BMIE Market 32219

Duval County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	14,302 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,928 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,537 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±634 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	11,886 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,842 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$72,184 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,891 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,292 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±383 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$229,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±27,048 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	71.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 32219
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	5.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+200.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	12 (range 9–15) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.40) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	66 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	74 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	62 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 32219. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.40, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	65.7	66	40%	+26.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	73.7	74	35%	+25.8
Market Momentum Score	62.0	62	25%	+15.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	14,302	76	40%	+30.3
Median household income (ACS)	72,184	50	40%	+20.2
Households (ACS)	5,537	76	20%	+15.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	35%	+28.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.4	79	25%	+19.7
Population (ACS)	14,302	76	20%	+15.2
Median household income (ACS)	72,184	50	20%	+10.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	30%	+24.7
20-year restaurant growth	100	82	20%	+16.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (37)

By cuisine

American 9 · Bakery 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Burgers 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Dessert 3 · Seafood 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Coffee 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Italian 1 · Pizza 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 18 · Quick service 14 · Bakery 5 · Dessert 5 · Casual dining 2 · Other 2 · Bar 1 · Café 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Arble Baking Company	Bakery	Bakery	6765 Dunn Ave Ste 327	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	4075 Jones Branch Blvd	open
Aunt M	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	4129 Sportsman Club Rd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	6757 Dunn Ave	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	6014 New Kings Rd	open
Cafe Valentino	Bar		Old Kings Rd, Jacksonville, FL	open
Cakes By Ali	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	10120 Lancashire Dr	open
Cally-Q	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		11598 Deep Springs Dr W	open
Celestia's Coastal Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	6765 Dunn Ave	open
Cinnabon Cinnabon	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	4075 Jones Branch Rd	open
Dairy Queen	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts		open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	9012 New Kings Rd	open
Freeney's All Dog's Go To Heaven	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	6557 Leona St	open
Freight USA	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9050 New Kings Rd	open
Honie Bee's	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	8020 Moncrief Dinsmore Rd	open
Hot Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	6765 Dunn Ave	open
Jenny Lynn's Seafood	Food truck	Seafood	11115 New Kings Rd	open
Jville crab shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	5556 Soutel Dr	open
K Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other	Sandwiches · Cajun, Creole, Southern	4115 Sportsman Club Rd	open
Krystal Krystal	Quick service	Burgers · American	6009 New Kings Rd	open
Lee & Dee Cafe	Café	Coffee	8291 Forshee Dr Unit 3	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	6765 Dunn Ave	open
Magnola Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6242 Old Soutel Ct	open
New Kings Fish and Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	7806 New Kings Rd	open
Popeyes Popeyes	Quick service		6781 Dunn Ave	open
Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	5581 Soutel Dr	open
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	6781 Dunn Ave	open
Sharks Fish & Chicken (New Kings Rd)	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	7806 New Kings Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	6765 Dunn Avenue Suite 330	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	9901 New Kings Rd	open
Subway Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	8767 Old Kings Rd	open
The Sourdough Room	Bakery	Bakery	9603 Lovage Ln	open
Toby's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	8483 New Kings Rd	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	9041 New Kings Rd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	9055 New Kings Road	open
Zaxby's Zaxby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	9031 New Kings Rd.	open
Falcon Intersearch Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10017 New Kings Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	3	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	3	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	3	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	3	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	6	6	1	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	6	6	1	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	6	6	1	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	8	8	2	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	9	9	3	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	9	7	2	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	10	7	1	5	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	9	7	1	5	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	8	7	2	4	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	8	7	2	4	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	7	6	1	5	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	9	8	1	6	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	8	7	1	6	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	9	8	1	7	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	9	8	2	6	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	12	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	12	6	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	8	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	10	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	11	9	—	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	12	10	—	9	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	15	12	—	9	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 32219. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.