BMIE Market 33982

Charlotte County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	13,006 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,169 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,530 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±490 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,176 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,177 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$72,443 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,797 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	53.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,197 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±164 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$314,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±37,057 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	407.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	9 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 33982
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	4.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+28.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+80.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+125.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+80.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	11 (range 9–13) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.53) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	77 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	85 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 33982. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.53, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	65.3	65	40%	+26.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	77.4	77	35%	+27.1
Market Momentum Score	85.4	85	25%	+21.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	13,006	75	40%	+29.8
Median household income (ACS)	72,443	51	40%	+20.3
Households (ACS)	5,530	76	20%	+15.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	80	89	35%	+31.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.9	85	25%	+21.2
Population (ACS)	13,006	75	20%	+14.9
Median household income (ACS)	72,443	51	20%	+10.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 85 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	28.6	83	50%	+41.3
10-year restaurant growth	80	89	30%	+26.7
20-year restaurant growth	125	87	20%	+17.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (37)

By cuisine

Coffee 6 · Bakery 4 · American 3 · Asian 3 · Dessert 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Chinese 2 · Italian 2 · Pizza 2 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Mexican 1 · Seafood 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 16 · Bar 9 · Quick service 6 · Bakery 5 · Café 5 · Casual dining 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Dessert 4 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Babcock Ranch Table and Tap	Casual dining · Bar		42850 Crescent Loop	open
Carvel Ice Cream Carvel Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	42050 Cypress Pkwy, Babcock Rnch Rd Building 3	open
Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	7930 Skylane Way	open
Empire Bagels	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	27680 Bermont Rd	open
Five Guys	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	42030 Cypress Pkwy Unit 7	open
Gator Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	8000 SR-31	open
Gator Shack Restaurant at Babcock Ranch Eco Tours	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8502 Florida 31	open
Havana Tranquility Executive Lounge	Bar			open
Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service		42040 Cypress Pkwy Ste 1	open
King House Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	27670 Bermont Rd	open
M'Xuma Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Mexican	42091 Cypress Pkwy Ste 9	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service		6116 Trust Rd	open
Oar & Iron	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	42070 Cypress Pkwy	open
Panera Bread	Coffee shop	Coffee	42030 Cypress Pkwy Unit 1	open
Papa John's Papa John's	Quick service		42050 Cypress Pkwy	open
Peace River Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	5337 Duncan Rd	open
Pi Local	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	42091 Cypress Pkwy	open
Piccolo Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	5354 Duncan Rd	open
Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut	Quick service		279 Duncan Road	open
PriyaBakesKeto	Bakery	Bakery	16153 Sabal Path	open
Royal Thai Oriental Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	4214 Duncan Rd	open
Ryan's Subs And Sports Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Sandwiches	5268 Duncan Rd	open
Santa Lucia Pizzeria & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5240 Duncan Rd	open
Skyview Cafe	Café	Coffee	28000 Airport Rd Ste A2	open
Slater's Goods and Provisions	Café	Coffee	42881 Lake Babcock Drive, Babcock Rnch Rd Ste 100	open
Smuggler's Cove Tiki Bar & Restaurant	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		4043 Duncan Rd	open
Square Scoops Coffee & Creamery	Dessert · Coffee shop · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	42881 Lake Babcock Dr	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	42091 Cypress Pkwy	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	27680 Bermont Road Suite C3	open
The Lakehouse Kitchen and Bar	Bar	American	42860 Crescent Loop	open
The Roadhouse	Bar		7004 Cleveland Dr	open
The Whisk Bake Shoppe	Bakery · Delivery-focused	Bakery	42473 Cascade Dr	open
Thunder Road South, The Fish Bowl	Casual dining · Bar			open
Tillys Tap	Bar		3149 Duncan Rd	open
U Yee sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	42031 Cypress Pkwy	open
Yummy Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Chinese	42050 Cypress Pkwy	open
Zoet Sweet Boutique	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Bakery	27670 Bermont Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	4	3	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	6	4	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	6	4	3	1	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	6	4	2	2	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	5	4	2	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	5	4	3	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	4	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	5	4	2	1	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	5	4	2	1	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	4	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	8	5	3	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	4	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	9	6	2	3	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	8	4	2	2	—	2	NAICS2007
2010	8	4	2	2	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	7	4	2	2	—	2	NAICS2007
2012	6	4	3	1	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	8	5	3	2	—	2	NAICS2012
2014	8	6	5	1	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	9	7	6	1	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	12	9	7	1	1	2	NAICS2012
2017	9	7	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	8	7	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	11	7	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	11	7	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	12	8	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	9	5	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	12	9	5	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 33982. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.