BMIE Market 32277
Duval County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 36,338 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,141 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 13,130 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±686 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 29,517 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 13,109 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $61,554 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,690 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 31.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,378 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±64 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $283,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,892 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 7.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 30 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 32277 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 10.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +25.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +30.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +25.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +400.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 34 (range 29–38) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.46) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 70 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 68 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 70 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 72 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 32277. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.46, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 70 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 68.1 | 68 | 40% | +27.2 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 69.7 | 70 | 35% | +24.4 |
| Market Momentum Score | 71.5 | 72 | 25% | +17.9 |
Consumer Market Score: 68 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 36,338 | 92 | 40% | +36.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 61,554 | 32 | 40% | +13.0 |
| Households (ACS) | 13,130 | 91 | 20% | +18.2 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 70 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 30.4 | 71 | 35% | +25.0 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 8.3 | 79 | 25% | +19.8 |
| Population (ACS) | 36,338 | 92 | 20% | +18.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 61,554 | 32 | 20% | +6.5 |
Market Momentum Score: 72 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 25 | 81 | 50% | +40.4 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 30.4 | 71 | 30% | +21.4 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 25 | 49 | 20% | +9.8 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (70)
By cuisine
American 10 · Seafood 7 · Asian 6 · Chicken / wings 6 · Bakery 5 · Chinese 5 · Dessert 5 · Pizza 5 · Burgers 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Italian 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Japanese 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Coffee 1 · Cuban 1 · Greek 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Mexican 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 46 · Quick service 15 · Dessert 7 · Bakery 5 · Bar 5 · Casual dining 4 · Food truck 2 · Other 2 · Coffee shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahava Sunrises Inc Ups Store | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6999 Merrill Rd Ste 2 | open | |
| AllStar Commercial Service's Restaurant Equipment Specialist | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai | 5549 Fort Caroline Rd | open |
| Allstarz Unlimited | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Seafood | 7645 Merrill Rd | open |
| Arby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 7612 Merrill Rd | open |
| Asian Dragon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Chinese | 6061 Merrill Rd | open |
| Blue Boy Sandwich Shop | Other | Sandwiches | 5535 Fort Caroline Rd | open |
| Bono's At Merrill Rd Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8011 Merrill Rd Ste 23 | open | |
| Bono's Pit Bar-B-Q Bono's Pit Bar-B-Q | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 8011 Merrill Rd | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 5922 Merrill Rd | open |
| Bush And Spice Caribbean Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8011 Merrill Rd | open | |
| Cheesecakes Galore LLC | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Dessert | 5681 Edenfield Rd | open |
| China 168 Inc Dba Wok N Roll | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8011 Merrill Rd Ste 13 | open | |
| Church's Texas Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 6037 Merrill Rd | open |
| Crazy Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 6061 Merrill Rd | open |
| Cupcake Fifty Etc | Bakery | Bakery | 6236 Merrill Rd | open |
| Dairy Queen Dairy Queen | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 5947 Merrill Rd | open |
| Dbr And Associates Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8011 Merrill Rd Ste 18 | open | |
| DNA Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5907 Merrill Rd | open | |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 6999 Merrill Rd | open |
| el Sazón Boricua | Food truck | 5807 Merrill Rd | open | |
| Fuji Yama | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 8011 Merrill Rd | open |
| Funnel Cake Spot | Dessert | Dessert | 5913 Merrill Rd | open |
| Glamour Gourmet | Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert | Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 1234 Glam Universe | open |
| Great Wall | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 6060 Fort Caroline Rd #3 | open |
| Hensleys Speakeasy | Bar | 4552 Oakbrooke Ct | open | |
| Hungry Howie's Hungry Howie's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 8011 Merrill Rd Suite #20 | open |
| Jax Fish Shrimp and Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 8015 Merrill Rd | open |
| Jax Fish Spot | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3239 Justina Rd | open | |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 8003 Merrill Rd | open |
| King Wok | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Japanese · Chinese | 7001 Merrill Rd Ste 32 | open |
| Krystal | Quick service | 8015 Merrill Rd | open | |
| La Palmerita | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cuban | 2909 Townsend Blvd | open |
| Larry's Gaint Sub | Other | Sandwiches | 7001 Merrill Rd | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service | Pizza · Italian | 7645 Merrill Rd | open |
| Louisiana Fish & Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 6145 Merrill Rd | open |
| Marie Family Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5947 Merrill Rd | open | |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 7245 Merrill Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 6030 Fort Caroline Rd | open |
| Mi Sazon Latino | Food truck | 7695 Merrill Rd | open | |
| MI Veracruz | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 7001 Merrill Rd | open |
| Multi Millionaire Group | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5907 Merrill Rd | open | |
| Nero's Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 3607 University Blvd N | open |
| New Hunan Wok | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · American | 5566 Fort Caroline Rd | open |
| Noble Italian & American Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6132 Merrill Rd Ste 6 | open | |
| Palms Cake Designers | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 5462 John Reynolds Dr | open |
| Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 6132 merrill rd | open |
| Peace Love Coffee | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 6236 Merrill Rd | open |
| Pita Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 5931 Merrill Rd | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 6140 Merrill Rd Duval | open |
| Radloff's Riviera | Casual dining · Bar | open | ||
| Robert's Quality Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 7722 Merrill Rd | open |
| Royal Pizza Plus | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3547 University Blvd N | open |
| Scoreboard Sports Bar & Grill | Bar · Casual dining | American | 6051 Merrill Rd | open |
| Sonic Drive-In | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6185 Fort Caroline Rd | open | |
| St. Johns Seafood & Steaks | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 7001 Merrill Rd | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 6132-4 Merrill Rd | open |
| Tabouleh Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Middle Eastern · Greek | 7645 Merrill Rd | open |
| Tasty Seafood Chicken and Sub | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · Seafood | 6185 Fort Caroline Rd | open |
| THCtraphousechicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · American | 5907 Merrill Rd | open |
| The Lazy Manatee | Casual dining · Bar | 3547 University Blvd N | open | |
| Tonino's Trattoria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 7001-45 Merrill Rd | open |
| Townsend seafood market | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 2909 Townsend Blvd | open |
| University Diner Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5959 Merrill Rd | open | |
| Waffle House Waffle House | Casual dining | Breakfast · American | 7652 Merrill Rd | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 7663 Merrill Road | open |
| Wing Depot | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Chicken / wings | 3547 UNIVERSITY Blvd N | open |
| Wok N Roll | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 8011 Merrill Rd #13 | open |
| Andalous Mediteranean Grill And Hookah | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6132 Merrill Rd Ste 6 | closed | |
| Cuban Food Palace Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cuban | 6409 Merrill Rd | closed |
| Damn Bar | Bar | 7001 Merrill Rd | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 8 | 6 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 15 | 14 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 13 | 12 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 16 | 15 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 20 | 18 | 8 | 10 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 14 | 12 | 5 | 7 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 17 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 21 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 24 | 21 | 5 | 15 | 1 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 26 | 24 | 6 | 17 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 23 | 21 | 5 | 15 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 25 | 23 | 7 | 16 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 28 | 26 | 8 | 18 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 25 | 23 | 7 | 16 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 29 | 27 | 11 | 15 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 28 | 27 | 10 | 16 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 31 | 30 | 13 | 15 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 29 | 28 | 11 | 15 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 24 | 23 | 8 | 15 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 24 | 23 | 8 | 14 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 27 | 25 | 8 | 15 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 28 | 27 | 8 | 17 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 31 | 30 | 11 | 17 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 28 | 26 | 9 | 16 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 26 | 24 | 7 | 16 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 33 | 31 | 12 | 17 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 32 | 28 | 10 | 17 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 33 | 31 | 11 | 18 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 32 | 29 | 10 | 17 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 33 | 30 | 9 | 18 | — | — | NAICS2022 |