BMIE Market 33573

Hillsborough County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	35,362 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,845 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	16,422 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±654 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	19,172 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	13,836 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$72,834 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,915 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	64.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,230 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±201 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$309,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,285 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	16.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	23 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 33573
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+43.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+64.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+130.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+666.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	24 (range 21–26) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.79) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	81 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	81 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	88 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 33573. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.79, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	76.3	76	40%	+30.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	80.6	81	35%	+28.2
Market Momentum Score	87.6	88	25%	+21.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	35,362	92	40%	+36.7
Median household income (ACS)	72,834	52	40%	+20.6
Households (ACS)	16,422	95	20%	+19.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	64.3	87	35%	+30.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.5	86	25%	+21.6
Population (ACS)	35,362	92	20%	+18.4
Median household income (ACS)	72,834	52	20%	+10.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 88 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	43.8	88	50%	+44.2
10-year restaurant growth	64.3	87	30%	+26.1
20-year restaurant growth	130	87	20%	+17.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (45)

By cuisine

American 14 · Coffee 7 · Burgers 6 · Dessert 5 · Asian 3 · BBQ 3 · Mexican 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Chinese 2 · European 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · Japanese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Pizza 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Sushi 2 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Greek 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 25 · Quick service 8 · Bar 6 · Dessert 6 · Café 5 · Casual dining 4 · Bakery 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bbq Time	Food truck		4846 Sun City Center Blvd PMB 268	open
Beef O Bradys Beef 'O' Brady's Fern Creek	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining	American	723 Cypress Village Blvd	open
Bella Cucina Italian Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	1507 Sun City Center Plaza	open
Blissful Sipz	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	970 Cypress Village Blvd	open
Bob Evans Restaurants Bob Evans	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	102 Commercial Center Dr	open
Bone Shaker Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	1011 Cypress Village Blvd	open
BubbaQue's BBQ Bubbaques-BBQ-Crystal River	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	3858 Sun City Center Blvd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	3890 Sun City Center Blvd	open
CC’s Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	945 N Course Ln	open
China Chen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	4880 Sun City Center Blvd	open
China Star	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	3830 Sun City Center Blvd	open
Classy Coffee Cafe	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	3848 Sun City Center Blvd 104 -21	open
Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery	Dessert · Bar	Dessert	3824 Sun City Center Blvd	open
Dunkin Donuts #35215935	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert	Dessert	717 Cypress Pl	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Dessert · Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee	717 Cypress Village Blvd	open
Elite Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	3824 Sun City Center Blvd	open
Fiore's Restaurant Fiore's Restaurant and Bowling	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3808 Sun City Center Blvd	open
Jack's Shack Ice Cream - Sun City Center	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	4864 Sun City Center Blvd	open
Keke's Breakfast Cafe Keke's Breakfast Cafe	Café	Breakfast · Coffee · American	733 Cortaro Dr	open
KnightBites Cafe	Café	Coffee	105 Commercial Center Dr	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	4878 Sun City Center Blvd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	4896 Sun City Center Blvd	open
Old Castle Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	German / Eastern European · European	3830 Sun City Center Blvd Unit 107	open
Palm Court	Bar · Café	American · Coffee		open
PIZZA Haven- NY Style	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Chicken / wings	739 Cortaro Dr	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	712 Cypress Village Blvd Hillsborough	open
Plaza Mexico Sun City	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	724 Cypress Village Blvd	open
Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	3763 Sun City Center Blvd	open
Rally's Checkers and Rally's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Burgers	3824 Sun City Center Blvd	open
Replays Family Sports Grill	Bar · Casual dining	American	1609 Sun City Center Plz	open
Rita’s of Wimauma FL Rita's Italian Ice	Dessert · Bar	Dessert		open
Sage Sushi Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	3808 Sun City Center Blvd	open
Sandpiper Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1702 S Pebble Beach Blvd	open
Sonny's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	724 Cypress Village Blvd	open
Subway Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	3848 Sun City Center Blvd Ste 105	open
Sun City Center Beef O'Brady's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	723 Cypress Village Blvd	open
The Hungry Greek The Hungry Greek	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean · European	3802 Sun City Center Blvd	open
The Local Brew Company	Brewery / taproom · Coffee shop · Bar	Coffee	1050 Cypress Village Blvd	open
The Meltdown	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Burgers	3747 Sun City Center Blvd	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	3726 Sun City Center Blvd #103	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	3725 Sun City Center Blvd	open
White Sand Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom		767 Cortaro Dr	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Healthy / salads / bowls · Hawaiian / Pacific	4854 Sun City Center Blvd	open
Sun City Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	1617 Sun City Center Plz	closed
Sz 1 Subway Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3848 Sun City Center Blvd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	4	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	4	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	6	5	2	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	7	6	3	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	11	10	6	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	11	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	11	9	4	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	13	12	6	5	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	15	14	6	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	17	15	6	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	17	16	7	7	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	15	14	6	7	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	16	15	8	7	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	16	14	8	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	17	16	10	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	15	14	8	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	13	13	8	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	15	15	8	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	18	17	10	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	17	16	8	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	18	16	8	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	20	17	8	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	18	17	8	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	22	18	9	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	24	19	8	9	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	26	23	11	10	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 33573. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
33572	4.0 mi	28	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.