BMIE Market 32179

Marion County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,318 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,029 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,115 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±469 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,156 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,715 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$46,512 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,546 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	48.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$998 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±357 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$175,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,160 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	75.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	6 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 32179
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	3.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+20.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+200.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+200.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	7 (range 4–9) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.40) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	62 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	47 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	82 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 32179. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.40, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	46.6	47	40%	+18.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66.5	67	35%	+23.3
Market Momentum Score	81.9	82	25%	+20.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,318	70	40%	+27.9
Median household income (ACS)	46,512	11	40%	+4.4
Households (ACS)	4,115	71	20%	+14.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	35%	+28.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.4	86	25%	+21.6
Population (ACS)	9,318	70	20%	+14.0
Median household income (ACS)	46,512	11	20%	+2.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	20	77	50%	+38.7
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	30%	+24.7
20-year restaurant growth	200	93	20%	+18.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (19)

By cuisine

American 5 · Bakery 4 · Coffee 3 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Breakfast 1 · Caribbean 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 7 · Casual dining 5 · Bakery 4 · Bar 4 · Quick service 4 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Food truck 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Annie Ruth's Wangs & Thangs	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	13451 E Hwy 25	open
Backyard Espresso	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	13560 E Hwy 25	open
Big Bob's Restaurant and Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	12909 E Hwy 25	open
Cabin Pub	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		3360 SE 183rd Avenue Rd	open
Del Encanto Food Truck	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Caribbean	12351 SE 131st Ct	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	15990 E Hwy 40	open
Dragons' Den Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	9591 Oklawaha and Moss Bluff Hwy	open
Duck's Dam Diner	Casual dining	American	9685 SE Hwy 464C	open
Gator Joe's Beach Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		12431 SE 135 Ave	open
Heidy's Bakeshop	Bakery	Bakery	8 Fisher Trace Pass	open
Ma Barkers Hideaway Bar	Bar · Casual dining		13575 E Highway 25	open
MB's Tiki Hut	Bar · Casual dining		5000 SE 183rd Avenue Rd	open
Parlor Ice Cream	Dessert · Food truck	Ice cream / frozen desserts	13560 E Hwy 25	open
Pink Sugar Nest Farm Stand	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	12405 SE 142nd Ave	open
Spike's Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Breakfast	13758 E Highway 25	open
Sweet Maid Cafe	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	13490 E Highway 25	open
The Cubby Hole	Café · Quick service · Specialty food shop	American · Sandwiches · Coffee	13750 E Highway 25	open
The Sugar Crow Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	13200 SE 122nd Pl	open
Wing Nutz Tiki Hut LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5000 183rd Street Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	5	3	3	—	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	4	2	2	—	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	1	—	—	—	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	2	1	—	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	4	2	2	—	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	3	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	4	4	4	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	4	4	4	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	5	5	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	5	5	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	4	4	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	4	4	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	4	4	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	5	5	4	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	6	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 32179. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.