BMIE Market 32730

Seminole County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,091 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,045 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,766 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±374 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,354 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,728 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$47,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,271 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,581 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±119 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$318,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20,235 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	1.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	17 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 32730
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	33.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+6.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+54.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+30.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+13.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	22 (range 20–24) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.8 per year, r² 0.86) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	52 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	43 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	51 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	67 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 32730. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.86, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	43.4	43	40%	+17.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	50.5	51	35%	+17.7
Market Momentum Score	67.5	67	25%	+16.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 43 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,091	64	40%	+25.4
Median household income (ACS)	47,500	12	40%	+4.9
Households (ACS)	2,766	66	20%	+13.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	54.6	85	35%	+29.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	27.9	22	25%	+5.6
Population (ACS)	6,091	64	20%	+12.7
Median household income (ACS)	47,500	12	20%	+2.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	6.3	63	50%	+31.5
10-year restaurant growth	54.6	85	30%	+25.5
20-year restaurant growth	30.8	52	20%	+10.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (28)

By cuisine

Burgers 4 · American 3 · Mexican 3 · Pizza 3 · Asian 2 · Bakery 2 · Caribbean 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Chinese 2 · Cuban 2 · Dessert 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Coffee 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 17 · Quick service 10 · Bakery 3 · Dessert 3 · Bar 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Baskin-robbins	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	429 Ridge Rd	open
Bob Evans Restaurants Bob Evans	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	385 State Road 436 SR 436 & US 17/92	open
Burger King	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	6580 S Highway 17-92	open
Cakes and Cookies by Chey	Bakery	Bakery		open
Checkers Checkers and Rally's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	7551 S. 17-92 Highway Fern Park, FL	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	80 Oxford Rd	open
China Feast	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	7800 S US Hwy 17 92	open
China Lee	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	187 FL-436	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	103 State Road 436	open
Dominos Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1560 E Altamonte Dr	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	429 Ridge Rd	open
Fern Park, FL Krystal	Quick service		6655 US Highway 17 & 92	open
Francisco's Taco Madness	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	704 Prairie Lake Dr	open
Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service		181 State Road 436	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	349 Semoran Blvd	open
Kreyol Fusion Flavors	Food truck		7095 S US-17-92	open
Krystal Krystal	Quick service	Burgers · American	6655 S US-17-92	open
Lo Mejor Del Mundo Cuban Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cuban · Latin American (other) · Caribbean	181 Oxford Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1415 E State Rd	open
New York Pizza & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	7800 US-17-92	open
Olivella's Italian Restaurant & Pizzaria	Restaurant (service type not stated)		189 SR 436	open
Pablanos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex		open
Publix Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	6521 S US Highway 17/92	open
Rey's Cuban Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cuban · Latin American (other) · Caribbean	7800 S US Hwy 17 92 #194	open
Sobik's Subs	Other	Sandwiches	6525 S US Highway 17/92	open
Tattudio	Bar		6410 S US Highway 17/92	open
Venice Pizza & Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	189 State Road 436	open
Vip Cuts Of Central Florida Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1501 E Altamonte Dr	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	17	15	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	15	15	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	16	16	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	15	14	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	16	15	9	5	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	15	14	8	4	2	1	NAICS1997
2000	13	12	7	4	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	12	11	6	4	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	14	13	6	6	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	14	13	7	5	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	14	13	7	6	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	18	17	9	6	2	1	NAICS2002
2006	15	14	6	6	2	1	NAICS2002
2007	12	12	4	7	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	15	15	6	8	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	17	17	8	7	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	18	18	7	10	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	15	15	6	7	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	12	12	4	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	11	11	5	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	9	9	2	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	12	12	4	5	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	12	12	3	8	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	14	14	4	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	16	16	5	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	15	15	4	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	16	16	4	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	16	16	4	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	19	18	5	13	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	19	17	5	12	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 32730. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
32701	1.9 mi	51	2023
32707	1.9 mi	63	2023
32751	2.0 mi	44	2023
32789	3.7 mi	155	2023
32750	3.9 mi	66	2023
32792	4.0 mi	101	2023
32714	4.2 mi	91	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.