BMIE Market 32305

Leon County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	19,384 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,693 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,620 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±611 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	20,073 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,966 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$48,045 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,353 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$998 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±104 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$156,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,161 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	96.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	15 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 32305
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	0.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+66.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+114.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+200.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+1,400.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	17 (range 13–20) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.8 per year, r² 0.73) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	54 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	72 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	93 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 32305. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.73, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	53.5	54	40%	+21.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	72.1	72	35%	+25.3
Market Momentum Score	93.4	93	25%	+23.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	19,384	81	40%	+32.4
Median household income (ACS)	48,045	13	40%	+5.0
Households (ACS)	7,620	81	20%	+16.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	114.3	95	35%	+33.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	7.7	81	25%	+20.4
Population (ACS)	19,384	81	20%	+16.2
Median household income (ACS)	48,045	13	20%	+2.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 93 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	66.7	93	50%	+46.5
10-year restaurant growth	114.3	95	30%	+28.4
20-year restaurant growth	200	93	20%	+18.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (34)

By cuisine

American 8 · Seafood 6 · Chicken / wings 4 · Pizza 3 · Asian 2 · BBQ 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Italian 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Mexican 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chinese 1 · Coffee 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1 · Vegan 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 29 · Casual dining 6 · Quick service 6 · Bar 2 · Bakery 1 · Café 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Dessert 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
509 Caribbean Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Caribbean · American	2450 Springhill Rd Unit 4	open
A Snowballs Chance	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian		open
Bagigio's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	8954 Woodville Hwy	open
Big Randy's	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1875 Oak Ridge Rd E	open
Blue Crab Seafood	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	290 Hannon Mill Rd	open
Burger King	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5020 Capital Cir SW	open
Catering with Care Cafe	Café	Coffee	4727 Crawfordville Rd #4	open
Chester's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	8120 Woodville Hwy	open
Dickey's Barbecue Pit	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	8159 Woodville Hwy	open
Dockside Crustaceans	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Vegan · Healthy / salads / bowls	8636 Wakulla Springs Rd	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	5023 Crawfordville Rd Unit 3	open
Hobbit American Grill South Hobbit American Grill aka Hobbit Hoagies	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	5032 Capital Cir Sw Ste 13	open
Hometown Hospitality Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5032 Capital Cir Sw Ste 13	open
Honey's Favorite Buns	Bakery	Bakery	4220 Natural Bridge Rd	open
J Birds Way	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5353 Capital Cir SW	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	4620 Woodville Hwy	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	6011 Springhill Road	open
Las Brazas Mexican Grill Las Brazas Mexican Grill - Capital Circle	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	8159 Woodville Hwy	open
Mango’s BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	Woodville hwy and, Greenleaf Dr	open
New Stars	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian · American	5032 Capital Cir SW	open
Our Fish Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	5353 Capital Cir SW	open
Panhandle Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8875 Woodville Hwy Unit 5	open
Red Snapper	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	5023 Crawfordville Rd #5	open
Rice Kingdom	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern · Mediterranean	4727 Crawfordville Rd	open
Southern Bella's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	4727 Crawfordville Rd Unit 4	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Other · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	5023 Crawfordville Rd Unit 6 Unit 6	open
Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	8967 Woodville Hwy	open
Taqueria El Sabor Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	9762 Woodville Hwy	open
The Driftwood Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	8056 Woodville Hwy	open
The Seineyard Seafood Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	8056 Woodville Hwy	open
Twice The Ice Woodville Fl.	Dessert		9212 Woodville Hwy	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	5022 Capital Cir SW	open
Zaxby's Zaxby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	5048 Crawfordville Rd.	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	5032 Capital Cir SW	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
2001	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	7	5	1	3	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	5	5	1	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	5	5	4	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	7	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	9	8	5	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	4	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	2	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	4	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	7	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	9	7	1	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	8	6	2	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	9	7	2	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	9	8	3	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	7	6	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	10	9	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	8	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	9	3	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	16	12	4	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	17	14	4	10	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	18	15	3	11	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 32305. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
32399	4.7 mi	3	2022

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.