BMIE Market 32456

Gulf County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	7,510 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±414 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,708 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±273 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,966 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,761 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$64,681 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,691 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	57.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,379 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±144 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$378,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±28,667 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	106.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	40 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 32456
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	23.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+66.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+81.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+166.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+471.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	41 (range 34–49) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.5 per year, r² 0.66) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	56 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	91 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 32456. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.66, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	55.9	56	40%	+22.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54.4	54	35%	+19.0
Market Momentum Score	91.3	91	25%	+22.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	7,510	66	40%	+26.6
Median household income (ACS)	64,681	38	40%	+15.3
Households (ACS)	3,708	70	20%	+14.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	81.8	89	35%	+31.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	53.3	9	25%	+2.2
Population (ACS)	7,510	66	20%	+13.3
Median household income (ACS)	64,681	38	20%	+7.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 91 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	66.7	93	50%	+46.5
10-year restaurant growth	81.8	89	30%	+26.8
20-year restaurant growth	166.7	90	20%	+18.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (110)

By cuisine

American 23 · Seafood 23 · Coffee 14 · Pizza 10 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 8 · Dessert 6 · Bakery 5 · Burgers 5 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 4 · Italian 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Asian 3 · Breakfast 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Steakhouse 3 · BBQ 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Hot dogs 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Mexican 2 · Caribbean 1 · Chinese 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 63 · Bar 27 · Casual dining 16 · Coffee shop 13 · Dessert 12 · Café 9 · Quick service 8 · Bakery 7 · Food truck 7 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Catering 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
40th Street Pizzeria and Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	101 S 40th St	open
Bad Mamma Jamma	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	8020 Cape San Blas Rd	open
Bad Mamma Jamma	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	American	712 US-98	open
Bayside Bakery & Cafe	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee	108 First St	open
Bayside Bites	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Pizza	411 Cape San Blas Rd	open
Beach Bear Coastal	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Seafood	2902 US-98	open
Beach Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	2902 Highway 98	open
bin 4eleven	Coffee shop	Coffee	411 Reid Ave	open
Bj Smiley And Associates Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		101 Reid Ave Ste 108	open
Boon Docks	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	51 Good Morning St	open
Bruno's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	110 Goodmorning St Ste 109	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	601 Monument Ave	open
Cape Coffee and IceCream	Dessert · Coffee shop · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	5225 Cape San Blas Rd	open
Cape San Blas Coffee Shop	Coffee shop · Dessert · Café	Coffee · Ice cream / frozen desserts	4975 Cape San Blas Rd	open
Caribbean Coffee	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2802 Highway 98	open
Caribbean Coffee & Cafe	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Sandwiches	2802 US-98	open
Coffee Shack PSJ	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	317 Reid Ave	open
Cone Heads 8020	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bar	Ice cream / frozen desserts	8020 Cape San Blas Rd	open
Dagwoods PSJ	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	112 Reid Ave	open
Forgotten Coast Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar	American	4101 US-98	open
Graba Java	Coffee shop	Coffee	2904 Highway 98	open
Grateful Redz dogz & More!	Food truck	Hot dogs · Sandwiches	8134 W Hwy 98	open
Great Wall	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	412 Reid Ave #1828	open
Grill 19	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	700 Country Club Rd	open
Gulf Glazed	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	8134 W Highway 98	open
Haughty Heron	Bar		117 Sailors Cove Dr	open
Hungry Howie's Hungry Howie's	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	418 Monument Ave.	open
Hunt's on St Joe Bay	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Seafood	1937 County Rd 30A	open
Indian Pass Raw Bar Indian Pass Raw Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Seafood	8391 County Rd 30A	open
Joe Mama's Wood Fired Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	406 Reid Ave	open
Josie's Joe Coffee Company	Coffee shop	Coffee	306 Reid Ave	open
Josie's Joe Coffee Company	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	8134 W Highway 98	open
Keeper's Bistro & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		114 Sailors Cove Dr	open
Killer Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	820 US-98	open
Krazyfish Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	113 US-98	open
Krazyfish Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Seafood	113 Monument Ave	open
lindys food truck	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Hot dogs	8134 W Highway 98	open
Lola's	Quick service		3114 Highway 98	open
LongBill’s on Cape San Blas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Pizza	7650 Cape San Blas Rd	open
Longboards Port St. Joe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	113 Monument Ave	open
Lookout Lounge & Discount Liquor	Bar		9454 W Highway 98	open
Lookout Lounge and Package	Bar		8066 W Highway 98	open
Lowry B's BBQ	Food truck		3601 W Highway 98	open
Mango Marley's	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Caribbean	3102 US-98	open
Mango Marley's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		3104 W Highway 98	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	115 W Highway 98	open
Mexico Beach Sweets	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea · Bakery	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies · Bakery	2802 US-98	open
Mikes Deli Inc.	Other	Sandwiches	301 Martin Luther King Blvd	open
Moma Dot's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		217 Avenue A	open
Mr.Gs	Food truck		9320 co Rd 386	open
Mr.Gs Food Truck	Food truck · Catering			open
Paradise Craft House & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	8066 W Highway 98	open
Pass The Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	8300 County Road 30A	open
Paul Gant's Bar B Que	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	470 W Hwy 98	open
Peachy's Beach Eats	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · American	4949 Cape San Blas Rd	open
Pepper's Mexican Grill and Cantina Pepper's Mexican Grill and Cantina	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Latin American (other)	224 Reid Ave	open
Perky's Coastal Coffee and Creams	Coffee shop · Dessert · Café	Coffee · Ice cream / frozen desserts	4975 Cape San Blas Rd	open
Peter's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	101 Monument Ave	open
Pizza Hut Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	701 Monument Ave, #232/ Express Lane	open
Point Break Donut Co.	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	3601 Highway 98	open
Point Break Pizza Co	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3601 US-98	open
Pomodoro Italian Grill and Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Italian	700 Country Club Rd	open
Poor Boys Seafood Hut- Port St Joe, FL	Food truck · Catering		8134 Highway 98	open
Port Poke	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific · Seafood · Healthy / salads / bowls	204 Monument Ave	open
Port St Joe Realty	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8848 W Highway 98	open
Provisions Restaurant and Catering	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	222 Reid Ave	open
PSJ Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Burgers · American	224 Reid Ave	open
Quatro Locos Tacos and Cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	301 Monument Ave	open
Quinn & Co. Coffee	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	201 W Hwy 98	open
Red White & Brew	Bar		405 Reid Ave	open
Regan's Pub and Oyster Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	8066 W Highway 98	open
Richey's Roadhouse Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	405 Baltzell Ave	open
Ronnie B's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	114 Sailors Cove Dr	open
Sand Dollar Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern · Breakfast	301 Monument Ave	open
Shipwreck Raw Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	7008 W Hwy 98	open
Shipyard Cove	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	301 Highway 98	open
Shoobie's Frozen Treats	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1200 Highway 98	open
Shoobies	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	402 Reid Ave	open
Sisters' Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	236 Reid Ave	open
Skully's Low Country Boil	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	5544 Cape San Blas Rd	open
Sparks Barbecue and Brew	Casual dining · Bar	BBQ · American	218 Reid Ave	open
St. Joe Bar and Package	Bar		305 Reid Ave	open
St. Joe Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	316 Reid Ave	open
St. Joe Shrimp Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1937 County Rd 30A	open
St. Patrick's Seafood Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	405 Woodward Ave	open
Sugar Shack PSJ	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	319 Reid Ave	open
Sunset Coastal Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	602 Monument Ave	open
Sweet Bunz	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	306 Reid Ave	open
Taco Bell	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		115 Ave B	open
TapRoot	Bar		212 Monument Ave	open
Tex Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · American	900 Highway 98	open
Tex Kitchen Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		212 Monument Ave	open
The Brick Wall Sports Bar & Grille	Casual dining · Bar	American	414 Reid Ave	open
The Flying Harpoon	Bar	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	304 Williams Ave	open
The Italian Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	101 Monument Ave	open
The Joe in Port Saint Joe	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	220 Reid Ave	open
The Landshark Forgotten Coast	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8134 W Highway 98	open
The Mill Mercantile & Social - BAR & PACKAGE	Bar		105 Goodmorning St	open
The Shack	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Seafood	405 Baltzell Ave	open
The Tipsy Lizard	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		8134 W Highway 98	open
The View at St Joe Bay	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Asian	51 Goodmorning St	open
The View On Old 98	Restaurant (service type not stated)		51 Good Morning St	open
The White Marlin and Oysterette	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Steakhouse · American	602 Monument Ave	open
Thirsty Goat	Bar		501 Monument Ave	open
This Is Garden Food	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	210 Williams Ave	open
Uptown Raw Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · Steakhouse	411 Reid Ave	open
Weber's Little Donut Shop Cape San Blas	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	411 Cape San Blas Rd	open
বালিজান new update	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	1no hollong	open
Beachcomber's Iii	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	108 E First St	closed
The Smokehouse on Cape San Blas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	980 Cape San Blas Rd, Port St Joe	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	7	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	8	6	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	9	7	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	12	9	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	13	10	5	5	—	3	NAICS1997
1999	12	10	6	4	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	16	15	10	5	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	14	13	7	6	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	15	13	5	8	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	18	15	7	8	—	3	NAICS2002
2004	19	16	10	6	—	3	NAICS2002
2005	17	14	8	6	—	3	NAICS2002
2006	15	13	5	8	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	15	12	4	7	1	2	NAICS2002
2008	17	14	6	6	2	2	NAICS2007
2009	19	15	6	7	2	3	NAICS2007
2010	21	16	7	7	2	3	NAICS2007
2011	24	19	10	8	1	3	NAICS2007
2012	29	24	16	7	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	27	22	14	6	2	2	NAICS2012
2014	27	22	14	6	2	2	NAICS2012
2015	27	22	14	7	1	2	NAICS2012
2016	27	22	13	7	1	2	NAICS2012
2017	31	25	15	7	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	30	24	14	7	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	29	22	13	6	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	34	26	14	8	3	3	NAICS2017
2021	34	27	15	6	5	3	NAICS2017
2022	43	36	20	9	6	3	NAICS2022
2023	49	40	18	12	9	4	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 32456. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.