BMIE Market 32951

Brevard County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	11,299 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±926 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,833 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±582 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	10,673 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,827 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$98,420 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,131 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	61.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,716 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±313 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$567,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±46,348 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	8.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 32951
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	15.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-7.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+20.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-7.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+33.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	14 (range 10–18) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.10) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	63 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	70 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	33 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 32951. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.10, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	76.3	76	40%	+30.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	70.1	70	35%	+24.5
Market Momentum Score	32.7	33	25%	+8.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	11,299	73	40%	+29.0
Median household income (ACS)	98,420	80	40%	+32.0
Households (ACS)	5,833	77	20%	+15.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	20	63	35%	+22.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.6	70	25%	+17.5
Population (ACS)	11,299	73	20%	+14.5
Median household income (ACS)	98,420	80	20%	+16.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 33 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-7.7	20	50%	+10.2
10-year restaurant growth	20	63	30%	+18.9
20-year restaurant growth	-7.7	18	20%	+3.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (38)

By cuisine

American 7 · Coffee 6 · Seafood 6 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Pizza 3 · Asian 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 20 · Bar 8 · Casual dining 7 · Café 6 · Dessert 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Quick service 4 · Bakery 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
ADAMAS Café	Café · Dessert · Coffee shop	Coffee · Ice cream / frozen desserts	302 Ocean Ave	open
Aqua Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		7500 S Hwy A1A	open
Beachside Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	2990 S Hwy A1A	open
Billie's on the beach - Melbourne, FL	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2525 Atlantic St	open
Billys Burgers At Melbourne Beach	Quick service	American · Burgers	2207 Atlantic St	open
Cafe Coconut Cove	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	German / Eastern European · Coffee	4210 S Hwy A1A	open
Cheers on the Beach Pub and Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	3830 S Hwy A1A	open
Chef's Corner in Melbourne Beach Market	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Pizza	302 Ocean Ave	open
China Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	3830 Jimmy Buffett Mem Hwy	open
Ciro's Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	3270 Jimmy Buffett Mem Hwy	open
Dandies Soft Serve Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	2990 S Highway A1A	open
DeAngelo's by the Sea	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Seafood	5935 S Hwy A1a	open
Djon's Steak And Lobster House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Seafood · American	522 Ocean Ave	open
Fast Chicken on the Beach	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	904 Oak St	open
Fin And Smoke	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5935 S Highway A1A	open
Grills Seafood Deck & Tiki Bar, Cape Canaveral Fl Grills Seafood Deck and Tiki Bar	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood		open
Ice Cream Shoppe And Cafe	Café	Coffee	3270 S Highway A1a Ste 106	open
Juicy Dogs: Nathan's Hot Dogs at Dog Friendly Canova Beach	Quick service	American · Hot dogs	3299 SR-A1A	open
Nautical Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	205 Ocean Ave	open
Neighborhood Sourdough	Bakery	Bakery	6458 Floridana Ave	open
New England Eatery & Pub	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood	5670 S Hwy A1A	open
Oasis Lounge	Bar		300 Ocean Ave #2	open
Ocean 302	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	302 Ocean Ave	open
Oceanside Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	300 Ocean Ave Ste 6	open
Papayakas	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3830 S Highway A1a	open
Rockies Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	315 Ocean Ave	open
Sand on the Beach	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining	Seafood · American	1005 Atlantic St	open
Schooner Bay Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	126 River Oaks Rd	open
Sebastian Inlet	Restaurant (service type not stated)		Sr-A1a	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	6690 S Highway A1A	open
Sundaes At The Beach	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	10 Ocean Ave	open
Sundaes Hershey's Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	300 Ocean Ave Ste 9	open
Surfside Inlet Grill and Gifts	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	9707 S Hwy A1A	open
Ur Hospitality, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5935 S Highway A1A	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	3830 S Highway A1a	open
Friendly Toast Cafe Sunnyside Cafe Esquimalt	Café	Breakfast · Coffee · American	300 Ocean Ave Ste 11	closed
Long Point Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	100 Long Point Rd	closed
Sebastian Beach Inn	Casual dining · Bar		7035 S Highway A1A	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	11	9	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	8	6	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	7	5	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	9	8	7	1	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	9	8	6	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	9	8	6	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	10	9	6	3	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	13	12	6	4	2	1	NAICS1997
2003	14	13	9	3	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	19	18	12	5	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	17	16	8	6	2	1	NAICS2002
2006	15	14	9	5	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	15	14	7	6	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	13	12	6	5	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	16	14	8	4	2	1	NAICS2007
2010	18	16	11	3	2	1	NAICS2007
2011	13	12	7	4	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	13	11	8	2	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	12	10	5	3	2	2	NAICS2012
2014	10	8	5	2	1	2	NAICS2012
2015	15	13	7	5	1	2	NAICS2012
2016	19	15	8	6	1	2	NAICS2012
2017	19	15	8	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	16	13	7	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	16	12	7	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	17	14	7	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	14	12	6	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	16	13	7	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	12	7	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 32951. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
32949	4.3 mi	4	2020
32950	4.8 mi	3	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.