BMIE Market 32773

Seminole County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	34,032 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,811 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	13,128 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±695 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	28,787 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	12,028 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$70,442 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,951 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,577 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±92 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$287,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,303 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	27.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	40 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 32773
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+11.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+21.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+60.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+90.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	42 (range 40–45) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.75) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	74 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	68 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 32773. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.75, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	73.7	74	40%	+29.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66.6	67	35%	+23.3
Market Momentum Score	67.9	68	25%	+17.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	34,032	91	40%	+36.5
Median household income (ACS)	70,442	48	40%	+19.1
Households (ACS)	13,128	91	20%	+18.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	21.2	64	35%	+22.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.8	66	25%	+16.4
Population (ACS)	34,032	91	20%	+18.2
Median household income (ACS)	70,442	48	20%	+9.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	11.1	69	50%	+34.5
10-year restaurant growth	21.2	64	30%	+19.3
20-year restaurant growth	60	71	20%	+14.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (121)

By cuisine

American 20 · Mexican 12 · Coffee 9 · Bakery 7 · Dessert 7 · Burgers 6 · Latin American (other) 6 · Breakfast 5 · Chicken / wings 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Seafood 5 · Asian 4 · BBQ 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Japanese 4 · Pizza 4 · Chinese 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Middle Eastern 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Steakhouse 3 · Sushi 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Caribbean 2 · Cuban 1 · Filipino 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Italian 1 · Peruvian 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Vegan 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 66 · Quick service 21 · Bar 17 · Dessert 10 · Bakery 9 · Coffee shop 8 · Café 5 · Casual dining 5 · Food truck 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Other 3 · Buffet 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Catering 1 · Fast casual 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
2921 South Orlando Drive Sanford Fl	Bar		2921 S Orlando Dr	open
Akira Sushi & Steak House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Sushi · Japanese	318 W Lake Mary Blvd	open
An Store 177 Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3150 S Orlando Dr	open
Aprax Investment Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2921 S Orlando Dr # A	open
Arby's Arby's	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	3725 Orlando Blvd Orlando Blvd & E Lake Mary Boulevard	open
B & B Discount Beverage	Bar		2707 S Orlando Dr	open
Baskin-Robbins	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	3768 S Orlando Dr	open
Bbee's Home Cooking	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	2511 S Sanford Ave	open
Beans and Roots - Kava and Coffee Bar	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	4046 S Orlando Dr	open
Billabong's	Bar		3824-3826 S Orlando Dr	open
Budweiser Taproom	Bar		1200 Red Cleveland Blvd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	3653 S Orlando Dr	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	3788 S Orlando Dr	open
Casa Lupita Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	160 W Lake Mary Blvd	open
Cattle Ranch	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	2700 Sanford Ave	open
China Star	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	2508 S French Ave	open
China Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	170 W Lake Mary Blvd	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	3715 S Orlando Dr Ste 100	open
Church's Texas Chicken Church's Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2561 French Avenue	open
Cicis Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3695 S Orlando Dr	open
Cinnabon Cinnabon	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	112 E Airport Blvd	open
Cinnabon	Bakery	Bakery	1200 Red Cleveland Blvd	open
Colorado's Prime Steak	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	3863 S Orlando Dr	open
Cool Irv Mr Fish and Krabz	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Vegan · Healthy / salads / bowls	2990 S Sanford Ave	open
Coqui Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Latin American (other)	4004 S Orlando Dr	open
Cotton Candy Factory	Dessert		2613 S Orlando Dr	open
Culver's Culver's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	3418 S Orlando Dr	open
Curbie's Sidewalk Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Hot dogs · Burgers	2599 Sanford Ave	open
Da Mf Spot	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	3800 S Orlando Dr	open
De Guzman Food	Catering	Filipino	3838 S Orlando Dr	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	3768 S Orlando Dr	open
Dunkin'	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1200 Red Cleveland Blvd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Breakfast	Sanford Int'L Airport, Sanford International Airport	open
El Potro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3639 S Orlando Dr	open
Empanada Dealer & Pinchos	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Latin American (other) · American	4185 S Orlando Dr	open
FEDEX E-POST USPS	Café		250 W Lake Mary Blvd	open
FL District of Kiwanis International	Bar		5545 Benchmark Ln	open
Flowers Baking Co (Nature's Own) Flowers' discount Bakery Store	Bakery	Bakery	4106 S Orlando Dr	open
Friendly's Pizza New York Style	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other	Sandwiches · Pizza · Italian	2921 S Orlando Dr STE 162	open
Generations Best Sweet Potato Pies	Other · Bakery	Bakery	2510 S Oak Ave Ste B	open
Gracias Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Cuban	750 W Lake Mary Blvd	open
GUFY pinchos	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		2617 S Orlando Dr	open
Habibi's Hookah Lounge	Bar		3806 S Orlando Dr	open
Hao Bao Bao Coffee LLC	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	Shop-Lake minnie Plaza, 4046 S Orlando Dr.	open
Hnina's Seafood Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2520 S French Ave	open
Hong Kong Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3677 S Orlando Dr	open
Hookah Bar	Bar		2619 S French Ave	open
Ichigo Ichie Buffet	Buffet	Japanese · Asian	3611 S Orlando Dr	open
IHOP IHOP	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	3150 S Orlando Dr	open
Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service		130 W Lake Mary Blvd	open
Jesse James Southern Smoked Bbq	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	3665 S Orlando Dr Ste 432	open
Jet-A-Way Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	2841 Flightline Ave	open
Jimotti's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Spanish / tapas	2545 S French Ave	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	3601 S. Orlando Dr	open
Kitchenaf	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	160 W Lake Mary Blvd	open
KMJ Deli Provisions	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	5497-5499 Benchmark Ln	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	7499 County Road 427	open
La Granja	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Peruvian	3852 S Orlando Dr	open
La Parada de Tacos LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1300 W Airport Blvd	open
Legacy Whiskey Tavern	Bar		2605 Park Dr	open
Legends Bar And Lounge	Bar		2990 Sanford Ave	open
Los Campos de América	Food truck		3640 Sanford Ave	open
Lush Lounge	Bar		2921 S Orlando Dr	open
Mac Sanford Od, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3768 S Orlando Dr	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	3785 S Orlando Dr	open
Mel's Family Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · American	3221 S Orlando Dr	open
Mexi Dog	Food truck	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2599 Sanford Ave	open
Mgf Rest. Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3695 S Orlando Dr	open
Mr. And Mrs. Pickle	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American		open
Naavie's Frozen Yogurt	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	200 W Lake Mary Blvd	open
NAS Sanford Memorial parking	Bar		1200 Red Cleveland Blvd	open
Nutricorner Sanford Protein Smoothies and More	Juice, smoothie, tea	Healthy / salads / bowls · Juice / smoothies · Breakfast	601 Lake Minnie Dr Ste 4010	open
Ocean Crab seafood & Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Seafood	2935 S Orlando Dr	open
Orlando Food Truck Catering	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		105 Morrison Ave	open
Papa John's Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	332 W Lake Mary Blvd Ste 102	open
Paradise Popcorn	Other · Dessert	Dessert	1450 Tropic Park Dr	open
Parva Colombian Bakery Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		220 W Lake Mary Blvd	open
Patio Grill	Casual dining · Bar		2900 S Orlando Dr	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	616 Lake Minnie Dr Seminole	open
Port paradise lounge	Bar		1200 Red Cleveland Blvd	open
Pupuseria y Taqueria La Union	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1300 W Airport Blvd	open
Qdoba Mexican Grill Qdoba	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	202 W Lake Mary Blvd	open
Red Apple Dining	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	400 E Lake Mary Blvd	open
Rhonda's--A Neighborhood Bar	Bar		2617 S Orlando Dr	open
Sal's Italian Ice	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	2521 S French Ave	open
San Miguel Mexican Grill Sanford	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · American	2711 S Orlando Dr	open
Seafood Chïcc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	490 W Lake Mary Blvd	open
Sergio's Italian Restaurant	Buffet		2895 S Orlando Dr	open
Shawarma Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern	160 W Lake Mary Blvd	open
Sonny's BBQ Sonny's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	3506 S Orlando Dr	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	3764 S Orlando Dr	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	1200 Red Cleveland Blvd	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee		open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3605 Orlando Dr	open
Sunny Bites (Halal)	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern · BBQ	360 W Lake Mary Blvd	open
Sweetness Aloap	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies · American	2512 Laurel Ave	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	2700 S Orlando Dr	open
Taco CabaÃ±a	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2597 Sanford Ave	open
Taksim Turkish Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern	4076 S Orlando Dr	open
Taquería El Chapulin Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	690 W Airport Blvd	open
Taqueria Marisele	Quick service		3320 Sanford Ave	open
Taqueria Tierra Caliente	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4103 S Orlando Dr	open
The Blue Bayou Food Truck	Bakery	Seafood · Bakery	1295 W Airport Blvd	open
The Father's Table	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	2301 E Lake Mary Blvd	open
The Hungry Lab	Food truck · Quick service	American	2675 S Design Ct	open
The Meltdown	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3771 Orlando Dr	open
The Park Dive	Bar		2601 Park Dr	open
Tin Lizzie Tavern	Bar		2601 Park Dr	open
Toro's Bites & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3848 S Orlando Dr # 102	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	3715 S Orlando Dr	open
Vayda's Gypsy Rib Ranch	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	2545 S French Ave	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	336 W Lake Mary Blvd	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	3653 S Orlando Dr	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	3717 S. Orlando Blvd.	open
Wingstop Wingstop	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	120 W Lake Mary Blvd	open
Yabi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	3755 S Orlando Dr	open
Yat sing #2 laguna gardens	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Seafood · Chinese · Asian	3677 S Orlando Dr	open
Zaxby's Zaxby's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	3815 S Orlando Dr	open
Dickey's Barbecue Pit	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Chicken / wings · BBQ	2935 S Orlando Dr	closed
Kiko's Pizza And Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4004 S Orlando Dr	closed
Sunny Breeze Cafe & Restaurant Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		160 W Lake Mary Blvd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	23	21	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	22	20	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	21	19	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	28	26	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	27	23	11	10	2	3	NAICS1997
1999	27	22	11	10	1	3	NAICS1997
2000	30	25	12	12	1	3	NAICS1997
2001	31	26	13	12	1	3	NAICS1997
2002	25	20	10	10	—	3	NAICS1997
2003	28	25	13	12	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	36	30	15	15	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	34	29	13	14	2	1	NAICS2002
2006	35	31	12	16	3	1	NAICS2002
2007	36	31	13	17	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	33	29	16	12	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	39	32	17	14	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	38	31	17	13	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	40	32	18	13	1	3	NAICS2007
2012	41	37	20	16	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	35	33	17	15	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	40	35	18	16	1	2	NAICS2012
2015	40	36	19	15	2	1	NAICS2012
2016	42	34	17	16	1	4	NAICS2012
2017	41	34	17	15	—	4	NAICS2017
2018	42	36	18	15	3	3	NAICS2017
2019	43	35	17	14	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	48	39	20	16	3	3	NAICS2017
2021	48	38	21	14	3	4	NAICS2017
2022	45	39	19	18	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	46	40	19	18	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 32773. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
32708	4.8 mi	71	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.