BMIE Market 33558
Hillsborough County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 33,165 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,185 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 11,901 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±533 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 20,064 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 8,624 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $116,090 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,208 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 40.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,672 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±85 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $520,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±29,128 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 18.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 31 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 33558 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 5.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +19.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +138.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +675.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +933.3% DERIVED: 2001 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 36 (range 31–42) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.4 per year, r² 0.78) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 88 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 90 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 88 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 87 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 33558. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.78, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 88 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 89.7 | 90 | 40% | +35.9 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 87.9 | 88 | 35% | +30.8 |
| Market Momentum Score | 86.7 | 87 | 25% | +21.7 |
Consumer Market Score: 90 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 33,165 | 91 | 40% | +36.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 116,090 | 89 | 40% | +35.6 |
| Households (ACS) | 11,901 | 89 | 20% | +17.8 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 88 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 138.5 | 95 | 35% | +33.3 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 9.4 | 75 | 25% | +18.7 |
| Population (ACS) | 33,165 | 91 | 20% | +18.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 116,090 | 89 | 20% | +17.8 |
Market Momentum Score: 87 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 19.2 | 77 | 50% | +38.3 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 138.5 | 95 | 30% | +28.6 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 675 | 99 | 20% | +19.8 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (74)
By cuisine
American 11 · Pizza 8 · Italian 5 · Japanese 5 · Asian 4 · Burgers 4 · Coffee 4 · Mexican 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Chinese 3 · Dessert 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Sushi 3 · BBQ 2 · Breakfast 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Seafood 2 · Bakery 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · European 1 · Greek 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Indian 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 49 · Bar 21 · Quick service 12 · Casual dining 11 · Coffee shop 4 · Café 3 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2 · Fast casual 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Food truck 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54 Dutch Bros. Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 18640 State Road 54 | open |
| Andy's Frozen Custard Andy's Frozen Custard | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 19081 Wingshooter Wy | open |
| Azul tacos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 5524 Van Dyke Rd | open |
| BABs Secret Lounge | Bar | 16540 Pointe Village Dr | open | |
| Bangkok Group Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Sushi · Japanese · Asian | 16541 Pointe Village Dr Ste 101 | open |
| Binchō-Tan Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Japanese · American | 3949 Van Dyke Rd | open |
| Blaze Pizza Blaze Pizza | Quick service | Pizza · Italian | 18701 SR-54 | open |
| Bojangles' Bojangles' | Quick service | 18626 Florida 54 | open | |
| Brick City Eatery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Breakfast · Sandwiches | 16540 Pointe Village Dr | open |
| Burger King | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 17376 State Rd 54 | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 3911 Van Dyke Rd | open |
| Butt Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 20500 Cot Rd | open | |
| Captain George Enright Florida Charters | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 18416 Canary Ln | open |
| Carrabba's Italian Grill Carrabba's Italian Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | Italian | 16525 Pointe Village Dr | open |
| CAVA | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean | 2425 Sunlake Blvd | open |
| Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 17693 Harpers Run | open |
| China Moon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 18933 FL-54 | open |
| China Taste | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 3967 Van Dyke Rd | open |
| Cuatro | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 5300 Lutz Lake Fern Rd W | open |
| Delectable Delights | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 16541 Pointe Village Dr #110 | open |
| Double Bogeys Tavern & Grille | Casual dining · Bar | 19502 Heritage Harbor Pkwy | open | |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 17852 Aprile Dr | open |
| First Watch First Watch | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 18665 State Rd 54 | open |
| Fresco Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 18853 FL-54 | open |
| Fresh Kitchen Lutz Fresh Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Healthy / salads / bowls | 17629 Harpers Run | open |
| Fuzzy's Taco Shop | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 19729 State Rd. 54 | open |
| Glory Days Grill Glory Days Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 16553 Pointe Village Dr | open |
| Helo India Food Truck | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 5524 Van Dyke Rd | open |
| International Beer Garten | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 16540 Pointe Village Dr | open | |
| Jon Smith Subs | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 17791 State Road 54, 104 | open |
| Key West Bar & Grill | Bar | 2001 Paradise Lakes Blvd | open | |
| Land O' Lakes, FL Blaze Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 18701 State Road 54 | open |
| Louie's Wine Bar | Bar | 6072 Van Dyke Rd | open | |
| Lt. Col. Henry Blake Memorial Bar, Swimming Hole, Grille and Kitchen | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | West End of the Cascade | open | |
| Lutz | Bar | 5524 Van Dyke Rd | open | |
| Lutz - Sunlake The Brass Tap | Bar | 18835 State Road 54 | open | |
| McDonald's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 18672 State Road 54 | open |
| Mcglone's Bar and Grill | Casual dining · Quick service · Bar | 19214 Fishermans Bend Dr | open | |
| Mission BBQ MISSION BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 18707 State Road 54 | open |
| Nabruzzi Trattoria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 6062 Van Dyke Rd | open |
| Nac Restaurants | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 3973 Van Dyke Rd | open |
| Newport Richey, FL | Bar · Quick service | 2101 Northpointe Pkwy | open | |
| Olympian Restaurant & Bar Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 19502 Heritage Harbor Pkwy | open | |
| Osaka Express poke bowl hibachi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Healthy / salads / bowls · Hawaiian / Pacific · Asian | 18855 FL-54 | open |
| Outback Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 18600 State Road 54 | open | |
| Panda Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 17767 Harpers Run | open |
| Panini's Bar & Grill - Carrollwood | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 3973 Van Dyke Rd | open | |
| Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3949 Van Dyke Rd | open |
| Planet Smoothie | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 3947 Van Dyke Rd. | open |
| Sakura Japanese Sushi & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 18855 State Road 54 | open |
| Scarpino's Classic Italian | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 6062 Van Dyke Rd | open |
| Slider & Flight | Bar · Casual dining | 3973 Van Dyke Rd | open | |
| Smalls Sliders Smalls Sliders | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Burgers · American | 19105 Wingshooter Wy | open |
| Smoothie Blast Llc Dba Planet Smoothie | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 18845 State Road 54 | open | |
| SoFresh - Healthy Salads, Wraps & Bowls SoFresh | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Healthy / salads / bowls | 18845 FL-54 | open |
| Splash An Ocean Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3973 Van Dyke Rd | open | |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 18661 FL-54 | open |
| Stonewater Tavern Lutz | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Pizza | 3973 Van Dyke Rd | open |
| Stuka's Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | American | open | |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 3971 Van Dyke Rd #303 | open |
| Swig Swig | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 19093 Wingshooter Way | open | |
| T.a.p. | Casual dining · Bar | 3973 Van Dyke Rd | open | |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 17884 Aprile Dr | open |
| The Brass Tap - Sunlake The Brass Tap - Lakeside Village | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches · American · BBQ | 18835 State Road 54 | open |
| The Hungry Greek The Hungry Greek | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Mediterranean · European | 3947 Van Dyke Rd | open |
| The Sommelier Hideaway | Bar | 6072 Van Dyke Rd | open | |
| The Tavern at Cheval | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 4312 Cheval Blvd | open | |
| Twigs Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 4211 Van Dyke Rd | open |
| Uncle Maddio's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3949 Van Dyke Road | open |
| Vallartas Restaurante Mexicano | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 16540 Pointe Village Dr | open |
| Wendy's | Quick service | 18811 State Road 54 | open | |
| Woof Gang Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 18875 State Road 54 | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 3939 Van Dyke Rd | open |
| Freshii - Lutz | Quick service | 18845 State Road 54 | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2001 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 13 | 13 | 5 | 8 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 18 | 18 | 7 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 18 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 19 | 19 | 7 | 10 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 23 | 22 | 10 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 27 | 26 | 9 | 14 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 26 | 25 | 10 | 12 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 30 | 27 | 9 | 13 | 5 | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 24 | 21 | 8 | 11 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 29 | 27 | 10 | 15 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 35 | 31 | 13 | 16 | — | 3 | NAICS2022 |