BMIE Market 32533

Escambia County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	31,860 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,067 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	11,326 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±611 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	26,493 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	10,598 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$86,087 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,325 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,120 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±99 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$295,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,752 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	77.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	15 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 32533
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	4.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+114.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+200.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	15 (range 11–18) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.17) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	81 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	81 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	79 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	82 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 32533. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.17, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	81.3	81	40%	+32.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	78.6	79	35%	+27.5
Market Momentum Score	82.5	82	25%	+20.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	31,860	90	40%	+36.0
Median household income (ACS)	86,087	69	40%	+27.7
Households (ACS)	11,326	88	20%	+17.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	25	67	35%	+23.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	4.7	93	25%	+23.2
Population (ACS)	31,860	90	20%	+18.0
Median household income (ACS)	86,087	69	20%	+13.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	50	90	50%	+45.1
10-year restaurant growth	25	67	30%	+20.2
20-year restaurant growth	114.3	86	20%	+17.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (46)

By cuisine

American 9 · Coffee 7 · Burgers 5 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 4 · Pizza 4 · Mexican 3 · Bakery 2 · Breakfast 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Sandwiches 2 · African 1 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 23 · Quick service 15 · Café 6 · Bar 5 · Casual dining 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2 · Delivery-focused 2 · Catering 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Annie's Naked Cookies	Bakery	Bakery	848 Williams Ditch Rd	open
Ant Kay’s kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused		1002 Woodbury Pl	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1494 S Highway 29	open
Beef 'O' Brady's Beef 'O' Brady's Fern Creek	Bar · Casual dining	American	1 New Market St	open
Best Thing Smoking	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern	206 S Highway 29	open
Birreria Olgys	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	4116 Highway 297A	open
Blue Moon Cafe	Café · Casual dining · Bar	Coffee	700 Washington St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	1590 S Hwy 29	open
Cantonement Hershey's Ice Cream Shak	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	740 N Highway 29	open
Cave-In Ice Cream	Dessert · Coffee shop · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	740 S Hwy 29	open
China Delight	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	742 S Hwy 29	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	394 Highway 29 South	open
Ethel's Southern Cookin' Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2027 Old Chemstrand Rd	open
Hattie Marie's Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	105 Louis St	open
Herbalife - Cantonment Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	394 S Hwy 29	open
Homestead Lounge & Package	Bar		3614 N Highway 29	open
Hwy 29 & Kingsfield Rd Whataburger	Quick service		2300 S HIGHWAY 29	open
Joe Mudd Coffee Company	Coffee shop	Coffee	2491 Highway 297A	open
K Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	2200 Hwy 29 Ste B	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	111 S Highway 29	open
Lightly Toasted Food Truck	Quick service		1142 Muscogee Rd	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	155 S Hwy 29	open
Magnolia's Coffee & Soda Shop	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	810 Archer Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1610 S Highway 29	open
Mediterranean Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2852 W 9 Mile Rd	open
Moms Place Soulfood and Catering	Catering · Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Coffee · Cajun, Creole, Southern · African	210 S Highway 29	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	744 Hwy. 29 North Escambia	open
Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's	Quick service			open
Porky's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	500A US-29	open
Reno-Hillmans Treat Shop	Dessert		9971 Bristol Park Rd	open
Rophe Restaurant Equipment	Restaurant (service type not stated)		580 Meander Ln	open
SMG Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)		614 Muscogee Rd	open
SONIC Drive In	Quick service		1650 S Highway 29	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1550 S Highway 29 Suite B, 29 North	open
Taco Rock Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	296 Muscogee Rd	open
The Cookie Kid	Bakery	Bakery	2331 Habersham Ln	open
The Mill Bar + Package	Bar		623 S Hwy 29	open
The Parking Latte Cafe	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	4178 US-29	open
Tocayos Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	732 US-29	open
Trickys Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar			open
Valero deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)		210 S Highway 29	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	1700 S Highway 29	open
Waffle House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	1700 South Hwy 29	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2200 S Highway 29	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2 New Market St	open
Whataburger Whataburger	Quick service	Burgers · American	2300 S HIGHWAY 29	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	7	5	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	5	3	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	5	3	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	6	4	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	6	3	2	1	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	8	5	2	3	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	9	5	2	3	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	10	6	3	3	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	9	6	2	4	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	10	7	2	5	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	10	6	2	4	—	3	NAICS2002
2005	9	5	1	4	—	3	NAICS2002
2006	10	7	2	5	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	12	10	3	7	—	2	NAICS2002
2008	11	9	2	7	—	2	NAICS2007
2009	12	10	3	7	—	2	NAICS2007
2010	13	11	3	8	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	13	10	2	8	—	3	NAICS2007
2012	14	12	2	9	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	14	12	3	9	—	2	NAICS2012
2014	14	13	4	9	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	14	13	4	8	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	13	12	2	8	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	13	12	3	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	12	10	3	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	11	—	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	16	12	—	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	20	16	5	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	16	13	3	10	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	19	15	4	11	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 32533. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.