BMIE Market 32310

Leon County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	14,888 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,179 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,167 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±457 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	17,402 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,743 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$38,288 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,207 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	31.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,075 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±76 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$132,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,369 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	91.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 32310
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	4.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+9.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+20.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+20.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+71.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	11 (range 10–13) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.39) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	55 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	48 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	61 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 32310. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.39, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	48.2	48	40%	+19.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58.5	58	35%	+20.5
Market Momentum Score	61.3	61	25%	+15.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	14,888	77	40%	+30.6
Median household income (ACS)	38,288	5	40%	+2.1
Households (ACS)	6,167	77	20%	+15.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	20	63	35%	+22.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.1	80	25%	+20.0
Population (ACS)	14,888	77	20%	+15.3
Median household income (ACS)	38,288	5	20%	+1.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	9.1	66	50%	+33.2
10-year restaurant growth	20	63	30%	+18.9
20-year restaurant growth	20	46	20%	+9.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (54)

By cuisine

Coffee 6 · American 3 · Caribbean 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Sandwiches 3 · African 2 · Bakery 2 · BBQ 2 · Burgers 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Pizza 2 · Seafood 2 · Breakfast 1 · Dessert 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vegan 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 30 · Bar 8 · Food truck 6 · Quick service 6 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2 · Casual dining 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 2

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
All Saints Cafe Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		903 Railroad Ave	open
Artist Lounge Cafe	Café · Bar	Coffee · Breakfast	1922 Lake Bradford Rd	open
Bagels & Co. Bagels & Co - Pompano Beach	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	799 W Gaines St Ste 121	open
Bourne Brilliant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegetarian	608 Railroad Sq Unit 1	open
Bread and Roses Food Cooperative	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegan	915 Railroad Ave	open
Chooblak	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	626 Railroad Sq	open
Clean Eatz Clean Eatz	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	1000 Railroad Ave Ste 101	open
Conchman Conway Llc	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	2110 S Adams St	open
Dejavu Venezuelan Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	626 Railroad Sq	open
Dunkin'	Coffee shop	Coffee	3300 Capital Cir SW	open
Flamingoz A Taste of Miami	Bar	Latin American (other)	620-1 Railroad Sq	open
Fresh Meat Market	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches		open
Germinses	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	662 Liberty St	open
Granny's Fried Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	716 Orange Ave W	open
Grown Folks Vibe Tally	Bar			open
Gvo	Bar		809 Railroad Ave	open
Haagen Dazs	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	4447 Entrepot Blvd	open
Halisi Africa	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	African · Coffee	62517 Railroad Sq	open
Hartleys rib crib	Food truck	BBQ	18958 Blountstown Hwy	open
Heavenly Catering Soul Food Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)		622 Eugenia St	open
Innovation Park Food Trucks	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		2031 E Paul Dirac Dr	open
Juice Bar Miami	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	626 Railroad Sq Ste 1b	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	6310 Blountstown Hwy	open
Leola's Crab Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	710 Springhill Rd	open
Live Oak Grille and Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	3300 Capital Cir SW	open
Merv’s	Restaurant (service type not stated)		825 Railroad Ave	open
Momma Rose's Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		650-1 Railroad Square	open
New Look Auto Detail	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2105 Lake Bradford Rd	open
One Stop Afrik	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	African	1143 W Orange Ave	open
Panadería sabor Oaxaqueño	Bakery	Bakery	1549 Halftrack St	open
Philly Flavors	Restaurant (service type not stated)		608 Railroad Sq Unit 1J	open
Pineappetit	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Cajun, Creole, Southern	626 Railroad Sq	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5032 Capital Cir SW Ste. 9 Ste. 9	open
Pop Fun Chew Cafe	Other · Dessert	Dessert	630 Railroad Sq Unit 5	open
Reggae Rail	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	653 Railroad Sq	open
Renegade Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	2550 Pottsdamer St	open
Roadside Barbque	Quick service · Food truck	BBQ	520 W Orange Ave	open
Rose's Tea Room	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies	2105 Daisy St	open
Ryder’s Water Ice	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	608 Railroad Sq Unit 1	open
Square Mug Community	Coffee shop · Café · Bar	Coffee		open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	7999 Blountstown Hwy	open
Sweet Tooth Treats, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		608 Railroad Sq Unit 1	open
The Coffee Bean & Tea Leaf	Coffee shop	Coffee	3300 Capital Cir SW	open
The Crum Box Gastgarden	Casual dining · Bar		602 Industrial Dr	open
The Side Bar Theatre	Bar		809 Railroad Ave	open
Trail Break Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3945 Museum Dr	open
Trap Boy Burger	Quick service	Burgers · American	663 Railroad Sq	open
Vino's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	622 Eugenia St	open
Wolfgange Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	1517 Disston St	open
Yes Chef! Cafe	Food truck		608 Railroad Sq Unit 1	open
Yostie's Chili Parlor	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	915 Railroad Ave	open
Downtown Market Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		635 Railroad Sq Unit 2	closed
Fat Sandwich	Restaurant (service type not stated)		825 Railroad Ave	closed
Wayside Farm General Store	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	6310 Blountstown Hwy	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	9	7	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	10	7	4	1	2	3	NAICS1997
1999	8	5	1	2	2	3	NAICS1997
2000	8	6	2	3	1	2	NAICS1997
2001	8	6	3	2	1	2	NAICS1997
2002	16	11	4	6	1	3	NAICS1997
2003	14	10	4	4	2	2	NAICS2002
2004	14	10	3	5	2	2	NAICS2002
2005	12	9	4	3	2	1	NAICS2002
2006	11	8	5	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	11	8	4	3	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	12	6	3	2	1	2	NAICS2007
2009	13	7	4	2	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	14	8	4	3	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	14	9	5	2	2	1	NAICS2007
2012	12	10	6	3	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	12	10	7	1	2	1	NAICS2012
2014	13	11	8	1	2	2	NAICS2012
2015	11	10	7	1	2	1	NAICS2012
2016	11	10	6	1	3	1	NAICS2012
2017	11	10	7	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	12	11	7	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	13	11	7	—	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	13	10	6	—	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	14	11	6	—	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	15	11	6	—	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	18	12	6	4	—	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 32310. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
32304	2.7 mi	101	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.