BMIE Market 33917

Lee County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	33,380 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,746 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	15,056 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±927 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	28,666 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	17,576 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$55,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,228 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	59.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,360 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±129 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$198,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23,045 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	65.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 33917
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	1.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+18.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+225.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+30.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+116.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	19 (range 16–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.9 per year, r² 0.85) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	73 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	81 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	78 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 33917. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.85, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	63.7	64	40%	+25.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	80.9	81	35%	+28.3
Market Momentum Score	78.0	78	25%	+19.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	33,380	91	40%	+36.3
Median household income (ACS)	55,000	22	40%	+8.7
Households (ACS)	15,056	93	20%	+18.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	225	99	35%	+34.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	3.9	95	25%	+23.8
Population (ACS)	33,380	91	20%	+18.2
Median household income (ACS)	55,000	22	20%	+4.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	18.2	76	50%	+38.0
10-year restaurant growth	225	99	30%	+29.6
20-year restaurant growth	30	52	20%	+10.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (37)

By cuisine

American 10 · Pizza 6 · Burgers 4 · Sandwiches 3 · Asian 2 · Bakery 2 · BBQ 2 · Italian 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chinese 1 · Coffee 1 · Cuban 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Mexican 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 22 · Quick service 7 · Bar 6 · Casual dining 4 · Bakery 2 · Delivery-focused 2 · Café 1 · Catering 1 · Dessert 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Antojitos de Colombia	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	223 Gazelle Dr	open
Bayshore Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6331 Bayshore Rd	open
Blossom & Brie	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	8250 Nalle Grade Rd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	4011 Del Prado Blvd N	open
Capones Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4529 Bayshore Rd	open
China King Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	6704 Bayshore Rd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	4800 Bayline Dr	open
Eagles Nest At Herons Glen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	2250 Herons Glen Blvd	open
Elite Lounge	Bar		5781 Bayshore Rd Ste 111-112	open
Entrees Catering LLC.	Catering · Delivery-focused	Caribbean	4529 Bayshore Rd	open
Farmer Jack Market	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Burgers · American	2249 Laurel Ln	open
Fatto A Mano	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	6351 Bayshore Rd Unit 44	open
Hacienda Jalisco	Restaurant (service type not stated)		N Fort	open
Herons Glen Recreation District	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Hogbodys Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American · BBQ	10440 Bayshore Rd	open
HOME bake shop	Bakery	Bakery	4255 Villa Rapallo Wy	open
Hooked up BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1827 Magnolia Dr	open
Horsin Around Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	10440 Bayshore Rd Ste 1	open
Hungarian Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4529 Bayshore Rd	open
Island Vibes Kava - North Fort Myers Island Vibes Kava Bar	Bar		5781 Bayshore Rd	open
Lady Leaf & 3P Lounge	Bar		5780 Bayshore Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	6431 Bayshore Rd N	open
Morrone's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	5660 Bayshore Rd	open
Paraiso Tropical	Food truck	Latin American (other) · Mexican	15890 Hart Rd	open
Roxanne's Tea Room and Garden	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	17760 Nalle Rd	open
Sandtrap Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	3400 Clubview Dr	open
Sheer Pizza Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4800 Bayline Dr	open
Steve's Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	5781 Bayshore Rd Ste 01	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	5660 Bayshore Blvd Suite # 48 & 51	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	17308 Park 78 Dr	open
The Fat Apple	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6704 Bayshore Rd	open
The Pizza Cutter	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5660 Bayshore Rd Ste 30	open
The Sode's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cuban	5660 Bayshore Rd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	17308 Park 78 Dr	open
Wonderland Cookie Dough & Ice Cream	Dessert · Bakery	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Bakery	5781 Bayshore Rd	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	6700 Bayshore Rd	open
Marker 34	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	6270 River Club Ct	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	6	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	7	7	2	5	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	4	4	1	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	8	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	4	4	1	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	10	10	3	7	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	9	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	7	7	1	5	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	10	9	3	6	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	7	6	1	5	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	6	5	1	4	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	7	4	1	3	—	2	NAICS2007
2010	9	5	2	3	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	10	6	3	3	—	2	NAICS2007
2012	8	5	2	3	—	2	NAICS2012
2013	6	4	2	2	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	8	6	2	4	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	10	8	2	6	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	12	8	1	7	—	2	NAICS2012
2017	14	11	3	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	15	11	3	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	15	11	3	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	14	11	3	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	14	11	3	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	18	15	6	9	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	15	13	3	9	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 33917. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.