BMIE Market 33830

Polk County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	33,740 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,806 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	11,647 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±665 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	27,542 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	10,883 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$63,918 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,342 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,075 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±103 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$228,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,031 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	120.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	45 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 33830
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+28.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+45.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+87.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+73.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	45 (range 39–50) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.9 per year, r² 0.62) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	69 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	68 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	81 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 33830. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.62, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	68.9	69	40%	+27.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	68.0	68	35%	+23.8
Market Momentum Score	80.7	81	25%	+20.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	33,740	91	40%	+36.4
Median household income (ACS)	63,918	37	40%	+14.8
Households (ACS)	11,647	89	20%	+17.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	45.2	79	35%	+27.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.3	59	25%	+14.7
Population (ACS)	33,740	91	20%	+18.2
Median household income (ACS)	63,918	37	20%	+7.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	28.6	83	50%	+41.3
10-year restaurant growth	45.2	79	30%	+23.7
20-year restaurant growth	87.5	79	20%	+15.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (120)

By cuisine

American 30 · Coffee 14 · Bakery 9 · Chicken / wings 9 · Burgers 8 · Mexican 8 · Dessert 7 · Sandwiches 7 · BBQ 6 · Breakfast 5 · Pizza 5 · Seafood 5 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 4 · Healthy / salads / bowls 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Italian 3 · Asian 2 · Caribbean 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Chinese 1 · Cuban 1 · Japanese 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 74 · Quick service 24 · Casual dining 14 · Bar 13 · Bakery 10 · Café 10 · Dessert 10 · Coffee shop 6 · Food truck 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 5 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Fast casual 2 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
487Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		120 Baker Ave	open
Abc Pizza Restaurant Of Bartow	Restaurant (service type not stated)		890 W Main St	open
American Legion Post 3 Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1575 US Highway 17 S	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		7996 State Road 60 E	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1070 E Van Fleet Dr	open
B&G Prestige Jamaican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	1220 N Broadway Ave	open
Banker's Brew Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	120 Polk St E	open
Bartow Bedrock	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Chicken / wings	175 E Main St	open
Bartow Ford Cafe	Café	Coffee · Burgers · Breakfast	2800 US Highway 98 N	open
Bartow Ford Parts	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	Service Parts, 2800-B U.S. 98	open
Beef 'O' Brady's Beef 'O' Brady's Fern Creek	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	120 E Van Fleet Dr	open
Bepas	Bar		935 S Oak Ave	open
Birrieria Loera	Brewery / taproom · Quick service		3312 Old Bartow Eagle Lake Rd	open
Blue Ridge Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	1037 N Broadway Ave	open
Boney Mac's Barbecue, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1480 Martin Luther King Jr Blvd Ste A	open
Breadboard	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1037 N Broadway Ave	open
Brenda's Wings & Things	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	1190 W Polk St	open
Broadway Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	1380 N Broadway Ave	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	109 E Van Fleet Dr	open
Catfish Country Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	2400 EF Griffin Rd	open
Champ 227 Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		280 E Van Fleet Dr	open
Charm City Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · BBQ · American	330 Old Bartow Eagle Lake Rd	open
Charros Taqueria	Food truck	Mexican		open
Checkers	Quick service		1595 N Broadway Ave	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	475 E Van Fleet Dr	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Quick service	Mexican	410 E Van Fleet Dr	open
CJ'S Heavenly Treats	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	296 US HWY 17N	open
Cookie Jar Bakeshop and Eatery	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	305 E Main St	open
County Seat Cafe, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2250 S Floral Ave	open
Craft Smoke House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	1480 Martin Luther King Jr Blvd	open
Crispers	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	1030 N Broadway Ave	open
Culver's Culver's	Quick service			open
Curry Fresh	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1045 Hwy 17	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Burgers · Ice cream / frozen desserts	1795 N Broadway Ave	open
Denny's	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · Coffee · American	1035 N Broadway Ave	open
DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill	Quick service		1795 N Broadway	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	1202 N Broadway Ave	open
El Ranchito Jalisco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	210 E Van Fleet Dr	open
Esencias De Luba	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	315 E Main St	open
Especially 4 U Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	550 E Main St	open
Fika Coffee & Co.	Bakery · Coffee shop	Bakery · Coffee	145 S Central Ave	open
Firehouse Subs Firehouse Subs	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	280 E. Van Fleet Drive	open
Flava Joint LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · BBQ	3466 US-17	open
Fred's Southern Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1380 N Broadway Ave	open
Front Page Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		190 S Florida Ave	open
Good Measure Coffee & Cafe	Coffee shop	Coffee	135 E Main St	open
Got Desserts	Dessert · Food truck · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery		open
Hacienda Mexico	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	195 E Main St	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	300 E Van Fleet Drive	open
Havana Delights Cafe and Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cuban · Latin American (other) · Caribbean	155 E Main St	open
Hong Kong Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	830 N Broadway Ave	open
Hungry Howie's Pizza Hungry Howie's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1405 N Broadway Ave	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	602 N Broadway Ave	open
Jimmy's Famous Seafood Express	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Seafood	2400 Ef Griffin Rd	open
Johnson Barbeque	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ		open
Karpathosenterprizesinc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1380 N Broadway Ave	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1492 N. Broadway Avenue	open
King Ranch Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	2800 US Highway 98 N	open
Krab Kingz Seafood of Bartow	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	750 W Main St	open
Krave Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	1208 N Broadway Ave	open
Krazy Kooters	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1725 US-17	open
Kuppie Kakes	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	1425 N Broadway Ave	open
La Michoacana	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	1264 N Broadway Ave	open
Lennys Grill & Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	485 E Van Fleet Dr	open
Lili's Luvianos Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2995 State Road 60 E	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1262 N Broadway Ave	open
Lj Diner	Casual dining	American	1395 E Main St	open
Long John Silver's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1202 N Broadway Ave	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1775 N Broadway Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1470 N Broadway	open
Mexican doll Paleteria & more	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Mexican	350 E Parker St	open
Mike's Drive-In	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	1055 South Spessard Holland, 1055 US-17	open
Mike's Fine Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1590 N Broadway Ave	open
Moes Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar			open
MrBeast Burger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Sandwiches	150 E Van Fleet Dr	open
Mulligan's Sports Bar and Grill	Bar · Casual dining		190 Idlewood Ave	open
Onpoint Wingz	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	3466 US Highway 17 N	open
Ossie Mae's Sandwich Shop	Other	Sandwiches	1192 Polk St	open
Palace Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	105 E Main St	open
Pappy's Canteen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	4000 US Highway 17 N	open
Patty's Crumbs	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Healthy / salads / bowls · Dessert	435 E Main St	open
Perkins at 150 E Van Fleet Dr Bartow, FL Perkins	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	150 E Van Fleet Dr	open
Perkins Restaurant & Bakery Perkins American Food Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Bakery · American	150 E Van Fleet Dr	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	810 N Broadway Ave Polk	open
Rayne Restaurant Group Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		485 E Van Fleet Dr	open
Ruby Tuesday Ruby Tuesday	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1710 N Broadway Ave	open
Runways at Bartow	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5995 Airport Blvd	open
Shady Oak Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		195 E Main St	open
Silver Ring Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	175 E Main St	open
Smokin Joe's Snack Trap	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	1080 Martin Luther King Jr Blvd	open
Sonny's BBQ Sonny's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	595 N Broadway Ave	open
Stanford Wines	Bar		165 S Central Ave	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	1590 N Broadway Ave	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	850 N Broadway Ave	open
Super Organic Smoothie	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls	1620 N Broadway Ave	open
Sweet Magnolias Cafe And Gift Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)		135 S Central Ave # A	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1060 East Van Fleet Drive	open
Taqueria Moctezuma's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		SR-60	open
The Boba Spot	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	170 S Wilson Ave	open
The Cookie Lady Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	190 S Wilson Ave	open
The Oreo Lady	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		2355 S Tee Cir	open
The Social Plate	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	315 E Main St	open
The Wine Library Bartow	Bar		165 S Central Ave	open
Tom's Chicken Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	901 E Main St	open
Tony's Chicken And Waffles	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1480 Martin Luther King Jr Blvd	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Fast casual · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	1490 N. Broadway Ave.	open
Two Brothers One grill	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	890 W Main St	open
Unfiltered Coffee House	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	160 S Broadway Ave	open
Urban Oak	Casual dining		135 E Main St	open
V'z Fine Dining event venue	Restaurant (service type not stated)		315 E Summerlin St	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	1530 N Broadway Ave	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	1050 E Van Fleet Dr	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1520 N Broadway Ave	open
Wine Stable	Bar		150 S Broadway Ave	open
Wingstop Wingstop	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	304 E Van Fleet Dr	open
Zaxby's Zaxby's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Chicken / wings	590 N Broadway Ave	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	255 E Van Fleet Dr	open
Zest Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	315 E Summerlin St	open
Cool Shoppe	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	135 S Central Ave	closed
Tim's Spot! Coffee & Bagels Llc.	Bakery	Bakery	1790 N Broadway Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	28	26	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	25	23	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	26	24	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	31	30	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	29	28	16	11	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	28	28	16	11	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	23	23	12	10	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	23	21	10	10	1	2	NAICS1997
2002	25	22	8	10	2	2	NAICS1997
2003	27	24	6	12	4	2	NAICS2002
2004	32	27	8	11	5	2	NAICS2002
2005	34	29	10	12	4	2	NAICS2002
2006	34	30	10	13	5	2	NAICS2002
2007	36	32	13	12	5	2	NAICS2002
2008	36	32	13	10	5	1	NAICS2007
2009	37	32	13	10	6	2	NAICS2007
2010	35	31	14	9	5	—	NAICS2007
2011	39	34	16	11	4	—	NAICS2007
2012	33	29	13	12	3	1	NAICS2012
2013	35	31	12	14	4	—	NAICS2012
2014	40	35	15	16	3	—	NAICS2012
2015	37	34	14	15	3	—	NAICS2012
2016	35	32	12	16	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	41	38	12	23	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	39	35	9	22	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	41	37	9	24	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	40	36	10	22	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	39	35	8	23	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	46	41	10	26	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	50	45	14	27	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 33830. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.