BMIE Market 32667

Alachua County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	3,944 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±516 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,723 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±222 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	3,794 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,906 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$81,659 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,875 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	54.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,065 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±165 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$258,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±57,477 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	90.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	4 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 32667
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	13.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-20.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-33.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+100.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	2 (range 0–4) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.53) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	46 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	60 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	45 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	26 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 32667. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.53, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	60.1	60	40%	+24.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	45.4	45	35%	+15.9
Market Momentum Score	25.7	26	25%	+6.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	3,944	57	40%	+22.7
Median household income (ACS)	81,659	64	40%	+25.7
Households (ACS)	1,723	59	20%	+11.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 45 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-33.3	9	35%	+3.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.1	72	25%	+17.9
Population (ACS)	3,944	57	20%	+11.3
Median household income (ACS)	81,659	64	20%	+12.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 26 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-20	13	50%	+6.5
10-year restaurant growth	-33.3	9	30%	+2.8
20-year restaurant growth	100	82	20%	+16.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (13)

By cuisine

Coffee 6 · American 3 · Bakery 2 · Italian 2 · BBQ 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Pizza 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Café 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Restaurant (service type not stated) 5 · Bakery 2 · Bar 2 · Dessert 2 · Casual dining 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Antonio's Made in Italy Antonio's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Mediterranean	22050 N US Hwy 441	open
Blue Highway Pizzeria Blue Highway a Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	204 NE Hwy 441	open
Coffee n' Cream	Café · Dessert · Coffee shop	Coffee · Dessert	201 NE Cholokka Blvd	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	17100 SE County Road 234	open
Micanopy	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery		open
Middle Of Nowhere	Bar			open
Mosswood Bakehouse	Bakery · Coffee shop · Café	Bakery · Coffee	703 NE Cholokka Blvd	open
Old Florida Cafe	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · American	12413 Highway 441 S	open
Old Florida Cafe	Café	Coffee · Sandwiches · American	203 NE Cholokka Blvd	open
Pearl Country Store & Barbecue	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	106 NE Hwy 441	open
TCBY/Moxie Java Greenville SC	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts		open
The Depot	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		22060 N US Hwy 441	open
The Etta Lynn	Coffee shop	Coffee	18774 NW 100th Avenue Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	4	2	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	4	2	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	3	2	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	3	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	3	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	4	2	2	—	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	3	1	1	—	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	3	2	—	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	3	2	—	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	4	3	—	2	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	4	4	—	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	4	4	—	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	5	5	1	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	5	5	1	3	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	5	5	1	3	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	5	5	1	3	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	5	5	1	3	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	5	5	1	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	6	6	2	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	6	6	2	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	6	6	2	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	8	8	3	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	6	6	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	5	5	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	4	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	5	5	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	5	5	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	4	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	5	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 32667. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.