BMIE Market 33914

Lee County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	45,540 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,099 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	18,249 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±854 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	35,848 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	19,008 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$83,503 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,411 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	54.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,867 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±125 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$447,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,056 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	22.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	52 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 33914
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+48.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+160.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+766.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	61 (range 55–68) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +2.2 per year, r² 0.84) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	85 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	84 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	81 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	90 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 33914. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +2.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.84, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 85 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	84.2	84	40%	+33.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	81.3	81	35%	+28.5
Market Momentum Score	89.9	90	25%	+22.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 84 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	45,540	96	40%	+38.3
Median household income (ACS)	83,503	66	40%	+26.5
Households (ACS)	18,249	96	20%	+19.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	35%	+32.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.4	67	25%	+16.7
Population (ACS)	45,540	96	20%	+19.2
Median household income (ACS)	83,503	66	20%	+13.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 90 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	48.6	89	50%	+44.4
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	30%	+27.6
20-year restaurant growth	160	90	20%	+17.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (99)

By cuisine

American 23 · Pizza 17 · Burgers 9 · Coffee 8 · Italian 8 · Bakery 7 · Dessert 7 · Asian 6 · Japanese 5 · Seafood 5 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Sushi 4 · Chinese 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Breakfast 2 · German / Eastern European 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · BBQ 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Cuban 1 · European 1 · Filipino 1 · Greek 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Mexican 1 · Peruvian 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 60 · Quick service 17 · Bar 13 · Casual dining 12 · Dessert 10 · Bakery 8 · Café 7 · Juice, smoothie, tea 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Delivery-focused 2 · Catering 1 · Fast casual 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
3 Pepper Burrito Co 3 Pepper Burrito Co	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · Latin American (other)	2522 Santa Barbara Blvd #308	open
A Pizza Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2612 Santa Barbara Blvd	open
Amore Italian Market and Bakery	Bakery	Italian · Bakery	4703 SW 16th Pl	open
Art Café	Café	Coffee	3816 Chiquita Blvd S	open
Bahia Bowls Cape Coral Bahia Bowls Acai Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	2522 Santa Barbara Blvd #302	open
Beef 'O' Brady's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2514 Santa Barbara Blvd	open
Big 10 Tavern	Casual dining · Bar	American	4703 SW 16th Pl	open
Bite Me Ent	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs · American	2605 Skyline Blvd	open
Buck's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3812 Skyline Blvd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	2621 Santa Barbara Blvd S	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	1704 Cape Coral Parkway	open
Cape Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1715 Cape Coral Pkwy W	open
Cape Harbour Oyster Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · American	5785 Cape Harbour Dr #102	open
Captain Hook's Best Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Thai · Sushi · Japanese	2612 Santa Barbara Blvd S Ste 12-13	open
Casa Del Lindsey Cape	Bar		3006 SW 4th Pl	open
Ceno Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Italian · Greek	1715 Cape Coral Pkwy W	open
Chef J Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2612 Santa Barbara Blvd	open
Chicago Beef & Dogs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3812 Skyline Blvd	open
China Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	2522 Santa Barbara Blvd #306	open
China Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	1616 Cape Coral Pkwy W	open
Crust Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4703 SW 16th Pl	open
Cubay Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cuban	3032 Santa Barbara Blvd	open
Culver's Culver's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2526 Skyline Blvd	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Burgers · Ice cream / frozen desserts	2525 Skyline Blvd	open
Dave's neapolitan pizzeria	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3306 Skyline Blvd	open
Dockside Juicery	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	5793 Cape Harbour Dr	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	3904 Skyline Blvd	open
Don Anthony Pizza And More	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3812 Skyline Blvd	open
Duffy's Sports Grill Duffy's Sports Grill	Bar · Casual dining	American	627 Cape Coral Pkwy W	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	1715 Cape Coral Pkwy W	open
First Watch First Watch	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · American	2514 Santa Barbara Boulevard	open
Five Guys Five Guys	Quick service	Burgers · American	2612 Santa Barbara Blvd	open
Gather	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	5971 Silver King Blvd	open
Gino's Pizza Cape Coral	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3108 Santa Barbara Blvd S APT 109	open
Gulf Coast Fudge Co Gulf Coast Fudge Co	Dessert	Dessert	5971 Silver King Blvd	open
Gulf Coast Fudge Co. Tarpon Point Marina	Dessert	Dessert	5801 Silver King Blvd	open
Gulyas-Factory	Restaurant (service type not stated)	German / Eastern European · European	3816 Chiquita Blvd S	open
Hi Tea HiTea	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	1715 Cape Coral Pkwy W	open
High Tide Social House	Casual dining · Bar	American	6095 Silver King Blvd	open
Hoffman Group Holdings Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5785 Cape Harbour Dr Ste 106	open
Houlihan's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	627 Cape Coral Pkwy W	open
J&P Asian Fusion	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	1715 Cape Coral Pkwy W	open
Jet's Pizza Jet's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	821 Cape Coral Pkwy W Ste 1	open
Kampawasi tu casa	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Peruvian · Latin American (other)	2717 Santa Barbara Blvd S	open
key lime bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service			open
Kumo Japanese Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	2517 Santa Barbara Blvd Ste 12	open
Lady Cakes	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	3227 SW 11th Ct	open
Latinos Point Market & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop	Latin American (other)	2708 Santa Barbara Blvd	open
Lelulo's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3123 Chiquita Blvd S	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1715 Cape Coral Pkwy W	open
Lobster Lady Seafood Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1715 Cape Coral Pkwy W	open
Long Island New York Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3812 Skyline Blvd	open
Luis Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	2708 Santa Barbara Blvd Ste 101-102	open
LuLu's garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	3812 Skyline Blvd Ste B	open
Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2717 Santa Barbara Blvd., Ste 120	open
Marker 92	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		5902 Silver King Blvd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	2404 Santa Barbara Blvd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1604 W Cape Coral Pky	open
Miceli's Pizzeria Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Filipino · Pizza	2720 SW 36th Ln	open
Moe's Bleacher Bums Bar&Cubs Fan Club	Bar		425 SW 45th St	open
Mother Theresa's Italian Soups and Catering	Catering · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	4008 SW 2nd Ave	open
Next Door	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · American	5971 Silver King Blvd #114	open
NEXUS BAR & LOUNGE	Bar		2517 Santa Barbara Blvd S	open
Nothing Bundt Cakes Nothing Bundt Cakes	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	2708 Santa Barbara Blvd Unit 150	open
Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	1616 w cape coral parkway	open
pepirock	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3026 SW 15th Pl	open
Pignoli on the Harbour	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast	5785 Cape Harbour Dr Ste 101	open
Pinchers Crab Shack Pinchers - Tin City Naples, FL	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	5991 Silver King Blvd	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	821 Cape Coral Pkwy W Apt 1	open
Prime 239 Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	1715 Cape Coral Pkwy W	open
Rib City	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ		open
Rosie's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2612 Santa Barbara Blvd	open
Ruby Tuesday	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	2514 Santa Barbara Blvd	open
Rumrunners Rum Runners - Sandestin, FL	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		5848 Cape Harbour Dr	open
Runagrounds Cape Harbour	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts		open
Schwabenbrunch	Bakery	Bakery	1715 Cape Coral Pkwy W Ste 26	open
Squeezers of Cape Coral	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1234 Cape Coral Pkwy W	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	2390 Surfside Blvd	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	2430 Santa Barbara Blvd S	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2522 Santa Barbara Blvd Store #5	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1616 W Cape Coral Pky #112	open
The French Press	Café · Dessert · Coffee shop	Coffee · Dessert	5789 Cape Harbour Dr #101	open
The Joint	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Seafood · American	5785 Cape Harbour Dr	open
The Loft at OT	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza	1708 Cape Coral Pkwy W	open
The Nauti Mermaid Dockside Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American · Seafood	5951 Silver King Blvd	open
The Omelet Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	4703 SW 16th Pl	open
The Zone Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	2612 Santa Barbara Blvd S	open
Truly Tropical Subs, Salads, Wraps. & Ices	Fast casual · Dessert	Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	821 Cape Coral Pkwy W	open
Villa Florence	Restaurant (service type not stated)	German / Eastern European	3926 SW 1st Ave	open
Voho Restaurant Group Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5971 Silver King Blvd Apt 116	open
Volare Pizzeria & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2612 Santa Barbara Blvd	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	3920 Skyline Blvd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2523 Skyline Blvd.	open
Wingstop Wingstop	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	2505 Santa Barbara Blvd	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	2420 Santa Barbara Blvd	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	1616 Cape Coral Pkwy W #5	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	127 Cape Coral Pkwy W	open
Dublin Ale House Pub	Bar	British / Irish pub food	1708 Cape Coral Pkwy W	closed
The Daily Grind Coffee Emporium	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2612 Santa Barbara Blvd Ste 13	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	14	14	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	11	10	3	5	2	—	NAICS1997
1999	13	12	3	6	3	—	NAICS1997
2000	10	9	3	4	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	7	6	1	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	14	12	5	6	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	21	20	8	12	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	20	19	8	11	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	18	17	8	9	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	20	19	10	8	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	23	22	10	10	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	22	22	9	12	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	25	24	10	13	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	24	22	8	14	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	25	22	8	14	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	27	24	12	11	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	28	26	12	13	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	33	31	16	14	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	41	38	19	17	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	39	37	19	15	3	—	NAICS2012
2017	37	34	17	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	38	35	19	11	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	39	38	19	14	5	—	NAICS2017
2020	41	40	21	15	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	49	45	20	19	6	—	NAICS2017
2022	53	50	26	17	7	—	NAICS2022
2023	54	52	26	19	7	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 33914. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
33908	4.4 mi	85	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.