	296.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	14 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 32110
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	14.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-6.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+16.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+75.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	17 (range 14–20) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.18) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	44 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	52 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	46 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	30 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 32110. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.18, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 44 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	52.5	52	40%	+21.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	45.7	46	35%	+16.0
Market Momentum Score	29.9	30	25%	+7.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,018	71	40%	+28.3
Median household income (ACS)	57,485	25	40%	+10.2
Households (ACS)	3,654	70	20%	+14.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	14.0	57	25%	+14.2
Population (ACS)	10,018	71	20%	+14.2
Median household income (ACS)	57,485	25	20%	+5.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 30 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-6.7	21	50%	+10.7
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	16.7	44	20%	+8.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (67)

By cuisine

American 16 · Italian 5 · Seafood 5 · Bakery 4 · Caribbean 4 · Chicken / wings 4 · Dessert 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Pizza 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Mexican 3 · BBQ 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Cuban 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · African 1 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Coffee 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 39 · Bar 19 · Casual dining 10 · Dessert 6 · Quick service 6 · Bakery 4 · Specialty food shop 3 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
1405 Saloon	Bar		1405 E Moody Blvd	open
AATWings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · African	703 S State St	open
Azul Tequila	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	603 N State St	open
Bantam Chef	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Sandwiches · American	101 E Court St	open
Bimini Bar	Bar		1022 FL-100	open
Bull Creek Fish Camp	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	3861 W County Road 2006	open
Chicken Pantry	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	602 E Moody Blvd	open
Choppers & Chaps	Bar		109 S State St	open
Cool Beans Barbeque and Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	807 N State St	open
Crossroads Tavern	Bar		111 N State St	open
Cupcake Cafe	Bakery	Bakery	604 E Moody Blvd	open
Del castillo pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cuban · Pizza	4601 E Moody Blvd Ste 7	open
Dex N Angie House of Flavor	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	100 S State St Ste a	open
Dex N Angie House Of Flavor	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1403 E Moody Blvd	open
Dippy’s Ice Cream	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts	602 S State St	open
Domenech Corner	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cuban · Caribbean	508 N State St	open
Down Yonder	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	9787 W Highway 100	open
E & S Foods	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	206 N State St	open
Fish & Chix 1	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Seafood	4601 E Moody Blvd G1	open
Flagler Bar	Bar		104 N State St	open
Frosti Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	606 N State St	open
Gilly's 10-5 Saloon	Bar		2405 E Moody Blvd Ste 505	open
Giuseppe's NY Pizza & Pasta Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2245 S Old Dixie Hwy	open
Hot Diggity Dogs & Shakes	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs · American	1001 S State St	open
Ice House Saloon	Bar		810 N State St	open
Ikes Saloon	Bar · Casual dining		801 S State St	open
Irie Cuisine By JC	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Juice / smoothies	1107 N State St	open
Knuckle Sandwich Sub Shop	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	4490 US-1	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1480 CR 305	open
Larry's Italian Deli, LLC	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	2405 E Moody Blvd Suite 202	open
Lil City Hookah	Bar		703 S State St	open
Loping Gopher Tap Room	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		4601 E Moody Blvd B6	open
Los Dos Potrillos Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	614 N State St	open
Mama Kim's Ice Cream Parlor	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	2245 S Old Dixie Hwy	open
Melina's Empanadas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Caribbean	2405 E Moody Blvd	open
Nina’s Sweet Treats LLC	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	Blueberry St	open
Ocean Seafood Emporium	Quick service	Seafood	4490 N US Highway 1, Ste 102	open
Ol' Skool Bar and Grille	Casual dining · Bar	American	1404 Co Rd 305	open
Osteria Rustica Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	4750 E Moody Blvd	open
Panda Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	2700-2710 Florida 100	open
Phatheadz Crab Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	2245 S Old Dixie Hwy	open
Pit Stop Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	County Road 305	open
Rednick Rick's Cooking	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	602 E Moody Blvd	open
Rehab Sports Bar	Bar · Casual dining		616 N State St	open
sarafina's eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	604 E Moody Blvd	open
Say Cheese Pizza & Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	100 S State St	open
Scarey Mary's Place	Bar · Casual dining		801 S State St	open
Smok n meats	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	BBQ	2551 N State St	open
Southern Table	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	501 S State St	open
Stampedes Restaurant and Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	2535 N State St	open
State Street Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1104 S State St	open
Super Yummy Cakes in Bunnell and Palm Coast	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	144 Co Rd 302	open
T-bbq Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	100 S State St Ste A	open
Taqueria La Calentana	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	604 E Moody Blvd	open
Terranova's Restaurant and Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	208 N State St	open
Thai and I	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	603 N State St	open
The Alibi Bar	Bar · Casual dining		801 S State St	open
The Dove Doughery	Bakery	Bakery	6350 Mahogany Blvd	open
The Wandering Hoagie	Restaurant (service type not stated)		904 N State St	open
Three Finger Charlies	Bar		109 S State St	open
Tomahawk Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2535 N State St	open
Twice the Ice of Bunnell	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1100 S State St	open
Uncle Stuie's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	101 S State St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2570 Commerce Parkway	open
White Eagle Lounge	Bar		Old Dixie Hwy	open
Zia Maria’s Caffè	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Italian	2710 E Moody Blvd	open
Crab Shack 386	Restaurant (service type not stated)		109 S State St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	10	8	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	9	7	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	9	7	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	12	9	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	14	11	7	2	2	2	NAICS1997
1999	13	8	6	2	—	4	NAICS1997
2000	13	9	7	2	—	3	NAICS1997
2001	12	7	6	1	—	4	NAICS1997
2002	14	10	7	2	1	4	NAICS1997
2003	15	12	8	2	2	3	NAICS2002
2004	15	12	9	2	1	3	NAICS2002
2005	14	11	8	3	—	3	NAICS2002
2006	16	13	9	4	—	3	NAICS2002
2007	15	12	6	5	1	2	NAICS2002
2008	18	15	9	5	1	2	NAICS2007
2009	17	13	7	5	1	3	NAICS2007
2010	14	11	7	3	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	17	13	8	4	1	3	NAICS2007
2012	16	13	7	5	1	3	NAICS2012
2013	16	14	9	4	1	2	NAICS2012
2014	17	13	8	4	1	4	NAICS2012
2015	18	14	8	5	1	3	NAICS2012
2016	20	15	8	6	1	3	NAICS2012
2017	21	17	9	7	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	17	15	8	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	17	15	9	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	17	15	10	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	17	15	9	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	20	17	12	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	17	14	9	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 32110. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.