BMIE Market 32113

Marion County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,954 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,051 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,472 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±406 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,627 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,935 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$63,066 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,531 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	50.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,278 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,161 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$167,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±48,854 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	85.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	1 2016 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2016 detail (NAICS2012) · by USPS ZIP 32113
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	3.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2011 → 2016, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-50.0% DERIVED: 2006 → 2016, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 1996 → 2016, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2021	0 (range 0–1) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2004–2016 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.75) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	44 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	52 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	46 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	28 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 32113. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2004–2016, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.75, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 44 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	52.3	52	40%	+20.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	46.3	46	35%	+16.2
Market Momentum Score	27.8	28	25%	+7.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,954	63	40%	+25.3
Median household income (ACS)	63,066	35	40%	+14.2
Households (ACS)	2,472	64	20%	+12.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-50	5	35%	+1.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	1.7	100	25%	+24.9
Population (ACS)	5,954	63	20%	+12.7
Median household income (ACS)	63,066	35	20%	+7.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 28 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	-50	5	30%	+1.4
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (18)

By cuisine

American 5 · Coffee 3 · Pizza 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Italian 2 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Greek 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Bar 4 · Casual dining 3 · Food truck 3 · Café 2 · Catering 2 · Bakery 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Alicia's Sweets	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1551 NE 161st Pl	open
Bryan's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	17050 N Us Highway 301 Ste 4	open
CountyLine 301 Hookah Lounge	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	17052 US-301	open
Dalys Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck · Casual dining	American	18398 US-301	open
Eagles Nest Bar and Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Café · Bar	Coffee · American	18545 NW 45th Ave Rd	open
Farmer In The Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Catering	Sandwiches	950 NE 170th St	open
Five Star Pizza Five Star Pizza	Delivery-focused	Pizza · Italian	18351 N US Highway 301	open
Flyers Cafe	Café	American · Sandwiches · Coffee	18651 N US Hwy 301 A-2	open
GRAMPY'S DINER	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	17052 N US HWY 301	open
Hoe Down Bar & Grill	Bar		17786 N US Highway 301	open
KC’s Farmstand	Bakery	Bakery	1525 E Highway 329	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	13003 N U.S. Hwy 441	open
Off The Rails Pizza Citra	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	17050 US-301	open
Paradise Lounge Citra	Bar		13005 N US Highway 441	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	13002 NE Hwy 200 A/0301	open
Sweet Baby Cheeses	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering		16535 US-301	open
TED'S	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek	18651 N US Highway 301	open
The Etta Lynn Mobile Coffee Shop	Coffee shop · Food truck	Coffee	16016 nw 10th cir	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	2	1	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	5	5	4	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	3	2	1	1	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2012

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 32113. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
32192	4.3 mi	1	2003

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.