BMIE Market 34119

Collier County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	36,807 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,942 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	15,033 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±831 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	25,756 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	14,614 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$113,391 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,094 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	52.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,073 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±248 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$716,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±36,828 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	22.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	48 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 34119
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	13.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+60.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+269.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+4,700.0% DERIVED: 1995 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	53 (range 44–61) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.9 per year, r² 0.72) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	87 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	91 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	81 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	90 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 34119. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.72, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 87 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	90.9	91	40%	+36.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	81.3	81	35%	+28.4
Market Momentum Score	90.1	90	25%	+22.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 91 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	36,807	92	40%	+37.0
Median household income (ACS)	113,391	88	40%	+35.2
Households (ACS)	15,033	93	20%	+18.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	60	86	35%	+30.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.0	60	25%	+15.0
Population (ACS)	36,807	92	20%	+18.5
Median household income (ACS)	113,391	88	20%	+17.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 90 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	50	90	50%	+45.1
10-year restaurant growth	60	86	30%	+25.8
20-year restaurant growth	269.2	96	20%	+19.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (91)

By cuisine

Pizza 16 · American 13 · Italian 13 · Asian 10 · Sandwiches 10 · Coffee 9 · Japanese 8 · Dessert 7 · Bakery 6 · Burgers 6 · Mexican 5 · Sushi 5 · Chicken / wings 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Breakfast 3 · Chinese 3 · Mediterranean 3 · Thai 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Caribbean 1 · Cuban 1 · Greek 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 58 · Quick service 13 · Bar 10 · Bakery 8 · Casual dining 8 · Dessert 8 · Café 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Other 3 · Delivery-focused 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
5 Star Catering	Bar	Mediterranean · Middle Eastern		open
Ajs Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		15018 Summit Place Cir	open
Alda's Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	7550 Mission Hills Dr	open
Altavilla Pizza and Trattoria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	7550 Mission Hills Dr	open
Arell’s Tiki Pub	Bar · Casual dining		3482 Pacific Dr	open
Arrowhead Sports Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2205 Heritage Greens Dr	open
Baskin-Robbins Dunkin'	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Coffee shop	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee	7775 Preserve Ln	open
Bernwood Tavern & Cucina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	15215 Collier Blvd	open
Blue Monkey Bar & Grille	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		7550 Mission Hills Dr	open
Bob Evans Bob Evans	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2570 Northbrook Plaza Dr	open
Brooks Grill and Tavern Brooks Burgers	Casual dining · Bar	American · Burgers	2220 Logan Blvd N	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	2427 Tarpon Bay Blvd	open
Casa Cotzelli	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	6175 Towncenter Cir	open
CAVA CAVA	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean	8710 Addison Pl Drive	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	8610 Addison Place Dr	open
Chili's Grill & Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Sandwiches	2431 Tarpon Bay Blvd.	open
China Garden Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	5947 Pine Ridge Rd	open
China Gourmet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	15275 Collier Blvd #209	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle	Quick service		8710 Addison Place Dr	open
Cirella's Italian Bistro & Sushi Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	7211 Vanderbilt Beach Rd Ste 1	open
Coffee Cup Breakfast and Lunch	Coffee shop	Coffee	15215 Collier Blvd Ste 310	open
Concord At The Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom	American	196 Vintage Cir	open
Cypress Woods Clubhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American		open
Detroit Pizza Joint	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian · American	7770 Preserve Ln	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	15275 Collier Blvd	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	5963 Pine Ridge Rd	open
Dough Daddyz Kick’n Italian Kitch’n	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	2236 Logan Blvd N Ste 501	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	14259 Collier Blvd	open
Empire Bagel Factory	Bakery	Bakery · Breakfast	7273 Vanderbilt Beach Rd	open
Evans Hacienda	Casual dining · Bar			open
Felipe's Mexican Taqueria Felipe's Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2220 Logan Blvd N Ste 810	open
First Watch First Watch	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · American	2260 Logan Blvd N	open
Five Guys Five Guys	Quick service	Burgers · American	7211 Vanderbilt Beach Rd #17	open
Fuzzy's Taco Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2405 Tarpon Bay Blvd	open
Gigi's Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert · Cuban	7211 Vanderbilt Beach Rd unit 6	open
Giovanni Ristorante & Bar Italiano	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	5975 Pine Ridge Rd	open
Hibachi of Japan Hibachi Of Japan	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	15215 Collier Blvd	open
IL Primo Pizza & Wings IL Primo Pizza & Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian · Chicken / wings	15275 Collier Blvd	open
Island Vybz Jamaican Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	15215 Collier Blvd Ste 323	open
It's Just Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2431 Tarpon Bay Blvd.	open
Jeremiah's Italian Ice Jeremiah's Italian Ice	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	2405-5 Tarpon Bay Blvd	open
Jet's Pizza Jet's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	7211 Vanderbilt Beach Rd Ext	open
Jimmy P's Burgers & More	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	7273 Vanderbilt Beach Rd	open
Kava Luv Social Lounge	Bar		7550 Mission Hills Dr #310	open
Kwench Juice Cafe Naples	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	5995 Pine Ridge Rd	open
L'Appetito Pizza & Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian	2542 Northbrooke Plaza Dr	open
La Santa Tacos & Tequila	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2405 Tarpon Bay Blvd	open
Little Caesars Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4075 Pine Ridge Rd	open
Lorena's Village Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Pizza · Dessert	7273 Vanderbilt Beach Rd #21	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	6065 Pine Ridge Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	15291 Collier Blvd	open
Mizu Sushi & Thai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	5979 Pine Ridge Rd	open
Mizu Sushi & Thai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Thai · Sushi · Japanese	5979 Pine Ridge Rd	open
Naples Wine Advisors	Bar		15275 Collier Blvd Ste 201-277	open
Napoli on the Bay VI	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	15215 Collier Blvd	open
Nothing Bundt Cakes Nothing Bundt Cakes	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	8710 Addison Place Drive Unit 9	open
Oak & Stone	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2270 Logan Blvd N	open
Off the Bone BBQ + Ribhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2236 Logan Blvd N Ste 501	open
Outback Steakhouse Outback Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	8845 Founders Square Dr Unit 130	open
Panda Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	7550 Mission Hills Dr #308	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Bakery · Fast casual	Bakery · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	2415 Tarpon Bay Blvd	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2544 Northbrooke Dr	open
Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza · Italian	2415 Tarpon Bay Blvd	open
Ricuras Dél Jala Jala	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		4577 Executive Dr	open
Riko’s Pizza of Naples Riko's Pizza Carolina Beach	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	8710 Addison Pl Dr	open
Royal Scoop Royal Scoop Homemade Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	7273 Vanderbilt Beach Rd Ext	open
Samuel Mancinos Pizza & Grinders	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7273 Vanderbilt Beach Rd	open
Scoops Ice Cream & Acai Bowls	Dessert · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	15215 Collier Blvd	open
Scoreboard Social	Casual dining · Bar		15215 Collier Blvd Ste 303	open
Sonny's Pizzeria & Sports Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	7740 Preserve Ln	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	5995 Pine Ridge Rd I-75 &	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	2415 Tarpon Bay Blvd	open
Stevie Tomatos Sports Page	Restaurant (service type not stated)		15215 Collier Blvd Ste 303	open
Straight From New York Bagels	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	4550 Executive Dr Ste 101	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	5955 Pine Ridge Rd	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	7770 Preserve Lane	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	7550 CR-951	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	7550 Vanderbilt Beach Road Suite 322	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	15215 Collier Blvd Ste 323	open
Sushi Thai Too Sushi Thai of Naples	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Thai · Japanese	7211 Vanderbilt Beach Rd Ste 1	open
Taqueria Jalisco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4075 Pine Ridge Rd Ste 3	open
Thai Udon Cafe Logan Landings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Japanese · Asian	2236 Logan Blvd N	open
To Spiti	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean	5955 Pine Ridge Rd	open
Tokyo Hibachi and Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	7550 Mission Hills Dr #306	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	5995 Pine Ridge Rd	open
Wingstop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	7740 Preserve Ln Ste 3	open
World Bakery & Cafeteria	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Bakery · Coffee	4075 Pine Ridge Rd	open
Yolk & Coffee Yolk.	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	15215 Collier Blvd #310	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	5991 Pine Ridge Rd Ext	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	15265 Collier Blvd	open
I C Naples Inc	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	5999 Pine Ridge Rd # 112	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1995	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	2	1	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	7	7	6	1	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	6	6	5	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	10	7	5	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	10	8	4	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	13	11	9	1	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	16	13	8	4	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	21	17	8	7	2	2	NAICS2002
2005	20	17	8	6	3	1	NAICS2002
2006	24	20	12	4	4	1	NAICS2002
2007	24	21	12	6	3	1	NAICS2002
2008	28	25	13	8	4	1	NAICS2007
2009	28	27	15	7	5	—	NAICS2007
2010	36	35	18	11	5	—	NAICS2007
2011	30	28	16	7	5	—	NAICS2007
2012	29	28	11	11	6	—	NAICS2012
2013	33	30	13	12	5	—	NAICS2012
2014	31	27	10	11	6	—	NAICS2012
2015	34	31	10	14	7	—	NAICS2012
2016	29	26	9	13	4	—	NAICS2012
2017	32	29	13	12	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	34	32	15	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	31	29	12	14	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	41	39	15	17	7	—	NAICS2017
2021	39	38	14	19	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	47	46	18	18	10	—	NAICS2022
2023	49	48	15	23	10	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 34119. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
34109	3.3 mi	91	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.