BMIE Market 33620

Hillsborough County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	7,298 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±183 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	34 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±39 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,158 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	132 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	Data source not yet connected
Median age	19.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±0 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	Data source not yet connected
Median home value	Data source not yet connected
Land area	0.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	Not published for this ZIP 2016 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2016 detail (NAICS2012) · by USPS ZIP 33620
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	1.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-50.0% DERIVED: 1996 → 2001, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2001 → 2011, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2016	0 (range 0–2) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 1994–2011 (10 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.38) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	44 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	46 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?
Market Momentum Score	16 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 33620. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 1994–2011, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.38, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 44 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	46.2	46	40%	+18.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63.0	63	35%	+22.1
Market Momentum Score	15.6	16	25%	+3.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 46 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	7,298	66	40%	+44.1
Households (ACS)	34	7	20%	+2.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 63 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+15.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	1.4	100	25%	+31.2
Population (ACS)	7,298	66	20%	+16.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 16 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-50	4	50%	+2.5
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+13.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (18)

By cuisine

Coffee 5 · Sandwiches 3 · Bakery 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · American 1 · Asian 1 · Burgers 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Mexican 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 10 · Coffee shop 3 · Quick service 3 · Bakery 2 · Buffet 2 · Café 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Dessert 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Aramark	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4202 E Fowler Ave	open
Bay Coffee And Tea Company	Coffee shop	Coffee	12402 Usf Myrtle Dr	open
Beef 'O' Brady's	Buffet		4202 E Fowler Ave	open
Ben & Jerry's	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	4202 E Fowler Ave	open
Bento Sushi Bento Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	4103 USF Cedar Cir	open
Burgerfi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	Holly Dr	open
Chick-fil-a Chick-fil-A	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	4202 E Fowler Ave Ctr 152 Ctr 152	open
COBA Cafe (BSN)	Buffet		4202 E Fowler Ave	open
Einstein Bros. Bagels	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Bakery · Coffee	4103 Usf Cedar Cir	open
Jamba USF - Marshall Student Center Jamba	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	4202 E Fowler Ave	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee	4103 Cedar Circle	open
Pollo Tropical	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	12302 Usf Genshaft Dr	open
Smoothie King-Rec Center	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies		open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	4210 Usf Holly Dr	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	4101 USF Apple Dr	open
Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · Mexican	4202 E. Fowler Ave, Marshall Student Ctr Food Cout	open
Subway Subway	Quick service	Sandwiches	4202 E Fowler Avenue, CPR116, University of Southern Florida	open
Einstein Bros. Bagels Einstein Bros. Bagels	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Breakfast · Bakery · Sandwiches	4202 E Fowler Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	2	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	2	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	2	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	2	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	1	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	2	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	3	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	4	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	6	2	—	—	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	7	2	—	—	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	7	2	—	—	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	6	1	—	—	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	6	1	—	—	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	3	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	3	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	3	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	2	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	3	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2012

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 33620. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
33617	2.0 mi	102	2023
33612	2.4 mi	142	2023
33613	2.6 mi	48	2023
33637	3.2 mi	13	2023
33604	4.0 mi	60	2023
33610	4.9 mi	49	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.