BMIE Market 32615
Alachua County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 16,771 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±919 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 6,682 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±385 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 14,295 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 6,302 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $85,701 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,750 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 40.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,267 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±112 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $297,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,527 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 137.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 29 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 32615 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 14.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +31.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +52.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +314.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +190.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 35 (range 32–38) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.1 per year, r² 0.95) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 76 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 75 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 70 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 87 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 32615. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.95, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 76 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 74.6 | 75 | 40% | +29.9 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 70.3 | 70 | 35% | +24.6 |
| Market Momentum Score | 86.8 | 87 | 25% | +21.7 |
Consumer Market Score: 75 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 16,771 | 78 | 40% | +31.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 85,701 | 69 | 40% | +27.5 |
| Households (ACS) | 6,682 | 79 | 20% | +15.7 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 70 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 52.6 | 85 | 35% | +29.7 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 17.3 | 45 | 25% | +11.2 |
| Population (ACS) | 16,771 | 78 | 20% | +15.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 85,701 | 69 | 20% | +13.8 |
Market Momentum Score: 87 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 31.8 | 84 | 50% | +41.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 52.6 | 85 | 30% | +25.4 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 314.3 | 97 | 20% | +19.4 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (62)
By cuisine
American 11 · Pizza 7 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 5 · Chicken / wings 5 · Coffee 5 · Mexican 5 · Asian 4 · Burgers 4 · Chinese 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Japanese 4 · Sushi 4 · Bakery 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Breakfast 2 · Dessert 2 · Italian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · BBQ 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Cuban 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vegetarian 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 35 · Quick service 13 · Bar 6 · Café 4 · Casual dining 4 · Dessert 4 · Bakery 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Buffet 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alachua Nutrition | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 15315 NW US Hwy 441 | open |
| Alachua Nutrition | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 15202 Nw 147th Dr Ste 400 | open |
| Alachua Sports Pub | Bar · Casual dining | 14003 NW 150th Ave | open | |
| Beaker & Flask Wine Co. | Bar | 13800 Tech City Cir | open | |
| Beef O'Brady's | Bar | 14841 Main St | open | |
| Bev's Better Burgers | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · Breakfast · American | 15010 Main St | open |
| Brown's Country Buffet | Buffet | Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 14423 NW US Hwy 441 | open |
| Brown's Country Buffet | Buffet | Chinese · American | 12510 NW US Highway 441 | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 16130 US-441 | open |
| Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A | Quick service | 16310 NW US Hwy 441 | open | |
| China Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 16181 NW US Hwy 441 | open |
| Cilantro Tacos (alachua) | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 15551 Nw Us Highway 441 Unit 50 | open |
| Conestogas Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 14920 Main St | open |
| Creeks 19th | Casual dining · Bar | American | 11400 Turkey Creek Blvd | open |
| Daft Cow Brewery | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 13800 Tech City Cir | open | |
| Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen | Quick service · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 15993 NW 163rd Ln | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 15634 Nw Hwy 441 | open |
| Doxa Coffee Co. | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 15551 NW US Hwy 441 #7 | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 16091 NW US Hwy 441 | open |
| DW Ashton Catery | Other | Sandwiches | 14816 Main St, Alachua, FL 32615 | open |
| El Patio | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 16135 NW US Hwy 441 | open |
| Ellianos Coffee Ellianos Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 16286 NW US Hwy 441 | open |
| Eltoro Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 15202 NW 147th Dr | open |
| GOOD FOLK Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 16008 NW 140th St | open |
| Harvest Thyme | Restaurant (service type not stated) | British / Irish pub food | 14816 NW 141ST St | open |
| Harvest Thyme Alachua | Café | Coffee | 13901 Tech City Cir | open |
| Hungry Howie's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · Pizza | 16135 NW US Highway 441 Ste 20 | open |
| Ivy House of Alachua | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 14603 Main St | open |
| Kazboro's Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 16135 NW US Highway 441 | open |
| KFC | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 16011 Martin Luther King Blvd. | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 16134 NW US Highway 441 | open |
| Kumo hibachi & sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 15634 NW US Hwy 441 suite f | open |
| Main Street Sweets | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 14940 Bob Hitchcock's Main St | open |
| Makitori Sushi & Yakitori | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 14933 Main St | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 16018 NW US Hwy 441 | open |
| Mi Apa Latin Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cuban | 15634 NW US Highway 441 | open |
| Moe's Southwest Grill Moe's Southwest Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican | 15652 NW US Hwy 441 | open |
| My Happy Place On Main | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Pizza · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 14925 Main St | open |
| New York Pizza Plus | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 15202 NW 147th Dr #100 | open |
| New York Pizza Time, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 15202 Nw 147th Dr # A | open | |
| Nori Nite | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Japanese · Sushi · American | 14960 Main St | open |
| North Central FL LC Group Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 16181 NW US-441 | open |
| Pizza Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 15947 NW US Highway 441 | open |
| Pizza In The Hood Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 14212 NW 154th Ave | open | |
| Pizza In The Neighbor Hood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 14212 NW 154th Ave | open |
| Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 15655 NW US Hwy 441 Alachua | open |
| Queens Landing Cafe & Pub | Bar | 14841 Main St | open | |
| Radha's Kitchen | Catering | Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls | 14601 NW 140th St | open |
| Rose Garden Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 15530 NW US Hwy 441 | open |
| Sonny's BBQ Sonny's BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 15935 NW US Hwy 441 | open |
| Southern Taste | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 14816 Main St | open |
| Strong Tower 10933,inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 15530 NW US Highway 441 | open | |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 15350 NW 144th Way | open |
| Taco Bell | Quick service | 16220 Martin Luther King Blvd | open | |
| Teatime Tranquility & Treasures | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café · Bakery | Tea / bubble tea · Coffee · Bakery | 14521 Main St | open |
| The Ice Cream Vault | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 14841 Main St | open |
| Waffle House Waffle House | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 15979 US-441 | open |
| We Do It Batter LLC | Bakery | Bakery | 14317 NW 165th Pl | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 16070 Northwest Us Highway 441 | open |
| Wok-N-Roll | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 15551 NW US Hwy 441 #30 | open |
| Zaxby's Zaxby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 16088 NW US Highway 441 | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 16193 NW US Hwy 441 | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 12 | 10 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 12 | 10 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 10 | 9 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 11 | 10 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 3 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 4 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 6 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 4 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 4 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 4 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 16 | 15 | 10 | 5 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 15 | 14 | 10 | 4 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 21 | 20 | 11 | 9 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 17 | 16 | 8 | 8 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 8 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 21 | 19 | 11 | 7 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 21 | 19 | 12 | 6 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 22 | 21 | 13 | 7 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 22 | 21 | 12 | 8 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 24 | 23 | 12 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 23 | 22 | 11 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 25 | 24 | 11 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 28 | 26 | 11 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 30 | 26 | 12 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 34 | 29 | 13 | 12 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 34 | 29 | 14 | 12 | — | 3 | NAICS2022 |