BMIE Market 33983

Charlotte County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	18,471 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,260 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,966 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±583 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	13,954 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,699 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$71,856 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,030 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	57.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,492 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±143 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$363,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,673 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	10.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	7 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 33983
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	5.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+75.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+75.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+600.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	5 (range 2–8) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.08) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	67 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	73 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 33983. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.08, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	68.3	68	40%	+27.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62.2	62	35%	+21.8
Market Momentum Score	72.6	73	25%	+18.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	18,471	80	40%	+32.0
Median household income (ACS)	71,856	50	40%	+20.0
Households (ACS)	7,966	81	20%	+16.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	3.8	96	25%	+23.9
Population (ACS)	18,471	80	20%	+16.0
Median household income (ACS)	71,856	50	20%	+10.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	75	94	50%	+46.9
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	75	76	20%	+15.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (23)

By cuisine

American 7 · Sandwiches 4 · Bakery 2 · Burgers 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Coffee 2 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Pizza 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Quick service 7 · Bar 6 · Casual dining 4 · Bakery 2 · Café 2 · Other 2 · Coffee shop 1 · Dessert 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Andy's Pub	Bar		2158 Amarillo Ln	open
Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	24467 Sandhill Blvd	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	395 Kings Hwy	open
Badgerland Burger Company, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		385 Kings Hwy	open
Beef 'O' Brady's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		24901 Sandhill Blvd	open
Beef 'O' Brady's Beef 'O' Brady's Fern Creek	Bar · Casual dining	American	24901 Sandhill Blvd Unit 14	open
Brentwood Eats	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	1538 Rio De Janeiro Ave	open
Culver's Culver's	Quick service	Burgers · American	385 Kings Hwy	open
Dāwa by Roaya Saleh	Restaurant (service type not stated)		Unit 46 Ground Floor, Harbour Heights, Building 1340, 346 Rd 4626	open
Deep Creek Beef O'Brady's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	24901 Sandhill Blvd	open
Deep Creek Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2000 Rio De Janeiro Ave	open
Fire by the Water Pub	Casual dining · Bar		Navigator Rd, Punta Gorda, FL 33983, United States	open
Five Guys Five Guys	Quick service	Burgers · American	379 Kings Hwy	open
JB's Corner Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	1533 Rio De Janeiro Ave	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2001 Rio de Janeiro Ave	open
Mahals Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		1416 San Cristobal Ave	open
Mudslide Coffee	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	24901 Sandhill Blvd	open
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	24471 Sandhill Blvd	open
Sandtrap Bar	Bar		2001 Rio de Janeiro Ave	open
Shenanigan's Sports Bar Shenanigans Sports Pub	Bar		3103 Broadpoint Dr	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	375 Kings Hwy	open
Subway	Other · Dessert	Sandwiches · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1540 Rio de Janeiro Ave	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	375 Kings Hwy	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	4	2	2	—	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	5	4	3	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	6	4	3	1	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	7	5	4	1	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	6	4	2	2	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	5	4	3	1	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	9	6	1	5	—	2	NAICS2007
2009	6	4	—	4	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	8	7	1	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	8	6	1	5	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	8	7	3	4	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	8	7	2	4	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	8	7	2	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	5	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	5	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	6	4	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	5	4	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	7	6	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	7	6	—	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	9	7	—	5	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 33983. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
33980	3.0 mi	25	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.