BMIE Market 33967

Lee County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	28,341 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,740 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	10,314 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±551 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	22,799 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,923 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$90,519 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,243 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,771 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±86 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$364,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,515 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	7.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 33967
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	0.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+140.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+300.0% DERIVED: 2006 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	12 (range 8–15) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.39) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	88 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	82 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	89 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	96 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 33967. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.39, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 88 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	81.7	82	40%	+32.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	89.1	89	35%	+31.2
Market Momentum Score	95.7	96	25%	+23.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	28,341	88	40%	+35.1
Median household income (ACS)	90,519	74	40%	+29.4
Households (ACS)	10,314	86	20%	+17.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 89 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	140	95	35%	+33.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	4.2	94	25%	+23.6
Population (ACS)	28,341	88	20%	+17.5
Median household income (ACS)	90,519	74	20%	+14.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 96 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	100	96	50%	+60.0
10-year restaurant growth	140	95	30%	+35.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (20)

By cuisine

Coffee 4 · Mexican 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Bakery 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · American 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Italian 1 · Pizza 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 11 · Café 4 · Dessert 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Bakery 2 · Bar 2 · Casual dining 2 · Food truck 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
City Coffee	Coffee shop · Brewery / taproom · Café · Bar	Coffee	7887 Drew Cir	open
Crumbs on the Corner	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	19060 Murcott Dr W	open
Delicias Latina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Mexican	7460 San Carlos Blvd	open
Dos Sabores	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	18731 Three Oaks Pkwy #7	open
El Mercado De San Carlos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	17597 Rockefeller Cir	open
Foxtail Coffee - Estero Plaza Foxtail Coffee Pompano Beach	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	9985 Estero Oaks Dr #1	open
Irma's Bar	Casual dining · Bar		Pineapple Rd	open
Leonis Pizzeria Leoni's Pizzeria - Naples Park	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	7460 San Carlos Blvd	open
Lucy's Snow & Coffee	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Mexican · Latin American (other)	7460 san carlos blvd, Suit C	open
San Carlos Scoops	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	18731 3 Oaks Pkwy	open
Seaside Bar And Grill, Bonita Llc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		17001 Alico Commerce Ct Ste 401	open
Southern Accents	Restaurant (service type not stated)		17547 Rockefeller Cir	open
Tacos239	Restaurant (service type not stated)		17597 Rockefeller Cir	open
The Facility Studios	Restaurant (service type not stated)		17010 Alico Commerce Ct Ste 201	open
The Food Truck Park at Three Oaks	Food truck · Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	18731 Three Oaks Pkwy	open
Tipsy Udder - Handcrafted Ice Cream - Estero / Fort. Myers	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies · American	18731 Three Oaks Pkwy	open
Two Boys And a Baker Sweet Shop	Bakery	Bakery		open
Un Poko Loko Snacks	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	17597 Rockefeller Cir	open
Yums Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	18731 3 Oaks Pkwy Ste 9	open
粉もん屋　八　河内磐船駅前店	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		森南１丁目	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
2006	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	2	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	3	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	4	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	6	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	8	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	11	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	13	7	5	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	16	9	5	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	15	9	6	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	12	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	13	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	16	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	19	11	5	4	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	20	12	4	5	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 33967. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
33965	3.0 mi	—
33912	4.5 mi	80	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.