BMIE Market 33881

Polk County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	40,808 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,028 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	15,066 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±845 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	29,345 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	15,130 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$57,024 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,970 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,184 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±57 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$194,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±29,825 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	21.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	28 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 33881
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+21.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+7.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+27.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	24 (range 21–28) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.11) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	66 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	58 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 33881. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.11, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	66.3	66	40%	+26.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57.3	57	35%	+20.0
Market Momentum Score	57.5	58	25%	+14.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	40,808	94	40%	+37.7
Median household income (ACS)	57,024	25	40%	+9.9
Households (ACS)	15,066	93	20%	+18.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.9	85	25%	+21.2
Population (ACS)	40,808	94	20%	+18.9
Median household income (ACS)	57,024	25	20%	+4.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	21.7	79	50%	+39.3
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	7.7	38	20%	+7.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (120)

By cuisine

American 17 · Caribbean 16 · Coffee 10 · Latin American (other) 9 · Bakery 8 · Chicken / wings 6 · Dessert 6 · Juice / smoothies 6 · Mexican 6 · Pizza 6 · Breakfast 5 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Seafood 5 · Burgers 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Asian 3 · BBQ 3 · Italian 3 · European 2 · African 1 · Chinese 1 · Cuban 1 · Greek 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vegan 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 74 · Bar 21 · Quick service 15 · Casual dining 11 · Food truck 10 · Bakery 9 · Café 9 · Dessert 9 · Coffee shop 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 6 · Other 2 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
3Brothers Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	223 Avenue T NE	open
4 Lakes Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	990 La Quinta Blvd	open
448 Grab N' Go	Quick service		3250 Lake Alfred Rd	open
448 Grab N’Go	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1693 1st St N	open
Andrea's Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean · European	1498 Havendale Blvd NW	open
ANF Gyros and Grill ANF GYROS AND GRILL	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1050 6th St NW	open
Argos USA	Quick service		1371 42nd St NW	open
Ashanti's Ultimate Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1831 1st St N Ste D	open
Baking Donuts Plus	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	913 6th St NW	open
Bellacino's Pizza and Grinders	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1919 6TH St NW	open
Big Daddy's Barbeque	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	128 Ave T NE	open
Big Tom's Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1151 Havendale Blvd NW	open
Bonappetit Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · European	836 6th St NW	open
Bubu’s Cakes & More	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	548 Lucerne Blvd	open
Bull And Eagle Bbq	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	1250 6th St NW	open
Cabstand	Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	213 Palmetto Ave NE	open
Cafe 92	Casual dining · Coffee shop · Café	American · Coffee	3009 US Highway 92	open
Caribbean Bakery and Cafe	Bakery · Café	Caribbean · Coffee · Bakery	1412 1st St N	open
Caribbean One Stop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	2426 Lucerne Park Rd	open
Carmen's Ice Cream Parlor, Paleteria y Neveria, Helados y Mantecados	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Latin American (other) · Dessert	922 Spring Lake Plaza	open
Carribean Island Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	221 Martin Luther King Blvd NE	open
Checkers Checkers and Rally's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	940 Havendale Blvd NW	open
Chile Verde	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	211 N Lake Silver Dr NW Apt 5	open
Chile Verde Mexican Restaurant Chile Verde	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1925 6TH St NW	open
Church's Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1050 6th St NW	open
Crab Craze	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	842 6th St NW	open
Crazy Bowls Latin Sazon	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Caribbean	3832 Avenue O NW	open
Cuatro Jibaros Food Truck	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	108 Buckeye Loop Rd	open
Cuban Express	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea · Food truck	Juice / smoothies	3400 Havendale Blvd	open
Cuppa Eden	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	1506 34th St NW	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1702 Havendale Blvd NW	open
Dino's Drive In	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	2929 Havendale Blvd NW	open
Divine Caribbean Flavor Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	1846 1st St N	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	1200 Havendale Blvd	open
DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill	Quick service		1702 Havendale Blvd NW	open
El Colao	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Food truck	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	2010 8th St NW	open
El Patron Sport& Bar	Bar		1444 42nd St NW	open
El pilón loko	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Latin American (other)	Eagle ridge mall	open
El Pilón Loko Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	1762 1st St N	open
Fantasy Island Resturant & Bar	Bar	Caribbean	221 M.L.K. Blvd NE	open
Flama Tropical Restaurant & Food Trailers	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Latin American (other) · Juice / smoothies	1762 1st St N	open
Flightline Cafe & Catering	Café · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering	Coffee	2073 US-92 West	open
Fluffy's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	1174 Havendale Blvd NW	open
Fries Station	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1915 34th St NW	open
Furr's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2020 8th St NW	open
Glam Bar	Bar		2169 Rose Blvd	open
Golden Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1366 6th St NW	open
Gourmet Goodies Bake Shop	Bakery	Bakery	68 4th St NW	open
Gwennies Jamaican JERK Chicken	Food truck	Caribbean · Chicken / wings	1009 Carefree Cove Dr	open
Hannwell Marketing Group Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		324 Avenue A NW	open
Haven863	Coffee shop · Café · Bar	Coffee	1995 Havendale Blvd NW	open
Havendale Nutrition formerly Honey Bee	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Tea / bubble tea	2050 Havendale Blvd NW	open
Hookah Café	Bar		1078 Havendale Blvd NW	open
Hungry Howie's Hungry Howie's	Quick service	Pizza · Sandwiches	1144 6th St. NW	open
Innerg Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegan	3500 Lake Alfred Rd	open
Jazzy's Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	3009 US Highway 92 Ste 6	open
June Rose Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1690 Havendale Blvd NW	open
KFC - Kentucky Fried Chicken KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	3105 Havendale Blvd NW	open
Kimber's Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	6000 FL-544	open
Kokomo's Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Breakfast	322 4th St NW	open
Krunchy Krab II	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1846 1st St N	open
Kulture on 1st	Casual dining · Bar		1780 1st St N	open
Lad's Soup Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2101 2nd St NE	open
Lola's Xstreem Ice Kreme	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1654 1st St N	open
Louise's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · Breakfast · American	1654 1st St N	open
LoveBird Almost Famous Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	199 6th St NW	open
Manjar Criollo Fl Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Caribbean	2049 Havendale Blvd NW	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	504 Ave D NW	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service		4321 Dundee Rd	open
Miami Style Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2100 1st St N	open
Midway Lounge	Bar		2050 US Highway 92	open
Mikes place	Bar		1442 42nd St NW	open
Miracle Blessing restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Caribbean	221 Avenue T NE	open
Mother's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1506 34th St NW	open
Mr. Chillz Philly Water Ice	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1770 1st St N	open
Olga's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Cajun, Creole, Southern	1846 1st St N	open
OTC	Bar		1560 Havendale Blvd NW	open
Oyster Bar Winter Haven	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Seafood	362 3rd St NW	open
Pal’ Carrito PR	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Latin American (other)	1444 42nd St NW	open
Pappy's Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls · Breakfast	2073 Us Highway 92	open
Parada Jibara Fl	Food truck	Latin American (other)	2049 Havendale Blvd NW	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	997 Havendale Blvd NW	open
ReBar	Bar		1142 42nd St NW	open
Richard's Fine Coffees	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · American	330 Avenue A NW	open
Rockin' Ricks Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Mexican	3479 Havendale Blvd NW	open
Royal Asian Fusion	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	1142 6th St NW	open
Royal Breakfast Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · American	913 6th St NW	open
Sage Cocktail Lounge	Bar		99 3rd St NW	open
Sarah's Baking Again	Bakery	Bakery		open
Savage Tacos	Food truck		1508 42nd St NW	open
Scores Family Sports Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		58 4th St NW	open
Silou Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · African	409 M.L.K. Blvd NE	open
Simply Bahamian Food	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Caribbean · American	2340 US Hwy 17 Motor Pool Rd	open
Slit throat promo	Restaurant (service type not stated)		906 Spring Lake Sq NW	open
Soup'R Cubans	Other	Sandwiches · Latin American (other) · Cuban	1502 42nd St NW	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	1200 Havendale Blvd NW	open
Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	200 Avenue F NE, 1st Foor	open
Sunny's Lakeside	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Burgers · American	1 Marina Dr	open
Super Lucha Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2049 Havendale Blvd NW	open
Sweet-D's Kitchen at W.H. Moose Lodge	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	American · Coffee	2305 Havendale Blvd NW	open
Taco California	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	854 6th St NW	open
Tacos Maria	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Mexican	2049havendale blvd nw 21 st winter haven fl	open
Tapola's Italian Ice	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · American		open
Tempo 1930	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	58 4th St NW	open
The Black Spatula Llc	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1650 1st St N	open
The Donut Man	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	1290 6th St NW	open
The Great Fish Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	700 6th St NW	open
The Jerk Hut Caraibe & Bakery Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1412 1st St N	open
The Social Cocktail Lounge	Bar		356 3rd St NW	open
Tipsy Hen Wings & Beer	Bar · Casual dining		324 Avenue A NW	open
Tropical Fusion Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1 Century Dr	open
Upper Crust Pizza - Winter Haven	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	362 3rd St NW	open
Victor & Mika's Bakery	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery · Vegetarian	371 3rd St NW	open
Victor & Mika's Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	3106 Havendale Blvd NW	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	900 6th Street Nw	open
Winter Haven Food Tours	Bar		220 Avenue A NW	open
Woody's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	1088 Havendale Blvd NW	open
Yes Sir Taco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1123 6th St NW	open
ZanyBar Lash Lounge	Bar		2888 Havendale Blvd NW	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	1395 6th St NW	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	25	22	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	24	20	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	23	18	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1997	33	29	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	36	27	19	6	2	4	NAICS1997
1999	38	28	21	6	1	4	NAICS1997
2000	36	25	16	9	—	5	NAICS1997
2001	36	25	17	8	—	5	NAICS1997
2002	33	27	16	10	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	34	26	13	13	—	4	NAICS2002
2004	38	30	18	11	—	3	NAICS2002
2005	34	27	14	12	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	35	29	17	9	2	1	NAICS2002
2007	39	33	20	10	3	1	NAICS2002
2008	38	30	18	8	4	3	NAICS2007
2009	30	24	11	9	4	3	NAICS2007
2010	32	25	14	8	3	3	NAICS2007
2011	29	24	13	8	3	2	NAICS2007
2012	33	29	15	11	3	3	NAICS2012
2013	32	28	15	10	3	3	NAICS2012
2014	29	27	13	11	3	1	NAICS2012
2015	31	28	13	10	5	2	NAICS2012
2016	30	29	13	11	5	1	NAICS2012
2017	29	26	12	11	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	25	23	10	10	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	28	26	13	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	30	28	12	13	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	29	26	10	13	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	30	24	10	10	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	35	28	11	12	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 33881. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
33851	4.7 mi	1	2010
33884	4.9 mi	28	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.