BMIE Market 32814

Orange County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,286 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,121 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,185 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±374 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,151 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,090 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$140,274 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,614 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,361 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±153 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$754,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±78,471 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	1.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 32814
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	17.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-7.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+18.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+1,200.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+1,200.0% DERIVED: 1997 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	16 (range 12–20) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.42) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	80 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	49 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 32814. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.42, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	80.2	80	40%	+32.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	68.6	69	35%	+24.0
Market Momentum Score	48.8	49	25%	+12.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,286	70	40%	+27.9
Median household income (ACS)	140,274	95	40%	+37.9
Households (ACS)	4,185	72	20%	+14.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	18.2	62	35%	+21.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	14	56	25%	+14.1
Population (ACS)	9,286	70	20%	+13.9
Median household income (ACS)	140,274	95	20%	+19.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-7.1	21	50%	+10.5
10-year restaurant growth	18.2	62	30%	+18.5
20-year restaurant growth	1,200	100	20%	+19.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (33)

By cuisine

American 6 · Coffee 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Italian 4 · Dessert 3 · Pizza 3 · Asian 2 · Chinese 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Bakery 1 · Burgers 1 · European 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mexican 1 · Seafood 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 16 · Bar 9 · Dessert 7 · Casual dining 4 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Bakery 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Ace & Bp Investment Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4979 New Broad St	open
Admiral Cigar Club	Bar		4940 New Broad St	open
Baldwin Restaurant Venture Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4868 New Broad St	open
Bartolomeo Cabana & Ristorante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	4030 Markham Pl	open
Cafe 906	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	4932 New Broad St	open
Camille	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4962 New Broad St	open
Chi Pan Asian	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	4856 New Broad St	open
Cold Stone Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	4954 New Broad St	open
Colibri Mexican Cuisine Baldwin Park	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4963 New Broad St	open
Cork & Plate	Bar	Spanish / tapas · Mediterranean	1784 Jake St	open
Farris & Foster's Chocolate Factory	Dessert	Dessert	4875 New Broad St	open
Felicity bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1753 Jake St	open
Five Guys Five Guys	Quick service	Burgers · American	4821 New Broad St.	open
Frosty Fox	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	4816 New Broad St	open
Gator's Dockside Gator's Dockside Jonesville	Casual dining · Bar	American	4982 New Broad St	open
I Ce Ny Rolled Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	4940 New Broad St	open
Lago	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	4979 New Broad St	open
Meza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · European	1780 Jake St	open
Mild to Wild Ice Cream Tavern	Dessert · Coffee shop · Bar	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	4979 New Broad St	open
Paddy Murphy's Irish Pub	Bar		4982 New Broad St	open
Park Lake Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		4776 New Broad St	open
Pipoca Gourmet Popcorn	Dessert		4804 New Broad St	open
Pizzeria Valdiano	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · Italian · American	4886 New Broad St	open
Planet Smoothie Planet Smoothie	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	4860 New Broad St	open
Provisions & Buzz Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	4868 New Broad St	open
Red Panda Noodle	Food truck			open
Seito Sushi Baldwin Park	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	4898 New Broad St	open
Slidders Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	9650 Universal Blvd	open
Tactical Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom · Bar		4882 New Broad St	open
Taste of Chengdu	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	4856 New Broad St	open
The Osprey	Bar	Seafood · American	4899 New Broad St	open
Tutto Caffe	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	4833 New Broad St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	4851 New Broad St Spc D2b	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1997	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	4	4	4	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	10	10	5	3	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	11	10	7	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	11	10	7	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	13	11	7	3	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	14	12	8	3	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	14	12	6	5	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	14	11	6	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	15	11	7	4	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	14	11	7	4	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	12	8	5	3	—	2	NAICS2012
2017	15	14	7	4	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	16	14	8	3	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	12	8	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	17	15	10	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	18	16	11	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	15	14	9	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	13	9	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 32814. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
32803	1.6 mi	166	2023
32807	1.9 mi	57	2023
32789	2.6 mi	155	2023
32792	3.1 mi	101	2023
32801	3.5 mi	116	2023
32804	4.2 mi	66	2023
32806	4.4 mi	90	2023
32751	4.8 mi	44	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.