BMIE Market 32609

Alachua County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	19,752 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,539 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,743 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±576 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	18,756 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,186 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$49,406 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,512 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	36.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,258 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±182 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$178,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,863 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	117.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	29 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 32609
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+7.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+31.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+81.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+93.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	33 (range 28–38) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.31) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	59 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	54 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	69 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 32609. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.31, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	54.3	54	40%	+21.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57.7	58	35%	+20.2
Market Momentum Score	69.3	69	25%	+17.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	19,752	81	40%	+32.5
Median household income (ACS)	49,406	14	40%	+5.7
Households (ACS)	7,743	81	20%	+16.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	31.8	72	35%	+25.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	14.7	54	25%	+13.5
Population (ACS)	19,752	81	20%	+16.2
Median household income (ACS)	49,406	14	20%	+2.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	7.4	64	50%	+32.2
10-year restaurant growth	31.8	72	30%	+21.6
20-year restaurant growth	81.3	77	20%	+15.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (92)

By cuisine

American 16 · Coffee 12 · Sandwiches 7 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 6 · Bakery 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Mexican 5 · Asian 4 · BBQ 4 · Burgers 4 · Pizza 4 · Chinese 3 · Dessert 3 · Italian 3 · Japanese 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Seafood 3 · Sushi 3 · Breakfast 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · African 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Thai 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 51 · Quick service 18 · Bar 9 · Coffee shop 9 · Café 8 · Bakery 7 · Dessert 7 · Casual dining 3 · Food truck 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Catering 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
6th Street North	Bar		4401 NW 6th Street	open
A&W Restaurant	Quick service		2102 NW 6th St	open
Adam's Rib Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	2109 NW 13th St	open
Altavian	Bar		1724 NE 2nd St	open
Applebee's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2814 NW 6th St	open
Avocado Vibez Food Truck	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	2564 NW 13th St	open
B'z Gelati	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1130 NW 23rd Ave	open
Baloo’s Donuts & Coffee	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop · Café	Dessert · Coffee	1130 NW 23rd Ave	open
Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	3710 NW 13th St	open
Bc Boba Tea & Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	2001 NW 13th St	open
Big Boy Bakeries	Bakery	Bakery	3131 Nw 13th St Ste 53	open
Big Mill's Cheesesteaks	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · American	2111 NW 13th St	open
Billy-bobz Bar-b-q	Restaurant (service type not stated)		501 Nw 23rd Ave Ste A	open
Brother Cookie	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	401 NE 23rd Ave	open
Carvel	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	2330 NW 13th St	open
Checkers Checkers and Rally's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	2826 N.W. 13th Street Gainesville, FL	open
Chen's Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	490 NE 23rd Ave	open
China I	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	NW 13th St	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Quick service	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2225 NW 13th St Suite 100	open
Clock Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	2010 N Main St	open
Coffee Culture Coffee Culture	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	2020 NW 13th St	open
Curia On The Drag	Coffee shop · Bar	Vegetarian · Coffee	2029 NW 6th St	open
Dad's Bar	Bar		2031 NW 6th St	open
David's Bbq & Catering East	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	521 NE 23rd Ave	open
Dripping Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	3575 NE 15th St	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop	Coffee	5921 N County Road 225	open
Fazoli's	Quick service		2612 NW 13th St	open
Firehouse Subs Gainesville UF	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2651 NW 13th St Ste 10	open
Gainesville Sonic	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1910 N Main St	open
Gator Fly in and Armed Services Appreciation Day	Food truck		Gainesville Mall, 2624 NW 13th St	open
Greenhead Motel & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2101 N Main St	open
Harper's Corner	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1236 NW 21st Ave	open
Heavenly Touched Seafood, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	2017 NE 27th Ave	open
Hills Bar B Q And Catering Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2626 NE 39th Ave	open
Hogan's Great Sandwiches	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	2327 NW 13th St	open
Home Sweet Kitchen Cafe	Café	Coffee · Latin American (other) · American	3801 N Main St	open
Hood & Son, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		521 NE 23rd Ave	open
Hot Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	3006 NW 13th St	open
Jeff's New York Deli	Bakery	Bakery	2226 NW 6th St	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	3720 NW 13th Street	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	3750 NW 13th Street	open
Kickin' Devil Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2017 NE 27th Ave	open
La Cocina de Abuela	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	125 NW 23rd Ave	open
La Pasadita	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	4126 NW 6th St	open
Lightnin' Salvage Enterprises	Bar		1800 NE 23rd Ave	open
Lisa's Corner Café	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	125 NW 23rd Ave Ste 9-10	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1515 N Main St	open
M&D West African Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	African · American	501 NW 23rd Ave	open
Mamma Mia Pizzeria & Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	490 NE 23rd Ave	open
Manhattan Gyros and Subs	Other	Sandwiches · Seafood · Mediterranean	490 NE 23rd Ave	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3720 NW 13th St, Ste 7D	open
MATTARI – Japanese dining house &Sushi and Brunch	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	2001 NW 13th St ste10	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2880 NW 13th St	open
Mr. BowTie	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	2101 N Main St	open
Munegin's On 13th	Bar		4005 NW 13th St	open
Munegins	Bar		4004 NW 13th St	open
Nardo’s Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)		220 NW 39th Ave	open
Ole Barn	Bar · Casual dining		1791 NE 23rd Ave	open
On Point Food Truck	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		3700 NE 53rd Ave	open
Penske Truck Rental	Food truck		2321 NE 19th Dr	open
Performance Food Group	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4041 NE 54th Ave	open
Samurai Japanese Steak House & Sushi Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Steakhouse	3720 NW 13th St	open
Satchel's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1800 NE 23rd Ave	open
Smoothie King Smoothie King	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	2231 NW 13th Street Ste 30	open
Sonny's BBQ Sonny's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	2700 NE Waldo Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	1614 Nw 13th St	open
Stevi B's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3720 NW 13th St	open
Strongtree Organic Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop	Coffee	125 Nw 23rd Ave Ste 16	open
Sublime Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1818 NE Waldo Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	5210 NW 13th Street	open
Swamp Boil	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2001 NW 13th St	open
Szechuan Panda II Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Sushi · Japanese	2031 NW 13th St	open
Taco Del Mar Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · Mexican	203 NE 39th Ave	open
Tailwind's Tailwind Hospitality, Inc.	Catering · Restaurant (service type not stated)		3880 NE 39th Ave	open
Taste Of Essence	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	4605 Nw 6th St Ste A	open
Terrells Bar-B-Que	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1916 NE Waldo Rd	open
The Jones Eastside	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	401 NE 23rd Ave	open
The Wilbury	Bar		2846 NW 7th Terrace	open
Tim's Thai Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	501 NW 23rd Ave	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Quick service · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	2651 NW 13th St	open
UR Soulfood Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Cajun, Creole, Southern	3575 NE 15th St	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	5130 NW 13th St	open
Wayne Heads Southern Kitchen \| Soul	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1602 NE Waldo Rd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2659 Nw 13th St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1711 N.Main Street	open
Xpress Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	490 NE 23rd Ave	open
Country Hearth Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	2170 NE 31st Ave	closed
Dos Mama's Eastside Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2017 NE 27th Ave	closed
Gainesville Hema	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1925 NW 2nd St	closed
Govindas ️ ️ ️ ️ ️	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegetarian	4421 NW 6th St	closed
Huaxing Szechuan	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	407 NE 23rd Ave	closed
Sandwich Depot	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2111 NW 13th St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	17	15	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	23	20	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	18	16	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	25	22	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	25	19	8	9	1	3	NAICS1997
1999	21	16	6	8	1	2	NAICS1997
2000	13	10	3	5	1	2	NAICS1997
2001	19	16	7	5	2	2	NAICS1997
2002	18	13	6	5	1	3	NAICS1997
2003	20	16	8	6	1	3	NAICS2002
2004	21	14	8	5	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	25	18	8	7	2	2	NAICS2002
2006	27	20	7	11	1	2	NAICS2002
2007	27	19	7	9	2	2	NAICS2002
2008	26	18	10	6	1	3	NAICS2007
2009	30	22	14	7	—	3	NAICS2007
2010	26	20	13	5	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	28	22	13	6	2	2	NAICS2007
2012	32	28	13	12	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	27	22	11	9	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	30	24	11	12	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	32	27	11	14	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	35	31	12	17	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	33	29	9	17	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	31	27	7	16	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	34	30	10	16	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	34	30	10	16	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	33	27	9	14	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	34	28	10	13	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	33	29	9	15	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 32609. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.