BMIE Market 33922

Lee County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	4,226 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±527 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,748 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±172 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	4,055 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,823 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$71,164 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,900 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	56.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,217 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±124 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$355,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±44,682 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	20.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	4 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 33922
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-33.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-33.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+33.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	4 (range 2–7) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	52 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	54 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	28 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 33922. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	54.4	54	40%	+21.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	65.6	66	35%	+23.0
Market Momentum Score	28.0	28	25%	+7.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	4,226	58	40%	+23.1
Median household income (ACS)	71,164	49	40%	+19.5
Households (ACS)	1,748	59	20%	+11.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	33.3	73	35%	+25.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	9.5	74	25%	+18.6
Population (ACS)	4,226	58	20%	+11.5
Median household income (ACS)	71,164	49	20%	+9.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 28 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-33.3	8	50%	+4.1
10-year restaurant growth	33.3	73	30%	+22.0
20-year restaurant growth	-33.3	9	20%	+1.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (22)

By cuisine

American 5 · Seafood 4 · Coffee 3 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 14 · Casual dining 4 · Bakery 3 · Bar 3 · Dessert 3 · Café 2 · Other 2 · Coffee shop 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Cabbage Key	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1 Cabbage Ky	open
Capt'n Con's Fish House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	8421 Main St	open
CrocusKek	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	12570 Aubrey Ln	open
El Pollo Rico	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	5508 Avenue A	open
Hurricane Hideout Island Sports Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	10880 Stringfellow Rd	open
Lazy Flamingo 3 Lazy Flamingo 2	Casual dining · Bar	American	Stringfellow Rd	open
Little Bokeelia Island	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Little Lillys	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Coffee · Sandwiches	10700 Stringfellow Rd	open
Pine Island Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	5465 Pine Island Rd NW	open
Ray's Island Bakery	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee	10731 Stringfellow Rd	open
Raymary Street Chimi LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other	American · Breakfast	7573 Raymary St # A	open
Salty Girl's Island Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	10700 Stringfellow Rd #20	open
Salty Girls Island Café	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	10700 Stringsfellow Rd Suite 20	open
Savage Skillet SWFL	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5110 Pine Island Rd NW	open
Spots Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	10700 Stringfellow Rd	open
Street Eatz & Ale	Bar · Casual dining		5508 Avenue A	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	10502 Stringfellow Rd	open
Tacos El Viejon	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	5476 Avenue A	open
The Eagle's Nest Restaurant	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · Steakhouse	10880 Stringfellow Rd	open
The Island Girl	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		13921 Waterfront Dr	open
The Nauti Baker	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	10530 Stringfellow Rd Ste 7	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	5100 Pine Island Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	4	4	3	—	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	5	5	4	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	6	6	5	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	7	7	6	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	5	5	4	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	3	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	3	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	3	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	6	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	6	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	5	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	5	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	5	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	4	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	4	4	3	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 33922. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.