BMIE Market 34114

Collier County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	23,559 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,616 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	10,821 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±739 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	13,653 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	11,630 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$89,334 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,240 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	64.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,089 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±119 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$538,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±48,599 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	176.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	21 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 34114
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	4.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+23.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+110.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+320.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+950.0% DERIVED: 1995 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	27 (range 25–29) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.2 per year, r² 0.94) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	83 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	80 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	84 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	88 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 34114. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.94, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 83 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	80.2	80	40%	+32.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	83.5	84	35%	+29.2
Market Momentum Score	87.6	88	25%	+21.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	23,559	84	40%	+33.7
Median household income (ACS)	89,334	73	40%	+29.1
Households (ACS)	10,821	87	20%	+17.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 84 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	110	94	35%	+33.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.9	76	25%	+19.1
Population (ACS)	23,559	84	20%	+16.9
Median household income (ACS)	89,334	73	20%	+14.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 88 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	23.5	80	50%	+39.8
10-year restaurant growth	110	94	30%	+28.3
20-year restaurant growth	320	97	20%	+19.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (59)

By cuisine

American 14 · Coffee 8 · Asian 6 · Japanese 5 · Pizza 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Breakfast 4 · Sushi 4 · Bakery 3 · Italian 3 · Burgers 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Chinese 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Thai 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 39 · Quick service 12 · Bar 9 · Café 7 · Casual dining 7 · Bakery 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Dessert 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Other 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Angler's Cove Restaurant and Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		25000 Tamiami Trl E	open
Another Broken Egg Cafe Another Broken Egg Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	6917 Collier Blvd	open
Bamboo Wok Bamboo Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	8595 Collier Blvd	open
Blimpie	Other	Sandwiches	6650 Collier Blvd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	6650 Collier Blvd	open
Cafe Verona	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	8090 Sorrento Ln Ste 5	open
Captain rons florida shack	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		3138 Aviamar Cir	open
Charleys Philly Steaks Charleys Philly Steaks	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	9885 Collier Blvd	open
Chili's Grill & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9959 Collier Blvd.	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	6821 Collier Blvd 101	open
Conch Turbo Sauce Corporation	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Chinese	Ten Thousand Islands, 21004 Tamiami Trl E	open
Cracker Barrel Cracker Barrel Old Country Store	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	3845 Tollgate Blvd. I-75 & CR 951	open
Cracklin Jacks	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	9080 Collier Blvd	open
Creative Cafe Concepts Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		19800 Tamiami Trl E	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	6654 Collier Blvd #106	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	6685 Collier Blvd	open
Encanto in Paradise	Restaurant (service type not stated)		14 Zircon Dr	open
First Watch First Watch	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	8590 Collier Blvd	open
Five Guys	Quick service		7729 Collier Blvd Unit 501	open
Forest Glen Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Seafood	3855 Forest Glen Blvd	open
Frankie's Italian Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Pizza · Italian	6654 Collier Blvd	open
Gator Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	3470 Club Center Blvd	open
Gators' Crossroads	Casual dining · Bar	American	19830 Tamiami Trl E	open
Harvey's Oasis 2.0	Bar		3655 Sapphire Cove Cir	open
Hot Dogs 2 Go, Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	6220 Collier Blvd	open
It's Just Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	9959 Collier Blvd.	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	6845 Collier Blvd	open
Khun Chang Tea&Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		14501 Tamiami Trl E	open
Latitudes Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	14885 Naples Reserve Cir	open
Lisa's Gluten-free Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	3887 Mannix Dr Ste 605	open
Little Caesars	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8590 Collier Blvd	open
maipithai & sushi bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Thai · Sushi	6060 Collier Blvd	open
Members Club at Marco	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		3433 Club Center Blvd	open
Miller's Ale House Miller's Ale House	Bar · Casual dining	American	6827 Collier Blvd	open
Naples Heritage Country Club	Bar		9485 Collier Blvd	open
Off The Rock Tavern	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		7723 Collier Blvd Unit 306	open
Palumbo's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	7711 Collier Blvd	open
Pei Wei	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	6821 Collier Blvd	open
Pollo Tropical	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Latin American (other)	6833 Collier Blvd	open
Rosati's Pizza Rosati's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Pizza · Italian · Bakery	8595 Collier Blvd Unit 106	open
SAIGON TO PARIS CAFE	Café	Coffee	25000 Tamiami Trail E	open
Saki Japanese Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	7711 Collier Blvd	open
Shady Palm Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Coffee	7180 Winding Cypress Dr	open
Skillets Skillets Restaurants	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	7711 Collier Blvd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	6839 Collier Blvd	open
STEAM Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	6060 Collier Blvd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	8575 Collier Blvd Suite 103-104	open
Summer Day Cafe	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	15044 Sandpiper Ln	open
Texas Roadhouse Texas Roadhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	6815 Collier Blvd	open
Thai Thai Sushi Bowl	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Thai · Sushi	6060 Collier Blvd Ste 23	open
The Gelato Shop Dolce & Caffè	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	7729 Collier Blvd Unit 502	open
The Naples Cars & Bikes	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	6070 Collier Blvd	open
THESEN ASIAN NOODLE BAR	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Noodles / ramen / pho	6821 Collier Blvd	open
Tony C's Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)		220 Basik Dr	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	3824 Tollhouse Dr	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	9885 Collier Blvd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	13030 Tamiami Trail East	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	15050 Sandpiper Ln	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	8585 Collier Blvd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1995	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	5	5	4	1	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	8	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	5	5	2	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	8	7	5	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	8	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	7	7	5	1	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	9	7	6	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	8	6	5	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	9	7	5	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	8	6	5	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	9	8	5	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	12	10	7	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	12	10	6	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	11	9	5	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	14	12	8	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	15	13	6	5	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	15	13	7	3	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	19	17	9	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	19	17	8	6	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	19	16	8	5	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	21	19	9	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	24	21	12	6	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	24	21	11	7	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 34114. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.