BMIE Market 32829
Orange County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 20,819 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,081 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 7,154 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±532 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 17,822 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 6,911 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $99,213 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,871 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 35.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,970 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±128 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $386,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,660 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 19.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 15 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 32829 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 3.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +15.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +114.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +600.0% DERIVED: 2001 → 2021, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +1,400.0% DERIVED: 1997 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 17 (range 13–20) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.59) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 84 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 81 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 86 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 85 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 32829. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.59, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 84 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 80.9 | 81 | 40% | +32.4 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 86.5 | 86 | 35% | +30.3 |
| Market Momentum Score | 84.9 | 85 | 25% | +21.2 |
Consumer Market Score: 81 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 20,819 | 82 | 40% | +32.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 99,213 | 80 | 40% | +32.2 |
| Households (ACS) | 7,154 | 80 | 20% | +15.9 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 86 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 114.3 | 95 | 35% | +33.1 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 7.2 | 84 | 25% | +20.9 |
| Population (ACS) | 20,819 | 82 | 20% | +16.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 99,213 | 80 | 20% | +16.1 |
Market Momentum Score: 85 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 15.4 | 73 | 50% | +36.7 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 114.3 | 95 | 30% | +28.4 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 600 | 99 | 20% | +19.8 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (40)
By cuisine
Asian 3 · Burgers 3 · Coffee 3 · Japanese 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Pizza 3 · Sushi 3 · American 2 · Bakery 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Mexican 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Chinese 1 · Italian 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 26 · Quick service 8 · Bakery 3 · Dessert 3 · Bar 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Café 1 · Casual dining 1 · Delivery-focused 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ac Popes Island, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6441 S Chickasaw Trl PMB 334 | open | |
| Arby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 8132 Lee Vista Blvd | open |
| Autana Arepas Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 10024 Lee Vista Blvd | open |
| Bacio Ice Cream Shop | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 8734 Lee Vista Blvd | open |
| Blimpie | Quick service · Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 10024 Lee Vista Blvd | open |
| Chibi's Boba | Café | Coffee | 6437 S Chickasaw Trl | open |
| Claudio'S Tex-Mex | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican | 2751 S Chickasaw Trl | open |
| Dairy Queen Dairy Queen | Quick service · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · American | 8650 Leevista Blvd | open |
| Djh Enterprises Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6441 S Chickasaw Trl PMB 334 | open | |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Delivery-focused · Quick service | Pizza | 2712 S Chickasaw Trail | open |
| El Molcajete Mexican Restaurant - Vista Lakes | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 6427 S Chickasaw Trail | open |
| El Triunfo Bakery And Cafe | Bakery | Bakery | 2751 S Chickasaw Trl Ste 101 | open |
| Flms Plant City, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6441 S Chickasaw Trl PMB 334 | open | |
| God Father Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 10024 Lee Vista Blvd | open |
| Gold Hookah Lounge and Smoke Shop | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8255 Lee Vista Blvd Unit J | open | |
| Greg's Place Wings | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 2736 S Chickasaw Trail | open |
| Junior Colombian Burger Junior Colombian Burger | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · Latin American (other) | 8255 Lee Vista Blvd | open |
| La Casa Del Pandebono Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 2724 S Chickasaw Trl | open |
| LaChina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 6473 S Chickasaw Trail | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 8734 Lee Vista Blvd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 10026 Curry Ford Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | 5785 S. Econlockhatchee Trail | open | |
| Pasquale's Italian Resorante | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 6427 S Chickasaw Trl | open |
| Phoresh Noodles | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian | 2751 S Chickasaw Trl | open |
| Pizza Burger | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 2751 S Chickasaw Trl #107 | open |
| Quiznos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10024 Lee Vista Blvd | open | |
| Rice | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 2724 S Chickasaw Trl | open |
| Southern Star Restaurant Management Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6441 S Chickasaw Trl PMB 334 | open | |
| Ssrm West 1, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6441 S Chickasaw Trl PMB 334 | open | |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 6457 S Chickasaw Trail #A110 | open |
| T And T Phan Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2751 S Chickasaw Trl Ste 107 | open | |
| Tokyo Japanese Sushi Bar & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Steakhouse | 6481 S Chickasaw Trl | open |
| Tostados Café | Coffee shop | Coffee | 8734 Lee Vista Blvd | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 6485 S Chickasaw Trail | open |
| Ac Management, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6441 S Chickasaw Trl PMB 334 | closed | |
| Ac Reed Road, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6441 S Chickasaw Trl PMB 334 | closed | |
| Ac Russells Mill Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6441 S Chickasaw Trl PMB 334 | closed | |
| Ac Tucker Road, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6441 S Chickasaw Trl PMB 334 | closed | |
| Pizzeria Roberti | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2751 S Chickasaw Trl Ste 107 | closed |
| Qfrm Dev Fl, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6441 S Chickasaw Trl PMB 334 | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1997 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 13 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 5 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 13 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 15 | 13 | 5 | 7 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 7 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 14 | 11 | — | 7 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 16 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 8 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 17 | 15 | 4 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2022 |