BMIE Market 33897
Polk County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 30,159 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,265 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 10,819 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±762 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 14,117 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 11,399 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $70,982 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,749 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 38.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,896 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±167 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $307,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,922 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 41.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 31 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 33897 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 9.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +63.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +121.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +933.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +3,000.0% DERIVED: 2000 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 36 (range 31–41) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.7 per year, r² 0.85) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 80 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 72 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 78 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 95 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 33897. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.85, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 80 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 72.4 | 72 | 40% | +29.0 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 78.4 | 78 | 35% | +27.5 |
| Market Momentum Score | 94.6 | 95 | 25% | +23.7 |
Consumer Market Score: 72 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 30,159 | 89 | 40% | +35.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 70,982 | 49 | 40% | +19.4 |
| Households (ACS) | 10,819 | 87 | 20% | +17.4 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 78 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 121.4 | 95 | 35% | +33.2 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 10.3 | 71 | 25% | +17.8 |
| Population (ACS) | 30,159 | 89 | 20% | +17.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 70,982 | 49 | 20% | +9.7 |
Market Momentum Score: 95 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 63.2 | 93 | 50% | +46.3 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 121.4 | 95 | 30% | +28.4 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 933.3 | 99 | 20% | +19.9 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (75)
By cuisine
American 10 · Asian 9 · Coffee 9 · Burgers 8 · Italian 6 · Pizza 6 · Sandwiches 5 · Bakery 4 · British / Irish pub food 4 · Dessert 4 · Japanese 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Sushi 4 · Chicken / wings 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Mexican 3 · Thai 3 · Breakfast 2 · Caribbean 2 · Chinese 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Brazilian 1 · European 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 39 · Bar 15 · Quick service 11 · Café 8 · Coffee shop 7 · Casual dining 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 6 · Bakery 4 · Dessert 4 · Food truck 4 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1845 Tap House | Bar | 45721 US-27 | open | |
| 7 Brew Coffee | Coffee shop | Coffee | 701 Champions Dr | open |
| Acai Express and Creamery | Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Dessert | 2402 Sand Mine Rd | open |
| ACAI ISLAND BREEZE Davenport | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Healthy / salads / bowls · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 44009 US Hwy No. 27 | open |
| Adler's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 113 Ambersweet Way | open |
| Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar | Casual dining · Bar | American | 200 Ambersweet Way | open |
| Bamboo Wok | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 2432 Sand Mine Rd | open |
| Beef 'O' Brady's | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · Sandwiches | 45653 Highway 27 | open |
| Bella Villa | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 141 Bloomingdale Dr | open |
| Best Of British Pub | Restaurant (service type not stated) | British / Irish pub food | 150 California Blvd | open |
| Bloom & Bake sourdough.Co | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | Champions Vue Loop | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 44149 US-27 | open |
| Carne En Vara El Saman | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 44009 US-27 | open |
| Chick-fil-A | Quick service | 1201 Champions Dr | open | |
| Chinese To Go | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 45689 Highway 27 | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 49539 HWY 27 | open |
| CoinFlip Bitcoin ATM - Vaperior Ecigs & Cafe Kratom (Davenport) | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 2406 Sand Mine Rd | open |
| Diromio's Pizza and Grill | Casual dining · Bar | Italian · Pizza | 101 Divine Dr #2 | open |
| Drinking Bar Restaurant | Casual dining · Bar | 150 California Blvd | open | |
| Dutch Bros Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 49782 US-27 | open |
| Flames Pit N Grill | Food truck | 44039 Hwy 27 | open | |
| Frankie Farrell's Pub & Grill | Bar · Casual dining | British / Irish pub food | 2700 Sand Mine Rd | open |
| Fritilandia | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | Latin American (other) | 44039 US Highway 27 N | open |
| Hidden Cave Lounge & Bar | Bar | 44199 US-27 | open | |
| IHOP IHOP | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Breakfast | 100 Ambersweet Wy | open |
| Jacks Dutch Bros. Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 49782 Hwy 27 | open |
| Jersey Mike's Subs Jersey Mike's Subs | Quick service · Other · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 49591 Highway 27 | open |
| Kumo Japanese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 207 Ambersweet Way | open |
| Laredo Taco Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 49599 US Hwy 27 | open |
| Laughing Buddha Hot Pot and Thai Tonic Bar | Bar | Thai · Asian | 113 Wexham Ct | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 120 Kersey St | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 45737 US-27 | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 44400 Highway 27 | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 49561 US-27 | open |
| McDonald's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 49561 US Highway 27 N | open |
| McNeely's 19th Hole Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | American | 102 Polo Park East Blvd | open |
| Mia Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 2440 Sand Mine Rd | open |
| Mimosa Delicatessen Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) · Brazilian | 142 California Blvd | open |
| Mya's Sazon Latino | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 142 California Blvd | open | |
| Nagoyadavenport | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 1100 Champions Dr | open |
| Paddywagon Irish Pub Paddywagon Dunedin | Bar | British / Irish pub food | 201 Ambersweet Way | open |
| Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza | Delivery-focused · Quick service | Pizza | 1150 Champions Dr | open |
| Pardon My Cheesesteak | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 100 Ambersweet Way | open | |
| Piccolina Trattoria | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 45731 Highway 27 | open |
| Pie of the Beholder | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 261 Woodlark Dr | open |
| Pistacho's Bakery And Cake Llc | Bakery | Bakery | 150 California Blvd | open |
| Pizzano's Pizza & Grinderz | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian | 126 California Blvd | open |
| Puerto Rico Italian Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Italian | 44009 US-27 | open |
| Rincon De Bianca Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 142 California Blvd | open | |
| Scooter's Coffee Scooter's Coffee | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 49533 US-27 | open |
| Señor Café & Family Group | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 44009 US Hwy 27 | open |
| Shafilo | Food truck | 153 Jocelyn Dr | open | |
| Slim Chickens Slim Chickens | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · Sandwiches · American | 1229 Finley Ave | open |
| Solana Resort Clubhouse & Tiki Bar | Bar | 300 Solana Cir | open | |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 1217 Finley Ave | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 49591 US-27 | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 45489 US Hwy 27 North | open |
| Sunday's Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | British / Irish pub food · European | 2414 Sand Mine Rd | open |
| Sunshine Nutrition | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 118 California Blvd | open |
| Tacoteca Davenport | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 44009 US-27 | open |
| Taj Indian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 103 Ambersweet Way | open |
| Thai Sweet Rice Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 101 Ambersweet Way | open |
| Thailicious27 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 101 Ambersweet Way | open |
| The Wheel House Bar And Pub | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 217 Cinnamon Ridge Ln | open | |
| The Wheelhouse Bar 19th Hole | Bar | 102 Polo Park East Blvd | open | |
| Tradewinds Restaurant And Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Caribbean | 400 Gran Bahama Blvd | open |
| True Taste Fried Chicken & Bubble Tea | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea · Chicken / wings · Asian | 2430 Sand Mine Rd | open |
| Twistee Treat Sand Mine Twistee Treat USA | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 49595 US-27 | open |
| Vibes Bar & Hookah Lounge | Bar | 44294 US-27 | open | |
| Waffle House Waffle House | Casual dining | Breakfast · American | 44209 US-27 | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 44304 Highway 27 | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 49503 US-27 Parcel C | open |
| Wingstop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 130 Kersey St | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 2424 Sand Mine Rd | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 1200 Champions Dr | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 7 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 16 | 16 | 9 | 7 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 5 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 15 | 15 | 9 | 5 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 15 | 14 | 10 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 17 | 16 | 11 | 5 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 20 | 19 | 11 | 7 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 21 | 20 | 11 | 8 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 22 | 20 | 10 | 9 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 25 | 23 | 12 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 32 | 29 | 12 | 16 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 33 | 31 | 13 | 16 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
Nearby markets (within 5 miles)
None within 5 miles.