BMIE Market 33523

Pasco County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	19,435 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,972 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,803 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±586 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	18,313 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,812 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$64,826 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,796 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,101 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±140 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$244,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,800 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	105.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 33523
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	2.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+9.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+71.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+300.0% DERIVED: 1996 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	7 (range 4–11) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.10) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	60 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	59 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 33523. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.10, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	63.6	64	40%	+25.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58.0	58	35%	+20.3
Market Momentum Score	58.7	59	25%	+14.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	19,435	81	40%	+32.4
Median household income (ACS)	64,826	39	40%	+15.4
Households (ACS)	6,803	79	20%	+15.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.2	87	25%	+21.9
Population (ACS)	19,435	81	20%	+16.2
Median household income (ACS)	64,826	39	20%	+7.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	9.1	66	50%	+33.2
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	71.4	75	20%	+15.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (44)

By cuisine

American 7 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 6 · Mexican 6 · Pizza 5 · Coffee 4 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Bakery 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · African 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Cuban 1 · Dessert 1 · European 1 · French 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Italian 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 24 · Bar 10 · Quick service 7 · Café 4 · Casual dining 3 · Dessert 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Bakery 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bloom + Refuel	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	14410 7th St	open
Café 9212	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	14748 Us Highway 98 Bypass, Dade City, FL 33525	open
Cigar Bar at Sawmill Resort Campground	Bar		21710 US Highway 98	open
Cuban Grounds Cafe	Café	Cuban · Latin American (other) · Coffee	37742 Martin Luther King Blvd	open
Dade City Brew House	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		14323 7th St	open
Dade City Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	14530 7th St	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	37894 Whitehouse Ave	open
Del Carmen Mexican Store & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	14415 7th St	open
Doc's Pub and Grill	Bar		14946 US Highway 301	open
Doña Orlanda Tortas Y Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Mexican	37511 Lock St	open
DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill	Quick service		37894 Whitehouse Ave	open
Good Timez Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		15924 US-301	open
Hilltop Ranch, Dade City	Casual dining · Bar			open
Hungry Howies Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	33191 Cortez Blvd	open
Jackie's Cakes	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	Crystal Way	open
Jay's Cuban Sandwich	Other	Sandwiches	36949 Blanton Rd	open
Kafe Kokopelli	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Coffee	37940 Live Oak Ave	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	20400 Us Hwy 98	open
Le Garden Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French · European	14227 7th St	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	14526 7th St	open
Little Mexico Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	14314 7th St	open
Mallie Kyla's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	14232 7th St	open
Miller's Lighthouse Lounge, Inc	Bar		5025 Treiman Blvd	open
Monique's Soul Food Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	African · American	15029 14th St	open
Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	14318 7th St	open
Perks Cafe	Café	Coffee	14249 7th St	open
Pig On The Road Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		14319 7th St	open
Pizza Manor	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused	Pizza	34480 Cortez Blvd	open
Pupuseria Y Taqueria Las Ramirez	Restaurant (service type not stated)		14717 7th St	open
Southern Harmony	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Coffee · Cajun, Creole, Southern	34508 Cortez Blvd	open
Splash Poolside Bar and Cafe	Bar		21710 US Highway 98	open
Steph's Southern Soul Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	14519 5th St	open
Taco Cart	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		34478 Cortez Blvd	open
Taco Stand	Quick service	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	37218 Lock St	open
Taqueria El Guache	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	37006 Lock St	open
Taqueria Mi Negrita	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	14999 US Highway 98 Byp	open
The Black Eyed Pea	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	15323 US-301	open
The Citrus Room	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	37937 Meridian Ave	open
The EverAfter Mobile Bar	Bar		15000 Citrus Country Dr	open
The Wine Library Dade City	Bar		14221 7th St	open
Timmy Jon's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	14810 US-98 BYP	open
Twistee Treat Dade City Twistee Treat (Plant City)	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea · Bakery	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies · Bakery	37627 Lock St	open
Uncle Fatty's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	14319 7th St	open
Zifero's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	34480 Cortez Blvd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1996	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	6	5	3	1	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	6	4	3	—	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	9	6	5	—	1	2	NAICS1997
2001	10	7	6	—	1	2	NAICS1997
2002	8	7	5	—	2	1	NAICS1997
2003	9	7	5	1	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	10	7	5	1	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	7	6	4	1	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	8	6	3	2	1	2	NAICS2002
2007	6	4	2	1	1	2	NAICS2002
2008	9	5	4	—	1	4	NAICS2007
2009	9	6	5	—	1	3	NAICS2007
2010	8	5	4	—	1	3	NAICS2007
2011	11	8	7	—	1	3	NAICS2007
2012	14	12	8	2	2	2	NAICS2012
2013	14	12	9	1	1	2	NAICS2012
2014	13	11	9	1	1	2	NAICS2012
2015	11	10	7	2	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	10	9	6	2	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	12	9	7	—	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	13	11	9	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	10	8	7	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	10	7	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	9	6	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	16	10	5	4	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	17	12	4	6	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 33523. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.