BMIE Market 32130

Volusia County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,620 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,012 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,975 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±302 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,474 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,203 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$60,563 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,067 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,118 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±221 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$290,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±54,370 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	94.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	3 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 32130
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-57.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-50.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+50.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	2 (range 0–4) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.28) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	40 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	49 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	42 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	22 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 32130. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.28, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 40 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	49.3	49	40%	+19.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	41.9	42	35%	+14.7
Market Momentum Score	22.4	22	25%	+5.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,620	62	40%	+24.9
Median household income (ACS)	60,563	30	40%	+12.2
Households (ACS)	1,975	61	20%	+12.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 42 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-57.1	2	35%	+0.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	5.3	91	25%	+22.6
Population (ACS)	5,620	62	20%	+12.5
Median household income (ACS)	60,563	30	20%	+6.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 22 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	-57.1	2	30%	+0.6
20-year restaurant growth	-50	4	20%	+0.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (17)

By cuisine

American 4 · Mexican 4 · Bakery 2 · Burgers 2 · Coffee 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Seafood 2 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 15 · Casual dining 3 · Bakery 2 · Bar 2 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 1 · Dessert 1 · Quick service 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Capital wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	Blvrd Ing Bernardo Norzagaray 2447	open
Country Line Saloon	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	900 Spring Garden Ranch Rd	open
Danny's Ice Cream	Dessert · Casual dining	Mexican · Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	4824 US-17	open
Deleon Springs Pancake Restaraunt	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	American · Coffee		open
Deleon's Bar & Grille	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		5115 US-17	open
Karling's Inn Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4500 US Highway 17	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	4521 Us Hwy 17	open
Old Sugar Mill Pancake House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	601 Ponce Deleon Blvd	open
Panaderia Michoacan	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery · Mexican	4818 US-17	open
Riding Star Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		900 Spring Garden Ranch Rd	open
Rods Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	4826 US-17	open
Spring Garden Ranch Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		900 Spring Garden Ranch Rd	open
Spring Garden Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom		980 Reynolds Rd	open
Sugarmill Restaurant At Deleon Springs	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Burgers		open
Taqueria Y Panaderia La Calentana	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	5045 US-17	open
Twin Brothers Coffee and Bakery	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery · Coffee shop · Café	Seafood · Bakery · German / Eastern European · Coffee	4640 US-17	open
Valentina's Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	4850 US-17	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	6	5	3	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	5	4	3	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	6	5	3	1	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	7	5	4	—	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	8	6	5	—	1	2	NAICS2002
2004	9	7	6	—	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	6	5	4	—	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	6	5	4	—	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	6	6	4	1	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	6	6	3	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	5	5	3	1	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	6	6	4	1	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	9	8	5	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	6	6	4	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	7	7	4	1	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	4	4	2	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	3	3	1	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	4	4	1	1	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	4	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	5	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	5	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	4	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	5	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	6	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	5	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 32130. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.