BMIE Market 32169

Volusia County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,192 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±886 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,796 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±594 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,816 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	11,497 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$110,968 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,805 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	64.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,723 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±178 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$557,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±59,141 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	16.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	54 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 32169
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	25.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+12.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+46.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+107.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+107.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	60 (range 55–64) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.3 per year, r² 0.81) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	79 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	76 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 32169. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.81, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	78.5	79	40%	+31.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61.6	62	35%	+21.6
Market Momentum Score	76.1	76	25%	+19.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,192	71	40%	+28.4
Median household income (ACS)	110,968	87	40%	+34.8
Households (ACS)	5,796	76	20%	+15.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	46.0	79	35%	+27.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	53.0	9	25%	+2.2
Population (ACS)	10,192	71	20%	+14.2
Median household income (ACS)	110,968	87	20%	+17.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	12.5	71	50%	+35.3
10-year restaurant growth	46.0	79	30%	+23.8
20-year restaurant growth	107.7	85	20%	+17.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (118)

By cuisine

American 23 · Coffee 22 · Seafood 12 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 9 · Italian 9 · Dessert 8 · Pizza 8 · Mexican 7 · Sandwiches 7 · Breakfast 5 · Juice / smoothies 5 · Bakery 4 · Healthy / salads / bowls 4 · Asian 3 · Japanese 3 · Sushi 3 · Caribbean 2 · Chinese 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · BBQ 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Burgers 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · French 1 · Greek 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Vegan 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 70 · Bar 33 · Casual dining 22 · Café 21 · Dessert 12 · Coffee shop 9 · Quick service 7 · Bakery 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 5 · Specialty food shop 4 · Food truck 3 · Fast casual 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
AA Garden Fusion	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	206 Flagler Ave	open
Atlantis Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Italian · American	300 Flagler Ave	open
Avanu	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		392 Flagler Ave	open
Bagel Stop NSB	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches · Halal / kosher	636 E 3rd Ave	open
Barracuda's Bar & Grille	Casual dining · Bar	Caribbean · American	203 S Atlantic Ave	open
Beachie Bean's Coffee House	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	411 Flagler Ave	open
Beachside Candy Co.	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	221 Flagler Ave	open
Beachside Ice Hut	Dessert · Food truck		807 A1a	open
Beachside Pizza NSB	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Pizza · American	3318 S Atlantic Ave	open
Beacon Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	416 Flagler Ave	open
Benders Bar NSB	Bar · Casual dining		1414 S Atlantic Ave	open
Bird Of Paradise	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegan	114 Flagler Ave	open
Boston's Fish House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	324 Flagler Ave	open
C's Waffles C's Waffles Edgewater	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Breakfast · Coffee	4166 S Atlantic Ave	open
Cafe Heavenly	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Seafood · Sandwiches · Pizza · Coffee	115 Flagler Ave	open
Cafe Verde	Café	Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	301 Flagler Ave	open
Caffe Vesuvio	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Coffee	701 E 3rd Ave	open
Casey's Nsb	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1414 S Atlantic Ave	open
Charlies Seafood Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		101 Flagler Ave	open
Chase's Oceanfront Dining & Cocktails	Bar · Casual dining	American	3401 S Atlantic Ave	open
Chases on the Beach	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	3401 S Atlantic Ave	open
Chicken Island	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings		open
China Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	755 E 3rd Ave	open
Ciao Bella	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Casual dining	Italian · Coffee · Seafood · American	103 S Pine St	open
Claddagh East, Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		518 Flagler Ave	open
Clancy's Cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Caribbean · Mexican	301 Flagler Ave	open
Colt's Pig Stand	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	723 E 3rd Ave	open
Connor’s Corner	Bar	American	410 Flagler Ave	open
Cool Beans Cafe New Smyrna Beach	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	320 Jessamine Ave	open
Cool Treats for NSB	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	4164 S Atlantic Ave	open
Crabby's Bar & Grill NSB	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Seafood	203 S Atlantic Ave	open
Crooked Horn Cigar Co	Bar		314 Flagler Ave	open
Da Kine Poke	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific · Healthy / salads / bowls	216 Flagler Ave	open
Darwyns Subs & Brew	Restaurant (service type not stated)		626 E 3rd Ave	open
Dough Girl Confections	Dessert	Dessert	394 N Causeway Unit A	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Dessert · Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Coffee shop	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee	441 E 3rd Ave	open
Flagler Avenue Coffee and News Cafe	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · American	504 Flagler Ave	open
Flagler Avenue Pizza Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	396 Flagler Ave	open
Flagler Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		414 Flagler Ave	open
GoJuice GoJuice	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	221 Flagler Ave	open
Happiest Hour	Café	Coffee	382 Flagler Ave	open
Hayward Hotels Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3318 S Atlantic Ave	open
Heavenly Sandwiches & Smoothies, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		115 Flagler Ave	open
Island Roasters Coffee Company	Coffee shop · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Café	Coffee · Sandwiches	398 Causeway N	open
Izzys Island Tacos and Ice Cream	Dessert	Mexican · Ice cream / frozen desserts	3600 S Atlantic Ave	open
JB's Fish Camp	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · American	859 Pompano Ave	open
Jersey Mike's Subs Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1319 Saxon Dr	open
La Fiesta NSB	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	114 Flagler Ave	open
La Terraza Nsb	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · American	1414 S Atlantic Ave	open
Lil Dog Bar	Casual dining · Bar	Hot dogs	360 Flagler Ave	open
Limoncello South	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	737 E 3rd Ave	open
Lines and Vines Coffee	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	810 E 3rd Ave	open
Luma	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	401 Flagler Ave	open
Mango Tango Frozen Yogurt	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	364 Flagler Ave	open
Manzano's Beachside Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	311 Flagler Ave #101	open
Mason Bar	Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Dessert	488 Causeway N	open
Merk's Bar & Grill	Bar · Casual dining		193 Causeway N	open
Mi Mexico Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	4600 S Atlantic Ave	open
Mikey's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	808 E 3rd Ave	open
Moe's Liquors & Lounge	Bar		4182 S Atlantic Ave	open
Mon Delice	Bakery · Café	Bakery · French · Coffee	557 E 3rd Ave	open
New Smyrna Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	634 E 3rd Ave	open
Nomads coffee & co by espresso me	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	2995 N Peninsula Ave	open
Norwood's Restaurant & Treehouse Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		400 E 2nd Ave	open
NSB Yu-Mi Sushi & Sake Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	761 E 3rd Ave	open
Ocean Breeze Tiki Bar and Grill	Bar · Casual dining		521 Flagler Ave	open
Ocean's Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	601 E 3rd Ave	open
Off The Hook Raw Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	747 E 3rd Ave	open
Om Bar & Chill Lounge	Bar		392 Flagler Ave	open
Outriggers Tiki Bar and Grille	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood	200 Boatyard St	open
Patio Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Breakfast	382 Flagler Ave	open
Peanuts Restaurant and Sports Bar	Bar · Casual dining		421 Flagler Ave #2635	open
Philly Pizza Authority	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	634 E 3rd Ave	open
Pickett’s Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	601 E 3rd Ave	open
Pjs Sea Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	491 E 3rd Ave	open
Planet Pizza NSB	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	634 E 3rd Ave	open
Playa Bowls Playa Bowls	Juice, smoothie, tea · Fast casual	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	102 S Cooper St	open
R & B Restaurant Ventures Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		101 Flagler Ave	open
Riptides Raw Bar and Grill NSB	Casual dining · Bar		429 E 3rd Ave	open
Rogue Wave Wine Bar	Bar		392 Causeway N	open
Salty Dunes	Restaurant (service type not stated)		216 Flagler Ave	open
Sasaki Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	100 N Cooper St	open
Sea Vista Tiki Bar	Bar		1701 S Atlantic Ave	open
Seascape Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Seafood	1401 S Atlantic Ave	open
Seaside Food & Rentals	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1601 S Atlantic Ave	open
Sereno Tiki Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		E 7th Ave	open
Sharky's NSB	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	409 Flagler Ave	open
SoNapa Grille SoNapa Grille Ormond Beach	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	3406 S Atlantic Ave	open
Spanish River Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Spanish / tapas	737 E 3rd Ave	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	491 E 3rd Ave	open
Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1319 Saxon Dr, #21	open
Surf Lounge	Bar		181 Causeway N	open
Surf-Ice LLC	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	1502 S Atlantic Ave	open
Tayton O'Brians	Bar	British / Irish pub food	410 Flagler Ave	open
The Baker's Table	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Bakery · Coffee	4154 S Atlantic Ave	open
The Breakers Ocean Front Restaurant & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Seafood · Burgers	518 Flagler Ave	open
The Crow's Nest Bar & Grille	Bar		203 S Atlantic Ave	open
The Crow's Nest Bar &amp Grille Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		366 Flagler Ave	open
The Garlic The Garlic	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	556 E 3rd Ave	open
The Grille At Riverview	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Seafood · American	101 Flagler Ave	open
The Hideout	Bar		360 Flagler Ave	open
The Ice Queen Truck	Dessert · Food truck	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert		open
The Local Bite NSB	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	819 Jimmy Buffett Mem Hwy	open
The Mermaid Cafe At Riverview	Restaurant (service type not stated)		113 Flagler Ave	open
The Treehouse, New Smyrna Beach, FL	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		400 E 2nd Ave	open
The Upper Deck	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · American	1414 S Atlantic Ave	open
Third Wave Cafe & Wine Bar	Café · Bar	Coffee	204 Flagler Ave	open
Tin & Taco - New Smyrna Beach	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	102 S Cooper St	open
Toni & Joe's Patio	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	309 Buenos Aires St	open
Touch of Italy Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	4198 S Atlantic Ave	open
Treats On the Beach	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	504 Flagler Ave	open
Turf's Up Lawns Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		749 E 3rd Ave # A	open
Twistee Treat - New Smyrna Beach Twistee Treat USA	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	769 E 3rd Ave	open
Wake Up Café	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Breakfast	749 E 3rd Ave	open
Wake Up Cafe North	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Coffee	306 North Cswy	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	709 E 3rd Ave	open
The Courtyard Wine Bar	Bar		307 Flagler Ave	closed
Two Sol Sisters Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		364 Flagler Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	29	26	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	25	23	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	20	18	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	26	20	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1998	33	27	17	10	—	5	NAICS1997
1999	23	19	12	7	—	4	NAICS1997
2000	22	20	15	5	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	25	23	17	6	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	26	24	18	6	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	30	26	19	6	1	4	NAICS2002
2004	28	23	16	7	—	4	NAICS2002
2005	35	29	21	7	1	5	NAICS2002
2006	35	30	20	7	3	5	NAICS2002
2007	36	29	17	7	5	6	NAICS2002
2008	32	25	16	6	3	7	NAICS2007
2009	30	23	13	7	3	7	NAICS2007
2010	33	25	18	5	2	7	NAICS2007
2011	36	27	19	6	2	9	NAICS2007
2012	36	29	19	6	4	7	NAICS2012
2013	44	37	24	8	5	7	NAICS2012
2014	48	41	25	10	6	7	NAICS2012
2015	52	45	29	10	6	7	NAICS2012
2016	53	45	27	11	6	8	NAICS2012
2017	52	47	30	10	6	5	NAICS2017
2018	54	48	29	12	6	6	NAICS2017
2019	50	46	29	10	7	4	NAICS2017
2020	50	46	29	10	7	3	NAICS2017
2021	54	48	27	10	11	4	NAICS2017
2022	58	52	32	14	6	4	NAICS2022
2023	60	54	32	14	8	4	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 32169. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
32132	3.3 mi	8	2023
32141	4.5 mi	13	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.