BMIE Market 32778

Lake County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	25,042 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±867 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	11,022 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±612 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	18,617 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	10,090 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$63,472 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,194 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	53.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,514 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±216 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$266,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,993 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	25.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	31 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 32778
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	13.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+10.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+47.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+121.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+82.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	37 (range 33–40) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.1 per year, r² 0.83) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	69 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	66 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	68 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	75 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 32778. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.83, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	66.1	66	40%	+26.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67.9	68	35%	+23.8
Market Momentum Score	75.4	75	25%	+18.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	25,042	85	40%	+34.1
Median household income (ACS)	63,472	36	40%	+14.5
Households (ACS)	11,022	87	20%	+17.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	47.6	80	35%	+27.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	12.4	63	25%	+15.7
Population (ACS)	25,042	85	20%	+17.1
Median household income (ACS)	63,472	36	20%	+7.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	10.7	68	50%	+34.2
10-year restaurant growth	47.6	80	30%	+23.9
20-year restaurant growth	121.4	86	20%	+17.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (104)

By cuisine

American 21 · Latin American (other) 9 · Coffee 8 · Pizza 8 · Dessert 7 · Bakery 6 · Mexican 6 · Sandwiches 6 · Asian 5 · Breakfast 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Burgers 3 · Italian 3 · BBQ 2 · British / Irish pub food 2 · Caribbean 2 · Chinese 2 · Cuban 2 · Japanese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Seafood 2 · Spanish / tapas 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 53 · Bar 26 · Casual dining 18 · Quick service 11 · Dessert 8 · Bakery 7 · Coffee shop 6 · Café 4 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 2 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Angel's Soul Food & BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	390 W Burleigh Blvd	open
Angelo's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	916 W Main St	open
Argentinian Food Truck	Food truck		13721 Country Club Dr	open
Asian Invasion	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	227 E Main St	open
Back Woods Bar-N-Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4117 County Road 561	open
Bella Nonna Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	280 Silverado St	open
Big Dog Saloon	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1500 Canal Ct	open
Billys Cafe	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	1601 S Duncan Dr	open
Blimpie	Other	Sandwiches	439 S Duncan Dr	open
Boleros Cigar and Wine Bar	Café	Coffee	124 S Joanna Ave	open
Brü Tap House	Bar	Spanish / tapas	143 E Main St	open
Buster Tubb	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	110 S New Hampshire Ave	open
Buzzard Beach	Bar	American	2050 W Burleigh Blvd	open
China Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	342 W Burleigh Blvd	open
Coney's Italian Ice and Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	2010 State Road 19	open
Cousin's Kolaches	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert · Breakfast	359 E Burleigh Blvd	open
Crafted Concoctions	Casual dining · Coffee shop · Bar	Coffee · American	115 E Main St	open
Del Franco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	280 Silverado St	open
Digino's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	219 E Burleigh Blvd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	457 Duncan Drive	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	451 S Duncan Dr	open
East Wok East Wok Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	2002 FL-19	open
Eduardo's Lokos Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	226 W Alfred St	open
El Chef EfraÃn Cuban Cafe Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cuban · Latin American (other) · Caribbean	124 E Alfred St	open
Erin Of America Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		115 S Rockingham Ave	open
Fallen Few MC	Bar		1501 E Alfred St	open
Fish Camp Lake Eustis	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Seafood	901 Lakeshore Blvd	open
Flying Dicks	Bar			open
Foxtail Coffee Co. - Tavares Foxtail Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	315 N New Hampshire Ave	open
Geronimo's Grill	Casual dining	American	129 Juniper Way	open
Good Old Times Cigar Lounge	Bar		740 W Burleigh Blvd	open
Gorilla Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	548 S Duncan Dr	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	301 E Burleigh Blvd	open
Havana 1959 Cuban Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cuban · Latin American (other) · Caribbean	1080 E Alfred St	open
Hemingway's Wine Beer and Cigar Bar	Bar		126 W Ruby St	open
Hungry Howie's Pizza & Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Pizza	1998 FL-19	open
Hurricane Dockside Grill-Tavares Hurricane Grill & Wings	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	3351 W Burleigh Blvd	open
Hwy 441 Diner	Casual dining	American	381 E Burleigh Blvd	open
Ipinball	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	223 E Main St	open
Irenes Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated)		14942 Old US Highway 441	open
Ironworks Steaks and Fine Cocktails	Bar	Steakhouse	132 W Ruby St	open
J's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	528 S Duncan Dr	open
Japan Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	456 E Burleigh Blvd	open
Jeannie's Ii - Tavares	Restaurant (service type not stated)		505 W Main St	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	458 E Burleigh Blvd	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's El Salvador	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	2045 28th St. SW	open
Journey's Saloon	Bar		4101 County Road 561	open
Kalua Beach Bar	Bar · Casual dining		181 S Joanna Ave	open
Lake Harris Hideaway	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		11912 Lane Park Rd	open
Living Green Health Foods	Restaurant (service type not stated)		15037 Old US Highway 441	open
Lulus Tropical Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	15200 Old US Highway 441 Ste 1	open
Main Street Diner	Casual dining	American	505 W Main St	open
Mary's Kountry Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	15945 CR-448	open
Masa Madre Bread	Bakery	Bakery · Latin American (other)	124 E Alfred St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1965 State Road 19	open
Mia Marina	Quick service	Latin American (other)	204 W Burleigh Blvd	open
Michael's Asian Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Asian	1010 E Alfred St	open
Mom's Food Enterprise Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1601 S Duncan Dr	open
Mt. Dora	Restaurant (service type not stated)		Old US-441	open
Nautilus Coffee Co	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	130 W Ruby St	open
O'Keefe's Irish Pub and Restaurant	Bar	British / Irish pub food	115 S Rockingham Ave	open
Ole Spanish Tapas Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Spanish / tapas	134 W Ruby St	open
Papa's Pub	Bar		3715 Windy Meadow Dr	open
Pastelitos Marilu Tavares	Restaurant (service type not stated)		342 W Burleigh Blvd	open
Peanut Gallery	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		16018 Dora Ave	open
Pontoon Saloon	Casual dining · Bar	American	1050 W Burleigh Blvd	open
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2062 State Road 19	open
Poppy's Ice Cream and Sweet Shop	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	130 W Ruby St	open
Puddle Jumpers	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	111 W Ruby St	open
Pups N Pints	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		181 S Joanna Ave	open
Rally's Checkers and Rally's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	480 E Burleigh Blvd	open
Ruby Street Grille	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	221 E Ruby St	open
Salsa Restaurant & Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Latin American (other)	2270 Vindale Rd	open
Salsitas Mexican Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	13721 Country Club Dr	open
San Jose's Original Mexican Restaurant San Jose's Original Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	1990 State Road 19	open
Sandbar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining			open
Shorty's Shoreline Oasis	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	British / Irish pub food		open
Soup to Nuts	Casual dining	American	381 E Burleigh Blvd	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	2046 Florida 19	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2101 State Rd 19	open
Sunrise Grill	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	462 E Burleigh Blvd	open
Sweetly, Sammy	Bakery	Bakery	1024 E Alfred St	open
Taco Bell	Quick service		2078 State Road 19	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	2078 State Road 19	open
Taco Time Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	15200 Old US Hwy 441	open
Taqueria La Chona	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	528 S Duncan Dr	open
Tavares Bakery Outlet Store	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	300 Nelson St	open
Tavares Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	214 E Main St	open
Thai Jasmine House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	1010 E Alfred St	open
The Argonaut Bar and Lounge	Bar		122 W Ruby St	open
The Deli Llama, Inc.- Espresso & Sandwiches	Other	Sandwiches	124 E Alfred St	open
The Littlest Bake Shop	Bakery	Bakery	402 E Alfred St	open
The Nutrition Nook	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	714 W Burleigh Blvd	open
the pisser at The Hideaway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American		open
The Tavares Dog House	Restaurant (service type not stated)		201 W Ruby St	open
Tiki West Raw Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood	118 W Ruby St	open
Tip of The Burgh Lounge	Bar		1950 Classique Ln	open
Twisted Biscuit Diner	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	4101 County Rd 561	open
Twistee Treat Tavares	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	397 E Burleigh Blvd	open
Two Guys Smokin' BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering	BBQ	73 Eustis Ave	open
Wild Bear Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	122 E Alfred St	open
Z's Sweets & Tasty Treats	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	2224 Tealwood Cir	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	2042 State Road 19	open
Margarita's Lounge	Bar		14942 Old US Highway 441	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	18	17	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	12	12	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	14	12	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	25	22	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	20	17	10	6	1	2	NAICS1997
1999	17	14	7	6	1	3	NAICS1997
2000	17	14	6	6	2	3	NAICS1997
2001	14	12	6	5	1	2	NAICS1997
2002	17	14	7	5	2	3	NAICS1997
2003	17	14	9	4	1	3	NAICS2002
2004	22	14	9	5	—	6	NAICS2002
2005	19	13	10	3	—	4	NAICS2002
2006	17	13	8	5	—	4	NAICS2002
2007	17	14	12	2	—	2	NAICS2002
2008	23	21	15	6	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	25	23	16	7	—	2	NAICS2007
2010	26	25	18	7	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	26	26	20	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	25	23	18	5	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	23	21	16	5	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	21	19	13	6	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	25	24	17	5	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	30	25	16	7	2	2	NAICS2012
2017	28	24	16	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	34	28	20	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	32	27	21	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	33	26	21	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	39	32	23	8	—	3	NAICS2017
2022	38	30	21	9	—	4	NAICS2022
2023	37	31	22	9	—	4	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 32778. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.