BMIE Market 34145

Collier County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	16,205 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,609 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±261 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	16,407 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	17,113 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$101,523 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,735 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	67.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,990 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±197 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$896,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±80,638 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	16.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	71 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 34145
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	32.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+16.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+16.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+31.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+294.4% DERIVED: 1995 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	63 (range 54–73) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	80 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	66 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 34145. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	80.4	80	40%	+32.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55.8	56	35%	+19.5
Market Momentum Score	65.5	66	25%	+16.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	16,205	78	40%	+31.2
Median household income (ACS)	101,523	82	40%	+32.8
Households (ACS)	8,609	83	20%	+16.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	16.4	60	35%	+20.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	43.8	12	25%	+3.0
Population (ACS)	16,205	78	20%	+15.6
Median household income (ACS)	101,523	82	20%	+16.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	16.4	74	50%	+37.1
10-year restaurant growth	16.4	60	30%	+17.9
20-year restaurant growth	31.5	53	20%	+10.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (122)

By cuisine

American 31 · Seafood 25 · Italian 13 · Coffee 12 · Breakfast 10 · Dessert 7 · Japanese 7 · Pizza 7 · Steakhouse 7 · Sushi 7 · French 6 · Sandwiches 6 · Asian 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Mexican 4 · Bakery 3 · European 3 · Thai 3 · BBQ 2 · British / Irish pub food 2 · Chinese 2 · Burgers 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Spanish / tapas 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 87 · Bar 32 · Casual dining 21 · Café 11 · Quick service 9 · Coffee shop 7 · Dessert 7 · Bakery 4 · Specialty food shop 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Other 2 · Fast casual 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
2Shea's Salty Dog	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs · American	599 S Collier Blvd	open
844 Gulf & Prime	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Steakhouse	844 Bald Eagle Dr	open
Andre's Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	969 N Collier Blvd	open
Ario	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	400 S Collier Blvd	open
Arturo's Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · French · European	969 N Collier Blvd	open
Arturo's Ristorante Italiano	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	844 Bald Eagle Dr	open
Beebe's Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	599 S Collier Blvd	open
Big Al's	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	715 Bald Eagle Dr	open
Bistro Soleil at the Olde Marco	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Dessert · French	100 Palm St	open
Breakfast Plus Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	1035 N Collier Blvd Ste 302	open
Cafe Bubbalini	Bar		1061 N Collier Blvd (Marco Town Ctr)	open
Cafe de Marco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Caribbean	244 Palm St	open
Cafe Marquise	Café	Coffee	1069 N Collier Blvd	open
Capt. Brien's Seafood and Raw Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	599 S Collier Blvd Ste 218	open
Cav's Kitchen & Cocktails	Casual dining · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	701 Bald Eagle Dr	open
Chop 239	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	760 N Collier Blvd Ste 105	open
Ciao Bella Ristorante Italiano	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	1000 N Collier Blvd	open
CJ's on the Bay	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · American	740 N Collier Blvd Unit 105	open
Cocomo's Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	945 N Collier Blvd	open
Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	740 N Collier Blvd Unit 211	open
Davide Italian Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Coffee	688 Bald Eagle Dr #2541	open
DaVinci's Da Vinci - Ristorante Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Seafood	599 S Collier Blvd	open
Deep Lagoon Seafood and Oyster House Deep Lagoon Seafood & Oyster House - Ft. Myers, FL	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	760 N Collier Blvd #105	open
Dolce Mare	Dessert	Dessert	599 S Collier Blvd	open
Dolphin Tiki Bar & Grill	Bar · Casual dining	Seafood	1021 Anglers Cove	open
Doreen's Cup of Joe	Coffee shop · Café	Breakfast · Coffee	267 N Collier Blvd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	1089 N Collier Blvd	open
Electric Light Ventures, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1000 N Collier Blvd Ste 10	open
Elite Foodservice Solutions Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		241 N Collier Blvd	open
Empire Bagel Factory	Bakery	Bakery · Breakfast	239 N Collier Blvd	open
Fin Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	657 S Collier Blvd	open
Fin Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Seafood · French	317 N Collier Blvd	open
Guy Harvey's Island Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	760 N Collier Blvd	open
High Sodium k9	Casual dining · Bar			open
Hoot's Breakfast and Lunch	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · American · Seafood	563 E Elkcam Cir	open
Italian Deli and Market	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Pizza · Italian	902 Park Ave	open
Jack's Lookout	Bar		951 Bald Eagle Dr	open
Jackie's Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1089 N Collier Blvd STE 425	open
Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service		1089 N Collier Blvd Unit 437A	open
Joey's Pizza & Pasta House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	257 N Collier Blvd	open
Kava Culture Marco Island Kava Culture Company	Bar		1069 N Collier Blvd #214	open
KJ Sushi And Asian Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian · Sushi · Japanese	537 Bald Eagle Dr	open
Kretch's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	527 Bald Eagle Dr	open
Kurrents	Coffee shop · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Café	Seafood · Japanese · Coffee · Breakfast · Sushi · Steakhouse · Italian	400 S Collier Blvd	open
Kwik Stop	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	1767 San Marco Rd	open
La Casita Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1817 San Marco Rd	open
La Mesa Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	297 N Collier Blvd	open
La Table du Soleil	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French · European		open
LeeBe Fish	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	350 Royal Palm Dr	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	911 N Collier Blvd	open
Mango's Dockside Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Seafood · Breakfast	760 N Collier Blvd	open
Marco Island Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		1089 N Collier Blvd	open
Marco Prime Steak and Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Seafood · American	599 S Collier Blvd	open
Marco Sharks MMA	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Spanish / tapas	1089 N Collier Blvd Ste 422	open
Marco Speak Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1106 N Collier Blvd	open
Marek's Collier House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	1121 Bald Eagle Dr	open
Marek's Collier House Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	486 N Collier Blvd	open
Marek's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	1121 Bald Eagle Dr	open
Margarita's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1069 N Collier Blvd	open
Mario's Neighborhood Bar and Grill	Bar		845 Bald Eagle Dr	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	899 N Collier Blvd	open
Michelbob's Ribs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Steakhouse · American	915 N Collier Blvd	open
Mister Crab Cakes	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Seafood · American	960 Chalmer Dr	open
Morely Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		551 S Collier Blvd	open
Mr. Bentley's Homemade Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1035 N Collier Blvd Ste 308	open
Nacho Mama's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) · American	599 S Collier Blvd	open
Napoli on The Bay IV	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	910 N Collier Blvd	open
Nautical Bowls Nautical Bowls	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	740 N Collier Blvd #112	open
NeNe's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	297 N Collier Blvd	open
O'Donoghue's Bar and Grill	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	British / Irish pub food	591 S Collier Blvd	open
Ohana American Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	657 S Collier Blvd	open
Old Marco Pub & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1105 Bald Eagle Dr	open
Ori's Bakery	Bakery · Coffee shop · Café	Bakery · Coffee	945 N Collier Blvd	open
Paddy Murphy's Irish Pub Paddy Murphy's	Bar	British / Irish pub food	1089 N Collier Blvd	open
Paradise Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · American	560 S Collier Blvd	open
Paradise Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		10 N Collier Blvd	open
Petit Soleil	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French	210 Royal Palm Dr	open
Pinchers Pinchers - Tin City Naples, FL	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	591 S Collier Blvd	open
Pizza Steve's, Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1083 N Collier Blvd	open
Porky's Last Stand	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	701 Bald Eagle Dr	open
Quinn's at JW Marriott Marco Island	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · Breakfast	400 S Collier Blvd	open
Red Rooster Red Rooster	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	1821 San Marco Rd	open
Robert Natale, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		297 N Collier Blvd	open
Sale e Pepe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	480 S Collier Blvd	open
Sami's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Pizza	227 N Collier Blvd	open
Sand Bar	Bar		826 E Elkcam Cir #107	open
Sasso's International Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	French · American	961 Winterberry Dr	open
Smith House Restaurant and Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American · Seafood	210 Royal Palm Dr	open
Snj Shea Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		599 S Collier Blvd	open
Snook Inn Snook Inn Restaurant & Chickee Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		1215 Bald Eagle Dr	open
Star Bar At The Esplanade	Bar		760 N Collier Blvd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1080 N Collier Blvd	open
Stilts Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		600 S Collier Blvd	open
Stonewalls	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	551 S Collier Blvd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	147 S Barfield Dr Spc 20 Space #20	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	670 Bald Eagle Dr	open
Sunset Chicken Marco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	905 N Collier Blvd	open
Sunset Grille	Bar · Casual dining		900 S Collier Blvd Unit 203	open
Sushi-Thai Marco Island	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Thai · Sushi	1825 San Marco Rd	open
Sweet Annie's Ice Cream Parlour	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	692 Bald Eagle Dr	open
Tesoro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Mediterranean	400 S Collier Blvd	open
Thai Sushi By KJ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Thai · Sushi	317 N Collier Blvd	open
Thai Thai Sushi Sports Bar	Bar	Japanese · Thai · Sushi	1035 N Collier Blvd Ste 302	open
The Boulevard	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	1000 N Collier Blvd #15	open
The Brooklyn Delicatessen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		247 N Collier Blvd	open
The Burrow Food & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café · Bar	Coffee	845 Bald Eagle Dr	open
The Chefs' Express	Café	Coffee	176 Royal Palm Dr	open
The Crazy Flamingo	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Seafood	1035 N Collier Blvd	open
The Lakeside Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Seafood · Breakfast · American · Coffee	2 Marco Lake Dr	open
The Oyster Society	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Seafood	599 S Collier Blvd #218	open
The Sandbar at Hideaway Beach	Other	Sandwiches		open
The SpeakEasy Marco Island	Bar		1106 N Collier Blvd	open
Tony's N.Y. Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	145 S Barfield Dr	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	1093 N Collier Blvd	open
Verdi's American Bistro	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American · Steakhouse	241 N Collier Blvd	open
Wake Up Marco	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	912 N Collier Blvd	open
Zaza Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Pizza · Latin American (other)	1095 Bald Eagle Dr	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	175 S Barfield Dr	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	1089 N Collier Blvd #401	open
Doreeno's Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		257 N Collier Blvd # A	closed
House Of Mozart	Restaurant (service type not stated)		151 S Barfield Dr	closed
Rookies Bar & Grill	Bar		599 S Collier Blvd Ste 105	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1995	19	18	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	32	32	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	57	56	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	61	57	40	9	8	1	NAICS1997
1999	57	54	38	9	7	1	NAICS1997
2000	56	54	36	10	8	—	NAICS1997
2001	54	52	39	9	4	—	NAICS1997
2002	58	55	41	9	5	—	NAICS1997
2003	55	54	41	9	4	—	NAICS2002
2004	56	55	43	7	5	1	NAICS2002
2005	60	59	43	9	7	1	NAICS2002
2006	60	59	44	10	5	1	NAICS2002
2007	62	61	45	11	5	1	NAICS2002
2008	61	59	46	10	3	2	NAICS2007
2009	53	51	39	8	4	2	NAICS2007
2010	57	54	41	8	5	2	NAICS2007
2011	61	57	43	8	6	4	NAICS2007
2012	67	64	48	10	6	3	NAICS2012
2013	62	61	45	10	6	1	NAICS2012
2014	60	59	45	8	6	1	NAICS2012
2015	67	65	49	8	8	1	NAICS2012
2016	65	63	49	7	7	1	NAICS2012
2017	62	61	48	5	8	—	NAICS2017
2018	62	61	46	7	8	—	NAICS2017
2019	54	53	39	7	7	—	NAICS2017
2020	62	59	42	9	8	3	NAICS2017
2021	61	58	41	9	8	3	NAICS2017
2022	65	60	41	10	9	3	NAICS2022
2023	77	71	47	14	10	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 34145. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
34140	2.3 mi	5	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.