BMIE Market 32220

Duval County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	12,298 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,695 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,872 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±503 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	12,946 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,085 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$81,792 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,842 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,330 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±199 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$254,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23,897 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	38.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	5 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 32220
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	4.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+66.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+150.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+150.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	5 (range 4–7) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.24) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	82 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	84 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 32220. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.24, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	70.0	70	40%	+28.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	81.9	82	35%	+28.7
Market Momentum Score	84.4	84	25%	+21.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	12,298	74	40%	+29.5
Median household income (ACS)	81,792	64	40%	+25.8
Households (ACS)	4,872	74	20%	+14.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	66.7	87	35%	+30.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	4.1	95	25%	+23.7
Population (ACS)	12,298	74	20%	+14.7
Median household income (ACS)	81,792	64	20%	+12.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 84 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	25	81	50%	+40.4
10-year restaurant growth	66.7	87	30%	+26.2
20-year restaurant growth	150	89	20%	+17.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (26)

By cuisine

American 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Sandwiches 3 · BBQ 2 · Dessert 2 · Asian 1 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 20 · Bar 6 · Food truck 3 · Quick service 3 · Casual dining 2 · Dessert 2 · Bakery 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Arden's Express Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8299 W Beaver St Ste 2	open
Arizona Beverage Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7037 Commonwealth Ave	open
Ashley's Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	8299 W Beaver St #6	open
Asia House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	8299-1 W Beaver St	open
Belfield Jerk	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		Pritchard road	open
Blue Bell Creameries Blue Bell Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	3100 Imeson Rd	open
China Moon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	8299 W Beaver St	open
Dr Pepper Snapple Group	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		2300 Pickettville Rd	open
Gators BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	8142 W Beaver St	open
Herbnchick Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Healthy / salads / bowls	8613 Oglesby Ave	open
Julie's Sweet Stuff	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	8209 W Beaver St Ste 102	open
K Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	11325 W Beaver St	open
Kloud9 Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		142 McCargo St N	open
National Exhaust Cleaning	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7029 Commonwealth Ave	open
Om Vivek Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8215 W Beaver St	open
Pat Salmon & Sons of Florida Inc W	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1501 Pickettville Rd	open
PJ's & Bananas	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Sandwiches	11305 Martin Lakes Dr N	open
Rigo's Grill & Cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern	8209 W Beaver St	open
ROAD DAWGS	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		Corner of Bulls Bay Hwy and Pritchard rd	open
Salsas Cocina Marietta Square Salsas Cocina Palatka	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	8299 W Beaver St Ste 4	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	8215 West Beaver Street	open
Sugar Shack Lounge	Bar		8019 Driggers St	open
The Palace	Bar		142 Mc Cargo St N	open
The Roost	Bar		9151 W Beaver St	open
The Storm Drain	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	11225 Wesley Lake Dr	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	7027 Commonwealth Avenue	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	3	2	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	3	2	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	3	2	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	4	3	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	2	1	1	—	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	2	1	1	—	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	2	1	1	—	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	2	1	1	—	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	3	2	2	—	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	3	2	2	—	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	3	2	2	—	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	4	3	3	—	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	6	4	3	1	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	7	5	3	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	8	6	4	2	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	5	4	3	1	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	7	6	4	1	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	6	5	4	1	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	5	4	3	1	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	5	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	4	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	5	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	5	4	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	5	4	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	6	5	4	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	7	5	4	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 32220. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.