BMIE Market 33565

Hillsborough County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	18,108 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,531 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,274 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±406 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	17,975 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,143 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$73,414 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,148 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,454 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±157 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$273,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±31,469 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	78.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	Not published for this ZIP 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 33565
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	1.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2012 → 2017, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-57.1% DERIVED: 2007 → 2017, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-40.0% DERIVED: 1997 → 2017, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2022	1 (range 0–4) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2007–2017 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.20) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	57 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	52 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	47 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 33565. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2007–2017, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.20, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	68.4	68	40%	+27.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	52.0	52	35%	+18.2
Market Momentum Score	47.2	47	25%	+11.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	18,108	80	40%	+31.9
Median household income (ACS)	73,414	52	40%	+21.0
Households (ACS)	6,274	78	20%	+15.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-57.1	2	35%	+0.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	1.7	100	25%	+24.9
Population (ACS)	18,108	80	20%	+15.9
Median household income (ACS)	73,414	52	20%	+10.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	50	90	50%	+45.1
10-year restaurant growth	-57.1	2	30%	+0.6
20-year restaurant growth	-40	7	20%	+1.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (12)

By cuisine

Juice / smoothies 3 · Mexican 3 · American 2 · Bakery 2 · Coffee 2 · BBQ 1 · Dessert 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Bakery 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Restaurant (service type not stated) 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Food truck 2 · Bar 1 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Café 1 · Casual dining 1 · Dessert 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
2Morrows Cakes	Bakery	Bakery	2930 N Forbes Rd	open
Cream of the Crust	Bakery	Bakery	3808 McGee Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	2851 Thonotosassa Rd	open
El Taco-H	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	Shell, 1665 Branch Forbes Rd	open
Joanne's Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	10625 Paul S Buchman Hwy	open
Keel and Curley Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Brewery / taproom		5202 Thonotosassa Rd	open
Kisses 'N' Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	2514 Leaning Pine Ln	open
Last Breath	Bar		7201 Pierce Harwell Rd	open
Smokin Aces B.B.Q. Smokin' Aces BBQ & Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	5210 Thonotosassa Rd	open
Sweet Mango Market	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	708 W Sam Allen Rd	open
Taco Madre	Food truck · Juice, smoothie, tea	Mexican · Juice / smoothies	3217 Cork Rd	open
Tres Amigos Latin Grill	Food truck	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3803 Paul S Buchman Hwy	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	6	5	4	1	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	7	6	4	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	7	6	4	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	8	7	5	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	5	4	2	2	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	3	2	1	1	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	3	2	1	1	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	5	4	1	2	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	4	2	—	1	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	3	1	1	—	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	6	4	—	3	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	6	3	—	1	2	1	NAICS2012
2016	6	2	—	—	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	7	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	4	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	3	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	3	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2023	5	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 33565. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
33563	4.9 mi	62	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.