BMIE Market 33534
Hillsborough County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 17,740 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,628 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 5,728 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±519 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 12,839 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 5,021 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $80,484 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,217 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 34.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,452 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±184 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $314,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±27,790 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 13.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 15 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 33534 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 2.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +200.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +650.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +200.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +400.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 18 (range 14–21) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.1 per year, r² 0.81) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 82 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 72 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 83 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 98 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 33534. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.81, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 82 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 72.1 | 72 | 40% | +28.8 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 83.0 | 83 | 35% | +29.1 |
| Market Momentum Score | 98.0 | 98 | 25% | +24.5 |
Consumer Market Score: 72 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 17,740 | 79 | 40% | +31.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 80,484 | 63 | 40% | +25.1 |
| Households (ACS) | 5,728 | 76 | 20% | +15.3 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 83 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 650 | 100 | 35% | +35.0 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 8.5 | 78 | 25% | +19.6 |
| Population (ACS) | 17,740 | 79 | 20% | +15.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 80,484 | 63 | 20% | +12.6 |
Market Momentum Score: 98 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 200 | 99 | 50% | +49.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 650 | 100 | 30% | +30.0 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 200 | 93 | 20% | +18.6 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (50)
By cuisine
Mexican 9 · American 7 · Latin American (other) 7 · Dessert 5 · Coffee 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Bakery 3 · BBQ 3 · Pizza 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Burgers 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Seafood 2 · Caribbean 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Cuban 1 · European 1 · Greek 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 31 · Bar 10 · Quick service 9 · Food truck 6 · Bakery 5 · Dessert 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Casual dining 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Café 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ's on the River | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 9808 Vaughn St | open |
| Banh Mi Factory Gibsonton | Other | Sandwiches | 7130 Big Bend Rd | open |
| Bullfrog Creek Bar and Liquor | Bar | 11210 S US-41 | open | |
| Buttman BBQ | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 9851 US Hwy 41 S | open |
| Carnitas Don Andres | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 11130 S US Highway 41 | open |
| Ceviches Montero | Food truck · Quick service | Seafood | 6642 Big Bend Rd | open |
| Chen Chen Restaurant Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 11022 S US Highway 41 | open | |
| Cracker Barrel Cracker Barrel Old Country Store | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 9370 Theater Dr | open |
| Dixie Dockside | Bar | 9808 Vaughn St | open | |
| Dunkin Donuts | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | 9205 Gibsonton Dr | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 6912 Big Bend Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Bakery | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies · Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 10608 E Bay Rd | open |
| El Pulpo Marisqueria Inc. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 10820 S US Highway 41 | open |
| El Rincon El Rincón | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) · Cuban | 11101 US Hwy 41 S | open |
| Griff's Pizza 8160r | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza | 7309 Gibsonton Dr | open |
| Grillfiti The Hiphop Brunch Spot | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | 7736 Gibsonton Dr | open | |
| Grinds Coffee Pouches Grinds Pouches | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 12140 S US-41 | open |
| Home Delight Dishes | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 12831 Lake Vista Dr | open |
| Hot Rod Smoke BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | BBQ | 9218 Gibsonton Dr | open |
| House Rules Board Game Cafe | Café | Coffee | 7130 Big Bend Rd Unit 112 | open |
| La Botana Antojos Agridulces | Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Bar | Mexican · Dessert · Juice / smoothies | 11130 S Us Highway 41 Ste 101 | open |
| La Chapparrita | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 11008 S US-41 | open |
| La Mama De Los Pollitos Food Truck | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 11307 US Hwy 41 S | open |
| Little Caesars | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 6976 Big Bend Rd | open |
| Little Greek Fresh Grill Little Greek Fresh Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Mediterranean · European | 10660 New East Bay Rd | open |
| Manou’s Delight | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea | Caribbean · Juice / smoothies | 7736 Gibsonton Dr | open |
| McAlister's Deli McAlister's Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 9360 Theater Dr | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 7032 Big Bend Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 9205 Gibsonton Dr | open |
| Mericle Meals | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 11201 S US Highway 41 | open | |
| Mrzstickyfingertips Sweet Treats of Angier | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 9913 US-41 S | open |
| Pistolese’s Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 7130 Big Bend Rd Unit 111 | open |
| Portales Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 11042 US Hwy 41 S | open |
| Rack City Ribz, llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 11201 US Hwy 41 S | open |
| Risky Ashlar Cigar Lounge | Bar | 6210 Ohio Ave | open | |
| Rivers Edge Lounge & Marina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6226 Ohio Ave | open | |
| Riverview Tap House | Bar | 10656 New East Bay Rd | open | |
| Roadhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 11210 S US-41 | open | |
| Rosemary Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean | 10660 New East Bay Rd | open |
| Rositas Food Truck | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 10181 S US Highway 41 | open |
| Showtown Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 10902 S US-41 | open | |
| Tacos On The Run | Quick service | Latin American (other) · Mexican | 10181 S US-41 | open |
| Taiwan Express Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 11022 S US Highway 41 | open |
| Taqueria Marifer | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 1888 US Highway 41 | open |
| Taqueria y Pupuseria Su Sabor | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 11888 US Hwy 41 S | open |
| Taste of Lagos Florida | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 1130 US Highway 41 | open | |
| The River's Edge Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 6226 Ohio Ave | open | |
| Wallys Taqueria | Food truck | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 11307 S US-41 | open |
| Walmart Bakery | Specialty food shop · Bakery · Quick service | Sandwiches · Bakery | 9205 Gibsonton Dr | open |
| Zaxby's Zaxby's | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Chicken / wings | 10580 New East Bay Rd | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 6 | 3 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 6 | 3 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 6 | 2 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 4 | 2 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 9 | 4 | 4 | — | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 10 | 5 | 5 | — | — | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 9 | 5 | 5 | — | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 9 | 6 | 6 | — | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 3 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | — | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | — | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 3 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 4 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | — | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 1 | — | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 9 | 3 | 2 | — | 1 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 6 | 2 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 8 | 4 | — | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 11 | 5 | — | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 14 | 5 | — | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 14 | 7 | — | 4 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 19 | 12 | 4 | 7 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 24 | 15 | 6 | 7 | — | 3 | NAICS2022 |